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Daily Bread for 11.23.25: Misleading (Yet Again) on Ordinary Conditions

Good morning.

Sunday in Whitewater will be sunny with a high of 53. Sunrise is 6:57 and sunset is 4:25 for 9 hours 28 minutes of daytime. The moon is a waxing crescent with 9.8 percent of its visible disk illuminated.

On this day in 1924, Edwin Hubble‘s discovery, that the Andromeda “nebula” is actually another island galaxy far outside our own Milky Way, is first published in the New York Times:

This was first hypothesized as early as 1755 when Immanuel Kant’s General History of Nature and Theory of the Heavens appeared. Hubble’s hypothesis was opposed by many in the astronomy establishment of the time, in particular by Harvard University–based Harlow Shapley. Despite the opposition, Hubble, then a thirty-five-year-old scientist, had his findings first published in The New York Times on November 23, 1924, then presented them to other astronomers at the January 1, 1925, meeting of the American Astronomical Society. Hubble’s results for the Andromeda galaxy were not formally published in a peer-reviewed scientific journal until 1929.


Trump misleads even on a simple claim about Thanksgiving prices:

“Walmart just announced that the cost of their standard Thanksgiving meal is reduced by 25 percent this year from last year”

— in a [Trump] speech at an investment forum on Wednesday

This is misleading. While it is true that Walmart announced that this year’s Thanksgiving meal — its annual basket of items for a holiday spread — would cost 25 percent less than last year’s, the contents of this year’s basket were considerably different.

Walmart, which began offering the basket in 2022, said in a news release last year that its Thanksgiving meal then included 29 items, which totaled about $55. This year’s basket included 22 items, totaling just under $40 — a decrease of about 25 percent.

The baskets also included different items, different brands and different sizes. For example, the 2024 basket included a frozen turkey weighing between 10 and 16 pounds at a cost of $0.88 per pound, while the 2025 basket includes a 13.5-pound turkey at a cost of $0.97 per pound. The 2025 basket does not include nine of the 2024 items, but added four new items. And among items in both years’ baskets, fried onions and mushroom soup came in smaller amounts this year.

See Linda Qiu, Fact-Checking Trump’s Latest Claims on Affordability (‘The president has made misleading statements about the cost of a Thanksgiving meal, breakfast and gasoline and about prices in general’), New York Times, November 23, 2025.

Misleading? Yes, to the marrow.


‘Stadium effect’ captured in eye of Hurricane Melissa:

A rare look into the eye of a category 5 storm has been captured by a US Air Force plane flying through Hurricane Melissa.

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