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Daily Bread: August 14, 2008

Good morning, Whitewater

The City of Whitewater has scheduled no public meetings for today. It’s been a private sector, private life week.

On this day in Wisconsin history, in 1935, according to the Wisconsin Historical Society, “the Social Security Act was signed into law by President Franklin Roosevelt. The act, originally proposed to Congress under the name “Economic Security Bill” was drafted by the Committee on Economic Security, whose Executive Staff Director was Edwin E. Witte, economics professor at the University of Wisconsin and prominent social insurance expert.”

For ideas on choice in Social Security, and how the system could be improved, see http://www.socialsecurity.org/

Freedom Fest 2008: The Future of Politics

Here’s a video of a panel discussion at Freedom Fest 2008, a gathering of libertarian authors and scholars.

This panel includes Steve Forbes, David Boaz, Richard Viguerie, and Bob Barr, discussing the Future of Politics. The event was held this year in mid July in Las Vegas.

(Here’s a link to the impressive list of speakers at this year’s meeting. I was not at this year’s meeting, but I am on a list for information about future events. )


more >>

Daily Bread: August 13, 2008

Good morning, Whitewater

The National Weather Service, predicts a high in the upper 70s and a nearly even chance of thunderstorms. The Farmers’ Almanac continues a multi-day series by predicting that conditions will be “squally over the Great Lakes.”

Whitewater has scheduled no public meetings for today.

On this day in Wisconsin history, in 1936, according to the Wisconsin Historical Society, a freight trained derailed near Janesville, with property damage including a loss of thirteen oil tankers, at a cost of $150,000.

Techniques of Municipal Distraction (Numbers 10-18)

Here are numbers 10-18 of my list of Techniques of Municipal Distraction, suitable for self-interested politicians and bureaucrats in towns across America.

(Numbers 1-9 are available in an earlier post.)

These are among the most common tactics for a local CYA effort:

10. When Policy is Questioned, Defend on Integrity. If someone questions your actions, then defend by insisting that you’re a good person. Shift the story away from policy. Fast!

11. When Integrity is Questioned, Defend on Policy. If someone questions your integrity, then insist that (1) you have lots of experience, (2) and you’ve always done things this way. (Most people won’t see the irony in this defense.)

12. Insist on the Importance of Prior, Specialized Experience or Knowledge. Always insist on your experience, tenure, and training if you’d think it will help you.

13. Speak to the Core. This isn’t just some hip business psychology mantra, it’s sound advice.

Forget most people – they’re nothing to someone like you, with a career and important responsibilities. The hoi polloi only matter if looking sympathetic to them will get you a few votes.

You should concern yourself with so-called insiders, people of influence, movers and shakers: your core constituency. They count.

It doesn’t matter if others think you’re wrong, or look foolish. They don’t count, especially if you’re unelected.

14. Line Up Toadies to Flack Your Line. Don’t let the truth get you down – fight back with your own version of events. That version needs a voice, and where better to look than a stable of willing sycophants? You should have people ready to comment in support of your views, on cue. Make sure they know how to divert attention from truthful, substantive issues to your town’s official (and admittedly asinine) positions.

15. Be Hypocritical. Look, it’s about time municipal officials realize terms like “hypocrisy,” or “inconsistency” are just bigoted assaults on local government. People who say these things are haters, the worst kind of haters, really: government haters.

If they understood how hard it was, they’d shut up and stay home.

Shift positions to your advantage – embrace a situational ethics. If some seek information, insist on confidentiality. If others seek confidentiality, insist on openness.

BONUS TIP: You don’t have to believe in principle, but you do have to convince others that you do.

16. Blame Outsiders. This works well in small towns with a local group that dislikes outsiders. If you have a small minority of outsiders who are different by ethnicity, or age, your prospects are even better.

The Russian Federation often blames its problems on ethnic minorities, e.g., “Our crops have failed. It must be the Uzbeks again!” Remember, some falsely believe that most of America’s problems are caused by radicals, agitators, students, misfits, vegetarians, Communists, ethnic advocacy groups, or the ACLU.

