Tuesday’s Wall Street Journal has a book review of two books demonstrating how people choose irrationally. The first is Ori & Rom Brafman’s Sway, and the second is Marc Gerstein’s Flirting with Disaster.
(Earlier this year, I read Nicholas Taleb’s Fooled by Randomness, a book that addresses similar themes.)
Here is a result from a study that the book reviewer cites to give a flavor for these books —
Linda is a 31 year old woman who was concerned while in college about social justice and discrimination. Which is more probable: (a) that she became a bank teller, or that (b) she became a bank teller and feminist activist?
The tendency to choose (b) is strong, but that’s not a rational choice. The broader choice (a) is rationally more probable than the narrower one (b).
Examples and studies like these make for interesting puzzles.
This morning, the U.S. Supreme Court issued a decision striking down an onerous and unconstitutional ban on gun ownership in the District of Columbia.
Individual liberty includes all the rights guaranteed in the Constitution – including an honest reading of the Second Amendment.
Anti-gun groups will decry this decision, but the scholarship in support of the right of individuals to bear arms for self-defense and hunting is simply overwhelming.
Attempts to argue for a more restrictive interpretation of the Second Amendment are second-rate and historically dishonest.
Libertarians of all types have strongly contended for a sound reading of the Second Amendment. The right of individuals to bear arms is a fundamental American liberty guaranteed in our constitution.
One often hears that a politician or official is 100% or 110% or even 150% committed to his or her work.
Perhaps. I will assume that’s all true.
Still, some of these same people have prepared to leave only to return and leave again, or have simply tried to leave.
They are free to choose their own course.
Many others in our city lack that same mobility. They believe in the promise of America, yet find that promise only partially fulfilled in this small town. Moving on to bigger and better is the least of their concerns.
Here’s an announcement that I received that I’m happy to post — it’s a request for projects for the UW-W’s Make a Difference Day. Here are the particulars —
Who: UW-Whitewater Campus and Whitewater Community Members
When: Friday, October 3, 2008
Where: Whitewater, Wisconsin
On Friday, October 3, 2008 volunteers from the UW-Whitewater students and staff as well as City of Whitewater citizens and employees will come together to provide service. Projects include park and streets clean-up, lake and creek clean-up, weeding and general gardening tasks, yard and window cleaning for citizens needing assistance, painting and more.
Please contact Mike to submit your projects
to our list of volunteer projects for
Friday, October 3, 2008.
Thank you for your participation!
First, a quick reminder about the 13th Downtown Clean Sweep this morning from 8 AM to 1 PM. The particulars —
What: Downtown Clean Sweep
Where: Meet behind Randix at 8 AM, or any time between 8 and 1 for information on what to do.
When: Thursday, June 26, from 8 AM to 1 PM. (Feel free to join for just an hour or two if that’s all the time you have.)
What to bring: Gloves if you have them, and brooms, which we seem to be short of. We’ll have bags.
What we’ll do: Pick up litter and weed municipal parking lots and other properties.
Every volunteer will receive a coupon for a free cup of coffee, courtesy of the Sweet Spot!
There will be a municipal meeting this afternoon, from 4 to 6 p.m., on Tratt St. Neighborhood Planning Meeting. The meeting will take place in the community room of the municipal building.
Later, there will be a Zoning Board of Appeals meeting, also in the municipal building, from 7 to 9 p.m.
In Wisconsin History today, in 1834, according to the Wisconsin Historical Society, and act of Congress created the Green Bay and Wisconsin land districts, opening up southeastern Wisconsin for settlers. The act followed the defeat of Native Americans during the Black Hawk War.
The National Weather Service predicts a chance of thunderstorms with a high of 85 degrees. The Farmers’ Almanac predicts hot and dry weather, then thunderstorms, for this time in June. They’re probably half right.
Over at Reason magazine’s blog, Hit & Run, there’s a June 25 post about how Texas health inspectors almost ruined a Juneteenth event.
The officials objected that free sandwiches – 600 of them – could not be served publicly if they were prepared offsite in a private home.
The official involved refuses to apologize because, after all, he was acting on behalf of the public health. I would give the Juneteenth celebrants credit for being able to judge their best interests at their picnic.
