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Author Archive for JOHN ADAMS

Physics of Wet Dogs

From scientists at the Georgia Institute of Technology, there’s research leading to an interesting story about dogs — Physics of Wet Dogs Shake Out in High-Speed Videos.

[Andrew] Dickerson, along with some colleagues from the Georgia Institute of Technology, has written “The Wet-Dog Shake,” published in Fluid Dynamics. They attempt to calculate the optimum speed at which dogs should shake to most efficiently dry their fur.

The team built a mathematical model of the processes involved, reasoning that surface tension between the water and the dog’s hair is what keeps the dog wet. Overcoming that tension requires a centripetal force that exceeds it.

….the team filmed a wide range of dogs shaking, and used the images to calculate the period of oscillation. For a labrador retriever, that turned out to be 4.3 Hz. He then expanded the search, filming animals as small as mice (27 Hz) and as large as bears (4 Hz).



Video Link:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kvoKN1UfLn0
. more >>

Sumner, Roosevelt, and the Forgotten Man

William Graham Sumner and Franklin Roosevelt had different definitions of “The Forgotten Man.” Amity Shlaes writes of the two in her book, The Forgotten Man: A New History of the Great Depression. I’ve written of the book, favorably, several times.

Sumner saw the forgotten man as one who was burdened under government; Roosevelt saw him as someone who needed government.

Here’s how Shlaes juxtaposes the two views, with Roosevelt’s redefinition of Sumner’s description —

As soon as A observes something which seems to him to be wrong, from which X is suffering, A talks it over with B, and A and B then propose to get a law passed to remedy the evil and help X. Their law always proposes what C shall do for X, or in the better case what A,B, and C shall do for X….

What I want to do is look up C. I want to show you what manner of man he is. I call him the Forgotten man. Perhaps the appellation is not strictly correct. He is the man who is never thought of…

He works, he votes, generally he prays — but he always pays.

— WILLIAM GRAHAM SUMNER, YALE UNIVERSITY, 1883

These unhappy times call for the building of plans that rest upon the forgotten, the unorganized but indispensable units of economic power, for plans like those of 1917 that build from the bottom up and not from the top down, that pit their faith once more in the forgotten man at the bottom of the economic pyramid.

— GOV. FRANKLIN ROOSEVELT OF NEW YORK, RADIO ADDRESS IN ALBANY, APRIL 7, 1932

I believe Sumner’s view the more astute and uplifting one, as he favored arrangements with the most potential for allowing people to escape misery and dependency. No system brings more people out of poverty than one of free markets in capital and labor.

(Although Sumner’s students admired him, Roosevelt was – as the photographs suggest – more personable. That’s an admirable trait all its own.)

However much these definitions are different, they have one thing in common — both Sumner and Roosevelt were concerned about real people, real conditions. They had an immediate, practical concern.

The difference between either of these views (one libertarian, the other progressive) and the thinking behind something like a multi-million dollar Innovation Center project in Whitewater, Wisconsin is vast. For more on this idea, see Whitewater’s Innovation Center from the Perspective of the New Deal.

From Sumner’s or Roosevelt’s real and practical concern for others, one finds now only an unrealistic and fantastic string of declarations, proclamations, and grand statements.

And yet, not a single declaration, proclamation, or grand statement will make a difference in the lives of Whitewater’s residents if the thousand new jobs promised never appear. Sumner — and Roosevelt’s New Dealers — would have seen this easily.

Is the Free Market Improving the Lives of India’s Dalits?

At the BBC’s website, the online correspondent for BBC News in India, Soutik Biswas, writes: Is the free market improving lives of India’s Dalits?

Here’s his question:

Does free market drive social change? By rewarding talent and hard work, does it help bring down social barriers? More pertinently, has the unshackling of the Indian economy helped the country’s untouchables, or Dalits, to forge ahead?

A group of economists and Dalit scholars led by Devesh Kapur at the University’s of Pennsylvania’s Centre for the Advanced Study of India, believes so. India’s 160 million Dalits are some of its most wretched citizens, because of an unforgiving and harsh caste hierarchy that condemns them to the bottom of the heap.
The study quizzed all Dalit households – more than 19,000 – in two clusters of villages in Azamgarh and Bulandshahar, two poor, backward districts in Uttar Pradesh state.

Dalits were asked about their material and social conditions now and in 1990 when economic reforms were kicking off in India. The answers, says the study, provide proof of “substantial changes in a wide variety of social practices affecting Dalit well-being.”

Many Dalits report a genuine and valuable improvement in their condition following economic liberalization.

Yet, these are hard questions, and they’re difficult to answer in a society so old, and so large, as India. That there are positive accounts from Dalits, themselves, is encouraging.