Make that false notion work for you — blaming any or all of them will seem reasonable to your core supporters.

17. New Media. Unfortunately, it’s increasingly difficult to control information merely through a small-town newspaper, local radio station, city newsletter, or city website.

Bloggers, talk radio, and local newspapers with comment boards may be beyond your control. Even a few critical remarks on a newspaper comment board will undermine your efforts at lining up support. Print was more manageable than the digital world.

You have two options, neither of which is auspicious.

First, you can create your own digital media, or have die-hard supporters do so, to broadcast your message. Unfortunately, a media savvy electorate will see many of your efforts as crude flacking of the status quo. The medium is the message, right up until the moment that it’s presented as a medium just like the old ones. Old wine won’t keep in new wine skins, so to speak.

Second, you can limit press exposure as much as possible, to avoid unfavorable commentary. You can’t control blogs, or comment boards, but you can work to limit information that will generate stories. Instead of trying to present bad news in the best light, try to squelch the news entirely.

This strategy toward silence is difficult, but it will reduce uncontrollable chatter. People can’t reply to what’s not published in the traditional press. Work as hard as you can to keep critical stories about policy from your small town newspaper – how hard can that be?

Don’t try to spin stories in advance of critical commentary, either — that’s too clever by half. You’ll be flagging your concerns, no matter how you try to hide them behind a favorable presentation.

Never, ever let your core supporters (who may rely on traditional media) see you enter an exchange or debate with a critic. Even mention of your critics should be kept from media that are friendly to you.

Strictly speaking, you have no legitimate critics. That’s impossible – you’re a public servant, someone by essence selfless and profound. You’re above so-called ‘critics.’

If you enter a debate, you might not prevail. You must always seem to prevail, especially before your friends. One slip is one slip too many. ‘Stay frosty,’ just like the characters in Aliens, who momentarily panicked when they realized that they were going to get eaten by creatures they couldn’t control. True, most got eaten anyway, but your chances will improve if you stay calm and keep the media quiet.

18. Don’t Shovel Anything that Stinks (Too Much). I know you want to get your story out, but don’t put out a weak story – that’s just a toehold for those who suspect that you’re willing to spin anything to look good. Don’t offer mediocre studies, ever – someone might check the underlying data for accuracy and reliability.

Avoid claims that can be refuted easily. Keep as much underlying data away from the public as you can!

REMEMBER: Public ignorance boosts your prospects. Your prospects are the true public interest. You know the rest…

Techniques of Municipal Distraction (Numbers 1-9)

Imagine that you’re a bureaucrat or long-term politician in a municipality with budget problems, failed police leadership, restrictive enforcement, or other embarrassments.

Yours could be one of countless towns in America.

What to do?

The easiest path, and the one that you’ll likely take, it is commit to techniques of distraction rather than acknowledge, let alone solve, any of your city’s problems.

These are among the most common tactics for a local CYA effort:

1. Admit No Wrongdoing or Fault. In almost all cases, it’s foolish to admit that you might have been wrong about something – it’s not whether you were wrong, but whether someone can prove it.

Relax – few people have good information, and most will neither know nor be inclined to look for independent information.

2. Deny Basic Facts. In most cases, you don’t want to deny anything. It’s too defensive.

If, however, you have to deny something, there are ways to deny effectively. If someone asks if you were somewhere, or said something unrecorded, tell them you weren’t there, or never made those statements. Deny big!

If you think they might be able to prove your conduct, say you can’t recall. They may never investigate further, or may come up empty despite the fundamental truth.

Always deny press inquiries indirectly, if you must, by answering as though you were posed a slightly different question. Never answer a difficult question with a direct, responsive, and candid answer.

You can answer minor questions honestly, but never serious, critical ones. This isn’t a confessional, after all. It’s politics and government, and your conduct is justified for higher ends. Never forget that you have a higher purpose that justifies so-called ‘misconduct.’ You’re above that – you’re practical in pursuit of the profound.