I’d also note how one-sided apologies concerning municipal officials are becoming. Thin-skinned officials are quick to complain about lawful comments that they “don’t appreciate,” but when they unfairly inconvenience or badger others they contend what they did was in the interest of a higher public good.
I seldom watch television, but that doesn’t mean that I cannot appreciate quality programming.
Tonight, on the History Channel, there is a double feature of Monster Quest beginning at 7 p.m. The first episode is about ghosts, and the second is about giant killer snakes.
I do not believe that these monsters really exist, but the people who earnestly insist that they do are often endearing eccentrics.
A cruel society would torment people like this. It is a measure of Americans’ respect for individual rights that we do not bully harmless dreamers searching for giant apes or supernatural wolves just beyond their backyards.
I received the following press release Alzheimer’s Association. It’s my pleasure to post it.
Milwaukee, WI – June 24, 2008 – The 2nd annual Alzheimer’s Association Memory Walk® for Walworth County will be held on Saturday, September 20, 2008 at Library Park in Lake Geneva. The 3-mile walk promises fun for all ages while raising money to help individuals and families affected by Alzheimer’s disease. Teams of friends, co-workers, neighbors, family members, and corporations are forming now – join the fun and register as a team.
All walkers are encouraged to set a goal of raising at least $100. Proceeds of the event support the Association’s full mission of programs and services for families affected by Alzheimer’s disease, including a 24/7 Helpline, support groups, research, education and training programs.
Anyone interested in forming or participating on a walk team should call the Southeastern Wisconsin Chapter office at (414) 479-8800 for more information and an invitation to the kick-off event scheduled for July 15th at Next Door Pub in Lake Geneva. Individual and team registration for the Memory Walk can be done online at www.alz.org/sewi.
The Alzheimer’s Association is a national non-profit organization dedicated to eliminating Alzheimer’s disease through the advancement of research and to enhance care and support for individuals, their families, and caregivers. The Alzheimer’s Association of Southeastern Wisconsin provides information, education, and support to people with Alzheimer’s and related dementias, their families, and healthcare professionals throughout an 11-county region. For more information about Alzheimer’s disease and local services visit www.alz.org/sewi or call the toll-free, 24-hour Helpline at 800-272-3900.
· Alzheimer’s is the sixth leading cause of death in the United States.
· Alzheimer’s is not normal aging, it is a progressive and fatal disease.
· By 2050, experts predict that there will be as many as 16 million Americas living with the disease
· One out of eight people age 65 and older have Alzheimer’s and nearly one out of every two over age 85 has it.
I neglected to mention that yesterday, on June 24th, 1947, pilot Kenneth Arnold’s supposed sighting of a UFO in the Pacific northwest led to the widespread use of the term flying saucer. It’s not a moment in Wisconsin history — it’s a national moment.
In Wisconsin history today, in 1950, the Korean War began when communist North Korea invaded the south. According to the Wisconsin Historical Society, over 132,000 Wisconsinites served, in some capacity, in defense of (now) South Korea.
For a catalog — thorough but yet incomplete — of the crimes of communism, there’s no better place to start than The Black Book of Communism. It’s now translated into English, and editor Stephane Courtois catalogs the violence, murder, and oppression of communism. The Korean War was, sadly, only one episode of communism’s murderous ambition. Courtois provides a catalog.
For us, the National Weather Service predicts an even chance of thunderstorms with a high of 86 degrees. The Farmers’ Almanac predicts hot and dry weather, then thunderstorms, for this time in June.
Whitewater will conduct its 13th Downtown Clean Sweep this Thursday, June 26, from 8 AM to 1 PM.
Here are the details:
What: Downtown Clean Sweep
Where: Meet behind Randix at 8 AM, or any time between 8 and 1 for information on what to do.
When: Thursday, June 26, from 8 AM to 1 PM. (Feel free to join for just an hour or two if that’s all the time you have.)
What to bring: Gloves if you have them, and brooms, which we seem to be short of. We’ll have bags.
What we’ll do: Pick up litter and weed municipal parking lots and other properties.
Every volunteer will receive a coupon for a free cup of coffee, courtesy of the Sweet Spot!
For more information, contact Tami or see the attached flyer.
The Downtown Whitewater Organization Committee
Tamara Brodnicki
Executive Director
Downtown Whitewater, Inc.
