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Daily Bread for 7.28.19

Good morning.

Sunday in Whitewater will see scattered morning showers on an otherwise partly cloudy day with a high of eighty-seven.  Sunrise is 5:42 AM and sunset 8:19 PM, for 14h 36m 55s of daytime.  The moon is a waning crescent with 16.9% of its visible disk illuminated.
Today is the nine hundred ninety-second day.

On this day in 1868, Secretary of State William Seward certifies the adoption of the Fourteenth Amendment.

Recommended for reading in full:

Toluse Olorunnipa and Ashley Parker report Trump campaign sees political advantage in a divisive appeal to working-class white voters:

President Trump launched another broadside Saturday on a Democratic political opponent, calling a prominent black congressman’s Baltimore district a “disgusting, rat and rodent infested mess” and saying “no human being would want to live there.”

That Twitter attack on Rep. Elijah E. Cummings (D-Md.) plunged the nation into yet another anguished debate over the president’s divisive rhetoric. And it came just two weeks after Trump called out four minority congresswomen with a racist go-back-to-your-country taunt.

….

But Trump’s advisers had concluded after the previous tweets that the overall message sent by such attacks is good for the president among his political base — resonating strongly with the white working-class voters he needs to win reelection in 2020.

This has prompted them to find ways to fuse Trump’s nativist rhetoric with a love-it-or-leave-it appeal to patriotism ahead of the 2020 election, while seeking to avoid the overtly racist language the president used in his tweets about the four congresswomen.

Ronald Brownstein writes Will Trump’s Racist Attacks Help Him? Ask Blue-Collar White Women (‘His strategy rests on a bet: that these voters will respond just as enthusiastically to his belligerence as working-class white men’):

Donald Trump’s turn toward more overt racism in his “go back” attacks on four Democratic congresswomen of color rests on an unspoken bet: that the women who are part of his core constituencies will respond to his acrimony as enthusiastically as the men.

But polling throughout Trump’s presidency has indicated that his belligerent and divisive style raises more concern among women voters than men in one of his most important cohorts: the white working class. And a new set of focus groups in small-town and rural communities offers fresh evidence that the gender gap over Trump within this bloc is hardening.

….

Trump must maximize his margins—and turnout—among the groups that have been most receptive to his exclusionary racist and cultural messages: older, nonurban, evangelical-Christian, and non-college-educated white voters.

….

But Trump’s strategy faces a huge obstacle if working-class women don’t buy in to his message as much as working-class men. That’s for a simple reason: Every data source—from the exit polls to the Pew Research Center’s analysis of voter files to studies by Catalist, a Democratic voter-targeting firm—shows that these women reliably cast slightly more than half of all the votes from the white working class.

(Quite the bet, but then Trump has nowhere else to turn.)

The Birdman of Idaho Has Built Homes for Over 40,000 Bluebirds:

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joe
3 years ago

“Blue collar white working class voter” is code for “Trump’s most reliable racist base”. They are not his base because they are Blue Collar, or Workers, but rather that they are implacably racist. Trump isn’t playing for their votes. He already has them. He is working on his post-election strategy, when he will need them heavily armed and in the streets. There can’t be any other rational reason why he is making no attempt to convince anyone who isn’t already voting for him to support him. He can read polls, too, and knows he isn’t going to win this one legitimately.

That is also why Yertle is greasing every skid for election interference. McConnell is the most loathsome creature in politics, and his legacy will be with us for decades after I’m dead. There has to something extraordinarily sinister behind Yertle’s treason…

The Democrats need to stop chasing the unicorn and realize that Trump voters are not his voters because of some sort of economic reason, but solely because of his racial animus. Trump voters may well be under economic stress, but that isn’t why they love Trump. For Democrats to woo these voters is futile. The only way to convert them is to out-racist Trump, and that is a Sisyphian task.

Voting for Biden because he appeals to Blue-collar voters is not a productive way to use votes. Biden is not enough of a racist to win any Trump voters, although he has dipped a toe in those waters in the past. The Democrats have plenty of voters to elect anyone they want, assuming that Democrats get off their asses and actually vote in enough numbers to swamp out the inevitable meddling. Their recent embrace of weed legalization is a positive step toward getting a lot of otherwise lethargic young voters to the polls.

Wouldn’t it be ironic if the devil weed saved democracy??