Good morning.
Thursday in Whitewater will be partly cloudy with a high of 76. Sunrise is 6:10, and sunset is 7:44, for 13h 34m 01s of daytime. The moon is a waning gibbous with 88.6 percent of its visible disk illuminated.
The Board of Zoning Appeals meets at 6 PM.
On this day in 1902, Theodore Roosevelt becomes the first President of the United States to make a public appearance in an automobile.
On this day in 1920, native Milwaukee runner Arlie Schardt won a gold medal in the 3,000-meter team race at the Olympic Games in Antwerp, Belgium. Schardt was part of a three-man team that included Hal Brown and Ivan Dresser.
There’s more than one political trend at play in Wisconsin: Craig Gilbert writes As DNC gathers, Democrats grapple with its fall among Wisconsin’s rural voters and Bruce Thompson writes WOW Counties Turning Less Republican (‘Ozaukee and Waukesha now less red while Washington County resists the trend’).
These stories aren’t equally useful, and it’s easy to see why. Gilbert wants to highlight continued decline of Democrats in rural counties, but the story head doesn’t match the story itself:
The Democratic Party’s geographic foothold has shrunk in Wisconsin, amid a plunge in support among rural voters in the central, western and northern counties.
The new election map has a lot less “blue” than the old one.
That hasn’t stopped Democrats from winning big elections, which it has done with regularity in the Trump era. Winning statewide races is not about winning the most counties or the greatest acreage, but the most votes.
(Emphasis added.)
Those areas where one finds the most votes are also where most people live, and where legislative districts are situated by population. The headline says trouble (Democrats have to ‘grapple’) but results in statewide race after statewide race say otherwise.
The decline among Democrats in low-population areas is offset by gains among Democrats in areas of high population. Bruce Thompson writes:
The Milwaukee area is following the national trend in which close-in suburbs become increasingly Democratic, while more rural areas become more Republican. Though there are many theories on what is driving this trend, it still remains something of a mystery. But clearly the trend is changing two of the three WOW counties.
The increasingly blue Milwaukee area has a greater population than the rural counties that Gilbert over-emphasizes.
Two analyses, Gilbert’s and Thompson’s, but only the latter presents the key trends perceptively all the way through from head to tail.
Tiger almost bites woman’s hand at New Jersey zoo (Alternative Title: Do Not Pet Zoo Tigers):