3. Cast Doubt Whenever Possible. If someone, unfortunately, gets word of a truth that you’d prefer remained concealed, you have some solid options: (1) question the accuracy of the information, even if it’s wholly accurate (2) the motivation of those who reveal it, and (3) insinuate there is other information – not yet revealed – that will make all clear, in time.

(Don’t worry about subpoint 3 – you need not have any other information – people will forget about missing the content of your offer, but will remember the offer itself. Say you wish you could say more, but you are unable to do so, based on some present limitation.)

BONUS TIP: Avoid worn-out expressions. For example, never, ever use the phrase “not at liberty to discuss,” as it’s so hackneyed it will be unpersuasive.

4. Forget Your State or Country – It’s All Local. Somewhere in your state legislature, or Washington, there’ll be legislators enacting laws that conflict with what you want. Some of these people are just self-interested politicians like you.

A few, though, are something far worse: do-good reformers who want “to make a difference,” or “make the world a better place.” Don’t be fooled — idealists like this just make it hard for you to conduct business as usual.

Don’t give in – you’re playing a local game, so why not play by local rules? It’s easy to ignore or to counter-interpret state and federal laws. The law is what you say it is, for goodness’ sake. No one checks up on those statutes, anyway.

5. Use the Language of Pop Psychology. Only a fool calls critics idiots – say they’re just confused, or misguided, or angry, and you should express disappointment rather than anger or hostility in reply. Say they “seem” a certain way, and you’re even better off. After all, who really knows?

BONUS TIP: Be careful not to condescend too blatantly. Never offer banal quotations, for example, about enlightenment, inner peace, etc. You’re a public official, not a swami.

Serious public officials – especially ones with career aspirations – never make the mistake of speaking as though they’re better than others. Besides, you’ll just be offering fodder for bloggers, who will hold up your trite remarks as evidence of your arrogance, or cluelessness, or both.

6. Get Your Story Straight. Make sure anyone who might be questioned has a common account and set of talking points. Contradictions in accounts will suggest your own dishonesty, or blame-shifting.

BONUS TIP: Never allow everyone in a chain to use the same peculiar phrase, especially if it’s uncommon, as it will be obvious that you’re on the defensive and huddling together.

7. Find Compliant Reporters. If you’re from a small town, then this should be easy. There will be a local reporter who’ll want access. Give it to him or her, on your terms. Cultivate their trust, and they’ll be less likely to present you with uncomfortable questions about your city’s performance.

8. Write Your Own Stories — Offer them Verbatim. You shouldn’t wait for real news; it’s your job to make good news.

9. Avoid Direct Quotations. When a reporter writes a story that might be unfavorable, but he or she is supportive of you, you should be able to make sure that you’re not quoted on the record. That way, if your statement is questioned, then you’ll be able to say that the reporter misunderstood what you “actually” said.

BONUS TIP: This technique is only likely to work with some reporters; others will see that you’re putting them at risk of blame-casting should the story become controversial.

Next — additional techniques for your assured success.

The Insecurity of TSA Security

Over at Philosecurity.org, security analyst Sherri Davidoff recounts what it’s like to try to fly from Boston’s Logan Airport without a wallet and ID.

Her story reveals that TSA security is worrisome, as it asks the wrong information of a passenger without identification, assuring no security while unnecessarily intruding into other matters of personal privacy.

If there are better examples of federal show over substance than the TSA, I do not know of them.

Here’s the link:

http://philosecurity.org/2008/08

/10/flying-without-a-wallet

Pajamas Media: “Will Barr Have an Impact on Presidential Race?”

Over at Pajamas Media, there’s an article asking, “Will Barr Have an Impact on Presidential Race?”

It’s an article that combines a description of Barr’s views with an assessment of his likely impact. Here’s the impact assessment:

The campaign seems under no illusions about their chance of victory, describing it to me as “a long, hard hill to climb,” but continues to insist they are in this race to win. In terms of ballot access, Barr has already defied some early expectations. With a recent court victory in Ohio they are now on track to appear on the ballots of 49 states and the District of Columbia, with only Oklahoma leaving Bob out in the cold. In state by state surveys he has managed to score as high as 5% in a few places, including his home stomping grounds of Georgia. While victory may currently appear out of reach, many states are shaping up to be a photo finish between Obama and McCain. Bob Barr may well have more of an impact on the 2008 presidential election than many would have suspected or desired.