Biswas offers a cautious, hopeful conclusion —

Whether the market is reducing inequality remains a highly contentious point. My hunch is that political empowerment must have played a powerful role in many of the changes: the rise of Dalit politics coincided with the liberalisation of the economy. But the last word comes from the group of scholars behind the study: “No one would argue Dalits have achieved anything like equality, but it is certainly the case that many practices that reflected subordination and routine humiliation of Dalits have declined considerably.” That, by itself, is a considerable triumph for India’s wretched of the earth.

That’s reason for optimism and confidence.

Jeremy Lott on William F. Buckley Jr.’s Faith and Politics

I have never been a great fan of National Review, but over the years I have come to admire its founder’s principled, diligent, often iconoclastic, and (over time) increasingly libertarian political views. He made mistakes, surely, but he acknowledged them. Buckley was an honest, serious, and courageous man.

Here’s a description that accompanies Reason’s interview with Jeremy Lott about Buckley:

In William F. Buckley Jr., Reason contributor Jeremy Lott delves into the famed public intellectual’s life, politics and Catholicism. From the founding of National Review to his opposition to civil rights legislation to his embrace of pot legalization, Lott details how Buckley’s religion hugely shaped his political principles.

Lott, the author The Warm Bucket Brigade (a history of the vice presidency) and In Defense of Hypocrisy, sat down with Nick Gillespie to discuss Catholicism, communism, and Buckley’s late-life rebranding of himself as a “libertarian journalist.”

They also talked about Lott’s new gig as editor of the website, RealClearReligion.org, a just-launched sister site to the immensely popular and influential RealClearPolitics.com.

Approximately 10 minutes.

Shot and edited by Meredith Bragg.

Link:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztiukxWJqNQ more >>

Wired: Edison Gets the Bright Light Right

In Edison Gets the Bright Light Right, Wired‘s Randy Alfred writes that, on October 21st, 1879,

Thomas Edison crowns 14 months of testing with an incandescent electric light bulb that lasts 13+ hours. Sir Humphrey Davy had produced incandescent electric light in 1808 by passing battery current through a platinum wire. But the voltaic pile was expensive and could be messy.”

….Soon, the [Menlo Park] lab got a carbon-filament bulb to last 40 hours. It had cost $40,000 (about $850,000 in today’s money) and taken 1,200 experiments, but was ready at last for a public debut.

On New Year’s Eve, 3,000 people visited the lab in Menlo Park to witness 40 electric light bulbs glowing merrily. Edison switched them on and off at will, dazzling and delighting his guests. These bulbs used carbonized cardboard.


Daily Bread for Whitewater, Wisconsin: 10-21-10

Good morning,

Whitewater’s forecast calls for a sunny day with a high temperature of fifty-five degrees.

In our schools, there will be band concerts at Lakeview and Washington Schools, respectively, today at 2 p.m. and 7 p.m.

In Wisconsin history, the Wisconsin Historical Society recalls an important date in science —

1897 – Yerkes Observatory Dedicated

On this date the Yerkes Observatory was dedicated. Founded by astronomer George Hale and located in Williams Bay, the Yerkes Observatory houses the world’s largest refracting optical telescope, with a lens of diameter 102 cm/40 inches. It was built through the largess of the tycoon Charles Tyson Yerkes, who rebuilt important parts of the Chicago transportation system after the fire. Situated in a 77-acre park on the shore of Lake Geneva, this observatory was the center for world astronomy in the early 20th century and invited a number of astronomers from around the world, including Japan, for scientific exchange. [Source: Yerkes Observatory Virtual Museum]

Here are photographs of the giant refractor, from 1897 and 2006 —



Volt Fraud at Government Motors – Investors.com

It’s simply wrong to claim this thing’s especially good for the environment —

Advertised as an all-electric car that could drive 50 miles on its lithium battery, GM addressed concerns about where you plug the thing in en route to grandmas house by adding a small gasoline engine to help maintain the charge on the battery as it starts to run down. It was still an electric car, we were told, and not a hybrid on steroids.

That’s not quite true. The gasoline engine has been found to be more than a range-extender for the battery. Volt engineers are now admitting that when the vehicles lithium-ion battery pack runs down and at speeds near or above 70 mph, the Volts gasoline engine will directly drive the front wheels along with the electric motors. That’s not charging the battery — thats driving the car.

So its not an all-electric car, but rather a pricey $41,000 hybrid that requires a taxpayer-funded $7,500 subsidy to get car shoppers to look at it.

We heard GM’s then-CEO Fritz Henderson claim the Volt would get 230 miles per gallon in city conditions. Popular Mechanics found the Volt to get about 37.5 mpg in city driving, and Motor Trend reports: “Without any plugging in, a weeklong trip to Grandmas house should return fuel economy in the high 30s to low 40s.”