162 West Main Street, Suite L
Whitewater, Wisconsin 53190
Phone: 1-262-473-2200
Mobile: 1-920-723-3375
director@downtownwhitewater.com
www.downtownwhitewater.com
Here’s a copy of the original flyer for the event:
There are no municipal public meetings scheduled today.
In Wisconsin history today, according to the Wisconsin Historical Society, in 1946 the unfortunate town of Mellen, Wisconsin received 11.72 inches of rain within a single day. That total remains a Wisconsin record.
For us, the National Weather Service predicts no worse than a slight chance of showers with a high of 82 degrees. The Farmers’ Alamanc is so general in its prediction that they have nothing specific for our state today.
I saw a story in the Chicago Tribune about how red-winged blackbirds were attacking pedestrians and cyclists along walkways in Chicago. The Tribune story, to which I have linked, even has photographs of a blackbird attacking a cyclist.
No how, no way did the poor cyclist deserve such mistreatment.
The attacks are so common that residents in the area have nicknamed one of the most ferocious birds “Hitchcock,” after that director’s film of birds gone bad.
The photograph from the Tribune shows the offending blackbird poorly; I have a photo of a genuine agelaius phoeniceus so readers can get a better look at this threat from above. See you yourself —
If you look closely, you can almost make out a smirk on the little miscreant’s beak.
What’s wrong with the people of Chicago, cowering before a pesky little blackbird? Stand tall, city of the broad shoulders, hog butcher to the world!
Besides, America has the technology to handle a problem like this: fight blackbirds with the Blackbird.
America should bring her own Blackbird, a Mach 3 spy plane, out of retirement to handle this avian menace. The Pentagon spent a lot of money for Lockheed’s über-cool, super-fast plane, the SR-71 Blackbird. They cost over thirty million apiece, back when thirty million meant something. Stick a few guns on this thing, and Hitchcock the blackbird will meet his match in Lockheed’s SR-71 Blackbird.
Here’s a short video of the Blackbird plane in flight.
Guaranteed, this will scare the feathers off any agelaius phoeniceus, especially if the plane swoops through the canyons of Chicago’s skyscrapers on the way to its target. A little machine gun fire, a rocket or two, some flares, and the problem’s solved.
The SR-71 Blackbird is proof of great American engineering; according to a website I found, engineers with slide rules designed the plane. Birds can’t even read slide rules, and even if they could, I don’t think that their little feet could manipulate the slide properly.
We have no reason to defer to them.
Chicago – be strong. Defend your city!
Meanwhile, there are probably 500 Chicago municipal corruption cases that the Tribune hasn’t even covered…
Nice to see that the paper has its priorities straight. They’re almost ready to join a chain of Wisconsin weeklies…more >>
I went to visit the Jefferson Super Wal-Mart over the weekend, and I saw that it sells, beer, wine, and liquor in the grocery aisles.
How can that be? Listening to some in Whitewater, one would think that any presence of alcohol is a safety and security risk for a community.
I looked around, but I saw no marauding drunks, or pillaging rumpots, no wilding youth, anywhere. Not even one smashed farmer with a pitchfork. Not one.
I did see a lot of people shopping, but foolish me for not being more alert to the evils of demon rum.
There are no public meetings scheduled for the City of Whitewater, but there is a school board meeting tonight at 7 p.m.
Items on the school district agenda include:
Announcements and Recognitions (None)
Student Reports (None)
Resignations (Action Item)
District Administrator Reports (none)
New Business — 2007-09 WEA Collective Bargaining Agreement Ratification (Action Item)
First Reading of Policies 343.7, Distance Learning Teachers; 458, Student Nutrition and Wellness Education; and 537.1, Professional Staff Development Opportunities (Action Item)
I have remarked before that the district should include, in each meeting, some remarks on successful, substantive achievement. This keeps the focus of each meeting on success in core aspects of education. Is it so hard to queue these remarks for each meeting?
The National Weather Service reports that today will be sunny and 72. The Farmers’ Almanac predicts heavy rain for the Ohio valley, then fair. We’re not even part of their midwest prediction.
In Wisconsin History today, there are two aviation events. In 1911, Wisconsin native John Schwister flew Wisconsin’s first home-built airplane. Decades later, on this same date in 1950, Wisconsin experienced an aviation tragedy when a Northwest Airlines flight disappeared over Lake Michigan. Nearly 60 passengers and crew were killed.