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Daily Bread for 11.10.22: Wisconsin’s Statewide Election Trends

Good morning.

Thursday in Whitewater will be partly sunny with a high of 75. Sunrise is 6:41 AM and sunset 4:36 PM for 9h 54m 25s of daytime. The moon is a waning gibbous with 95.5% of its visible disk illuminated.

On this day in 1674, as provided in the Treaty of Westminster, Netherlands cedes New Netherland (a 17th-century colonial province of the Dutch Republic located on the east coast of what is now the United States) to England.


Craig Gilbert writes Wisconsin’s unusual split election was driven by some very familiar trends:

Republicans continued to lose ground in the populous metro areas of Madison and Milwaukee.

And Democrats continued to slip in the state’s more rural northern and western halves.

The 2022 election saw a widening of the “density divide” as bigger cities and inner suburbs keep getting bluer and exurbs, small towns and the countryside keep getting redder.

In the governor’s race, this turned out to be a much bigger problem for Republicans than Democrats.

Incumbent Democrat Tony Evers defeated GOP challenger Tim Michels. His lead was a little more than 3 points and around 90,000 votes as of Wednesday afternoon — bigger than Evers’ 1.1-point victory over Republican Scott Walker four years ago.   

….

In the Senate race, GOP incumbent Ron Johnson saw his margins in these same counties deteriorate but hung on to win a closer-than-expected victory over Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes. His lead as of Wednesday afternoon was around 1 point and less than 30,000 votes.

….


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