See, Volt Fraud at Government Motors – IBD – Investors.com

Institute for Justice Takes Arizona School Choice Fight to U.S. Supreme Court

Sometimes a commitment to liberty, one that would offer low and middle-income students a better life, requires a strenuous defense. That’s the task facing the Institute for Justice in a school choice dispute. The IJ is taking its case for Arizona school choice to the United States Supreme Court.

Here’s a video that describes what’s at stake for thousands of students, and why it’s a case worth fighting for.

I will post in greater detail on the case later — for now, here’s a fine video that describes the issues involved. The Arizona program allows private individuals to make private contributions for individual families to send children to schools of their choice.

Here’s the description that accompanies the video:


On November 3, 2010, the U.S. Supreme Court will hear the oral arguments in the case Garriot v. Winn. Arizona, like many states, offers tax credits to individuals and businesses for donations to fund scholarships for students to attend private schools. The goal of these programs is to give as many students as possible the resources they need to get a good education. The Dennard family has benefited from this program. Hear their story.




Link:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=weipY6rpMss. more >>

Whitewater-Area League of Women Voters Candidate Forum for the 43rd Assembly District (Hixson/Wynn)

The Whitewater-Area League of Women Voters hosted a forum with the candidates for Wisconsin’s 43rd Assembly District, Kim Hixson and Evan Wynn. I have embedded the video of the discussion below. The 43rd district includes Whitewater and other communities to south and west.

10/25/10 — updated with district map:



Additional information on the two candidates is available at Wisconsin State Journal – Candidate Profiles: 43rd Assembly District and Evan Wynn / Kim Hixson 43rd Assembly Forum 2010 – WCLO.

more >>

Coolidge as the ‘Great Refrainer’

Amity Shlaes, author of the fine The Forgotten Man: A New History of the Great Depression, has an essay originally published at Forbes in which she praises Calvin Coolidge as The Great Refrainer.

Shlaes writes that

When Harding died suddenly in 1923, Coolidge knew he was going to need another pair of hands to launch further reforms. One of his first moves as President was to reject the Treasury Secretary’s resignation. [Andrew] Mellon became the navigator who charted Coolidge’s economic course. The pair worked well together because they were alike; both were so taciturn that it was said they conversed in pauses. Whenever they could, Coolidge and Mellon, professional minimalists, pared away unnecessary features of their craft to make it sleeker.

They began with the tax brackets. Both disliked the fact that under Wilson the tax schedule had gone from seven brackets to dozens, confusing taxpayers to the point they didn’t know what they should pay. Once the number of brackets was drastically reduced, more people could easily figure out what they owed.

But their grandest feat involved tax rates. Coolidge and Mellon tightened and pulled multiple times, eventually getting the top rate down to 25%, a level that hasn’t been seen since. Mellon argued that lower rates could actually bring in greater revenues because they removed disincentives to work. Government, he said, should operate like a railroad, charging a price for freight that “the traffic will bear.”

Coolidge’s commitment to low taxes came from his concept of property rights. He viewed heavy taxation as the legalization of expropriation. “I want taxes to be less, that the people may have more,” he once said. In fact, Coolidge disapproved of any government intervention that eroded the bond of the contract…..

Coolidge refrained from economic meddling, so that others might be unburdened.

He wasn’t much of a speaker, but his thinking was serious and sound. I have embedded below a clip of a short speech he gave. It is — and so very much seems — the speech of a man from another era, before audio-visual savvy.

If we are to spend — and we will — we should direct spending foremost to public safety, and assistance for the poor (including preserving current services that are of disproportionate benefit to those who are disadvantaged). Along these lines, there would be room for a much smaller government, and larger, more vibrant, private sphere of life.

I think that’s true nationally, and in small Whitewater, Wisconsin, too. (A discussion of the proposed 2011 Whitewater municipal budget is a topic for another time. Whitewater could have a budget with these emphases – safety and assistance – and still reduce spending.)

Hat tip for the link to Daniel Mitchell of Cato.



Link: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5puwTrLRhmw more >>

Draining the Swamp of Red Ink

Congressman Paul Ryan’s office released the text of a speech he delivered in Oregon. Ryan’s noted for a budget roadmap he’s drafted, but it says much about our politics that budgetary reform makes both many Democrats and many of Ryan’s fellow Republicans uncomfortable. The address appears below.

Rep. PAUL RYAN: Like my home state of Wisconsin, Oregon has long exuded a forward-looking spirit of optimism, rooted in our nation’s timeless founding principles. Much like the early settlers of Oregon and Wisconsin, when we survey our nation’s economic landscape we find ourselves at a crossroads, facing a choice of two distinct futures. Unlike our forefathers, though, we have a clear sense of what lies ahead.

Most urgently, unemployment remains unbearably high and economic growth far too low. Policymakers urgently need to advance an agenda for growth — removing the obstacles to job creation and the paralyzing uncertainty from Washington. Both parties contributed to the current hardships — and both parties helped plant the seeds of the crisis on the horizon: a fiscal time bomb from the explosive growth of government debt.