That’s probably as accurate a prediction as one could make in mid-August.

Daily Bread: August 12, 2008

Good morning, Whitewater

Whitewater has no municipal public meetings scheduled today.

The National Weather Service, predicts a high of 78 degrees and a slight chance of thunderstorms. The Farmers’ Almanac starts a new four-day series by predicting that the weather will be “squally over the Great Lakes.”

On this day in American history, in 1981, IBM unveiled the 5150 personal computer. Here are some of the details, from Wired.com:

The 16-kb base model, with no data-storage drives included, cost $1,565 ($3,770 in today’s money). If you loaded a 64-kB box with all the standard features, that jumped to $2,880 ($6,930 today), and souped up with color graphics and 256 kB, it’d cost you about $6,000 ($14,400 today). Available software included the VisiCalc spreadsheet, Easywriter 1.0 and Adventure, Microsoft’s first game.

IBM retailed the 5150 through ComputerLand and Sears, Roebuck. It sold 65,000 PCs in four months, with 100,000 orders taken by Christmas.

Bob Barr Condemns Bungled Police Raid as Example of Unaccountable Law Enforcement Agencies

Here’s an August 11th press release from the Barr Campaign, on a bungled police raid in Maryland, about which I posted earlier tonight:

Atlanta, GA — “We typically make fun of bungled police operations by saying they were conducted by the gang that couldn’t shoot straight,” notes Bob Barr, the Libertarian Party candidate for president. “In this case they could shoot straight—as a result, they killed a family’s two dogs in the midst of a misguided drug raid.

In the case in Berwyn Heights, Maryland, county police raided the mayor’s home, in a case in which he appears to have been victimized by drug smugglers, who shipped marijuana to the addresses of a half-dozen unsuspecting families. “Rather than carefully checking the facts, including talking to the local police department, the county authorities acted rashly, illustrating how the drug war threatens the liberties of all Americans,” notes Barr, a former U.S. Attorney. The police broke down the door rather than knocking and charged in with guns drawn. They killed the couple’s two Labradors, one while it was running away. Mayor Cheye Calvo spent two hours in hand-cuffs while in his boxer shorts; his mother-in-law was hand-cuffed in another room, left beside one of the dead dogs.

“Absent exigent circumstances, not present here, so-called no-knock raids are an affront to the Constitution,” explains Barr. “So is a shoot first, ask questions later philosophy by the police. Yet the Prince George’s police have done this before—last fall they invaded a house at the wrong address and shot the family dog. All Americans are at risk when the police behave this way. Just ask yourself what might happen if a suspicious package is delivered to your home and the cops bust in,” says Barr

“But there is an even larger point. Law enforcement agencies have become more arrogant and less accountable in cases other than those involving drugs. Most people are aware of well-publicized examples like Waco and Ruby Ridge, but similar abuses are common across the country, though they usually receive little or no public notice,” notes Barr. “We all want police to do their jobs well, but part of doing their job well is respecting the people’s constitutional liberties.”

“As president I will ensure that federal law enforcement agencies set a good example for the rest of the country,” says Barr. “In a Barr administration, government officials will never forget that it is a free people they are protecting.”

Bob Barr represented the 7th District of Georgia in the U. S. House of Representatives from 1995 to 2003, where he served as a senior member of the Judiciary Committee, as Vice-Chairman of the Government Reform Committee, and as a member of the Committee on Financial Services. Prior to his congressional career, Barr was appointed by President Reagan to serve as the United States Attorney for the Northern District of Georgia, and also served as an official with the CIA. Since leaving Congress, Barr has been practicing law and has teamed up with groups ranging from the American Civil Liberties Union to the American Conservative Union to actively advocate every American citizens’ right to privacy and other civil liberties guaranteed in the Bill of Rights. Along with this, Bob is committed to helping elect leaders who will strive for smaller government, lower taxes and abundant individual freedom.