Stacking trillion-dollar deficits year after year, President Barack Obama’s 10-year budget plan will double the debt in five years and triple it in 10. The federal government’s unfunded liabilities — government’s unpaid promises — stand at $76.4 trillion and are set to spiral further out of control each year we kick the can down the road.

The government’s own experts are telling us that our health and retirement security programs — Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security — are on a path to bankruptcy unless we take action soon. In addition to overwhelming the entire federal budget, the collapse of these programs will result in painful cuts for seniors and society’s most vulnerable.

Presented with these facts, the choice before us becomes clear. We can stay on our current path, allow unprecedented levels of government spending and higher taxes to crush the economy and shred the social safety net. Or, we can do what past generations of Americans have always done: work together in tackling the nation’s most pressing challenges and leave the next generation with a stronger, safer and more prosperous America.

To overcome our current fiscal challenges, we need a plan — a specific course of action to ensure the government secures the promises made to current and future generations, allow communities and individuals to grow and flourish, and guarantee America’s best days are ahead, and not behind us.

In an effort to spur action on meeting this challenge, I put forward a reform plan back in 2008: “A Roadmap for America’s Future” (www.americanroadmap.org). When I introduced the plan over two years ago, and reintroduced an updated version earlier this year, it was my hope to break through the political paralysis, and advance an open and honest discussion about how our nation can address its fiscal challenges.

Certified by the Congressional Budget Office, my reform plan fulfills the mission of health and retirement security, saving Medicare and Social Security; lifts the crushing burden of debt, paying off the debt completely; and restarts the engine of economic growth and limitless prosperity.

First and foremost, the Roadmap for America’s Future makes no changes to Medicare and Social Security for those 55 and older. Those in and near retirement will receive the benefits that they have been promised — this is a critical component of entitlement reform and a guarantee that we won’t be able to make unless we take action now. For those younger workers, the Roadmap offers gradual, sensible reforms to ensure that future generations have access to these vital programs. My plan offers those 54 and younger the same health and retirement benefit options I enjoy as a member of Congress. The Congressional Budget Office and the programs’ own actuaries have certified that the Roadmap would make Medicare and Social Security permanently solvent, averting the painful cuts from the unsustainable status quo.

Economic growth is a prerequisite to getting a grip on our federal budget. This is why my plan advances bold reforms to our anti-competitive and needlessly complex tax code. The tax reforms are designed to simplify and broaden our nation’s tax base and put the United States in a position to lead, rather than follow, in the global economy. To get our economy growing again, the Roadmap would eliminate our corporate income tax — currently the second highest in the industrial world — and replace it with a business consumption tax, lowering the tax burden to create job opportunities and job growth.

These reforms, coupled with proposed changes to our health care system and our job training programs, show that it is not too late to deal with our economic challenges and do so in a way that preserves the promises government has made and keeps intact the ideas our nation was founded upon: liberty, opportunity and individual initiative.

Our fiscal and economic challenges offer a unique opportunity to restore our nation’s prosperity. On the Oregon Trail or in the harsh Wisconsin winters, settlers did not have the option of kicking the can down the road. Each generation of Americans rose to the occasion — and now it is our generation that must do the same.

— Rep. Paul Ryan, ranking Republican on the House Budget Committee, represents Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District.

Link:
Draining the Swamp of Red Ink.

Daily Bread for Whitewater, Wisconsin: 10-20-10

Good morning,

Whitewater’s forecast calls for a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of sixty-six degrees.

There will be a meeting of the Effigy Mounds Task Force at 4 p.m. today, and a meeting of the Landmarks Commission at 5 p.m.

There’s a story at Wired entitled, Twitter Can Predict the Stock Market. Perhaps the title should have been Twitter Can Predict the Stock Market?



The emotional roller coaster captured on Twitter can predict the ups and downs of the stock market, a new study finds. Measuring how calm the Twitterverse is on a given day can foretell the direction of changes to the Dow Jones Industrial Average three days later with an accuracy of 86.7 percent.

“We were pretty astonished that this actually worked,” said computational social scientist Johan Bollen of Indiana University-Bloomington. The new results appear in a paper on the arXiv.org preprint server….

“It’s a pretty interesting result,” commented computer scientist Sitaram Asur of HP Labs. But even though the correlation is there, Asur is reluctant to believe that the moods captured on Twitter can cause the stock market to change. Not everyone on Twitter plays the stock market, he notes, or even lives in the United States. And he would like to see the algorithm used on tweets from a wider span of time.

“If it is true, if we can actually find this correlation to be consistent, that will be a very important result,” he said. “But right now, I would be cautious about saying how important this is.”

A test of confidence would be someone’s willingness to trade based on these findings, such as they are.