Something’s Rotten about Policing in the State of Maryland, and Elsewhere

I’ve written about what’s rotten in the state of Maryland before: a tradition of spying or intimidating political critics. It’s a problem that began under former Democratic governor William Schaefer, and apparently resumed under former Republican governor Bob Ehrlich.

There’s more trouble in that troubled state: an apparent pattern of excessive force, sometimes wholly mistaken, against drug suspects. The most recent case involves a mistaken police raid on the home of Berwyn Heights, Maryland’s mayor, of all people.

The Prince George’s police department raided the mayor’s home, restrained the mayor, his wife, and mother-in-law, and killed his dogs on the theory that he had knowingly received a drug shipment. It wasn’t knowing at all – drug dealers will sometimes send a shipment to an unsuspecting homeowner, and intercept the package on its arrival. They must have thought that sending it to the mayor’s house would make suspicion and surveillance less likely.

Predictably, the police department refuses to apologize, and is the subject of lawsuits for similar erroneous and excessive use of force. (Serious, independent law enforcement officials contacted by area newspapers are on record stating that the raid was wrongly executed, and likely need not have involved killing of household pets.)

A startling example of unprofessionalism – the mayor contends that during the raid, while he and his family were restrained, a member of the police department used her cell phone to call someone and recount how exciting the raid was, that it was her first, and that she was at the mayor’s house.

The department is now the subject of a federal civil rights review. From the Post article to which I link, it’s evident that the department is concerned about outside review.

That’s an admission of inadequacy — a competent, professional department fears no independent review.

Why do I write that failure to acknowledge mistakes in procedure is predictable? Because when leadership in a force goes bad, it often goes thoroughly bad, and no excuse or rationalization is off limits. The same leaders who will not enforce good practices will insist that they’re without error.

To someone who doesn’t read about these cases, it seems startling and shocking. To those who do, it’s an all-too-common response of failed leadership. In mistakes like this, officials responsible often admit no true accountability or responsibility. That defensive, stonewalling response is typical – predictable — in a poorly led department.

These problems are not confined to Maryland: they’re present anywhere that leaders take a we-can-make-no-mistakes, need-accept-no-blame attitude.

Law enforcement leaders of this ilk batten on the natural desire of citizens to support their police to get away with third-rate leadership.

The Only Fair Trade is Free Trade

Over at the Christian Science Monitor, Gene Callahan of the excellent Foundation for Economic Education (FEE) has a article describing how fair trade schemes actually hurt third world residents.

Fair trade props up inefficient producers and pulls resources in people and land from their most efficient, productive uses.

The article, excerpted from FEE’s own publication, the Freeman, may be found at

http://www.csmonitor.com/200

8/0808/p09s02-coop.html

Only a Principled Case Against Obama Will Do

There is a serious, principled case against Sen. Obama: that he will regulate too much, spend too much, tax too much, and compromise too much on security-state legislation and foreign adventures once in office.

When libertarians debate Obama’s supporters on these points, libertarians can carry the day.

No one, however, can beat him through crackpot conspiracy theories about his birth certificate, or supposed audio tapes of his wife’s statements, etc.

(For examples of how screwy the Obama conspiracy theorists are, see David Weigel’s update on their nuttiness at http://www.reason.com/blog/

show/128025.html)

No one will beat Obama through conspiracy theories – it’s win or lose on principle.

Having made so many compromises on core beliefs, though, principle is something the GOP may find is in short supply.

Predictive Political Markets

One way to predict the outcome of the presidential race is through a market.

The University of Iowa operates an electronic futures market where investors can purchase futures in a presidential candidate. The market fluctuates as the value of those contracts rise or fall with a candidate’s prospects.

Here’s a description of the market:

“The Iowa Electronic Markets are small-scale, real-money futures markets where contract payoffs depend on economic and political events such as elections.”

I follow the markets regularly – right now they show Obama with a slight edge in vote share, but a reasonably larger value in the winner take all market.

Here’s the link to the markets:

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/

quotes/Pres08_quotes.html