FREE WHITEWATER

Donohue’s Technical Memorandum 2 (Population)

WGTB logo PNG 112x89 Post 23 in a series. When Green Turns Brown is an examination of a small town’s digester-energy project, in which Whitewater, Wisconsin would import other cities’ waste, claiming that the result would be both profitable and green.

Engineering firm Donohue prepared several memoranda about their proposal for Whitewater’s wastewater facility. In posts 19 and 20 in this series – The Scope of Donohue’s Work (Part 1), The Scope of Donohue’s Work (Part 2) – one sees that Donohue describes a strategic direction for Whitewater (selling water, importing waste) that neither City Manager Clapper nor Wastewater Superintendent Reel has mentioned as a primary goal in any of their published presentations. (The public presentations do not match the published strategic direction in fundamental ways. The gap suggests either a lack of candor or a lack of focus.)

Today, I’ll look at a part of Donohue’s Technical Memorandum 2, Flows, Loadings, and Existing Conditions (embedded in full, below). A critical portion of that memorandum – a work for which in total Whitewater would pay Donohue over a million in fees – raises questions about Donohue’s understanding of the city’s population and demographics, among other topics.

(Every question in this series has a unique number, assigned chronologically based on when it was asked.  All the questions from When Green Turns Brown can be found in the Question Bin.  Today’s questions begin with No. 164.)

In Section 4.1 (Growth Projections), Donohue writes that “[d]ifferent projections were developed based on information from the US Census, Wisconsin Department of Administration (DOA), and the City of Whitewater.”  I’ve placed the table below.

Table 14

164.  Why these three estimates – not why three estimates, but why these three?

165.  Of the three, aren’t two of these sources (Wisconsin Department of Administration, City of Whitewater) expressly political bodies in the way that the third (U.S. Census Bureau) is not?

166.  Wouldn’t a political body have an incentive to contend for population increases as evidence of growth, vitality, etc.?

167.  Of the City of Whitewater’s case, Donohue writes that

The population of the City of Whitewater has steadily increased for several decades. However, the City is anticipating significant growth through the year 2035. The census population for the City was 14,390 in 2010. The City?led growth study predicted a growth rate of 0.93 percent annually for 2008 to 2013, and the City has adopted this growth rate for long?range planning purposes. Based on this data, the year 2035 (design year) population is projected to be 18,398.

Why would the City-led growth study assume that a bounceback-from-recession, pre-university-cuts level of growth from ’08-’13 would continue identically each year for the next 22 years?  What does it reliably mean, if anything, that Whitewater takes a number from the recent past and simply ‘adopts’ it as a standard for the next two decades?

168.  Does the City of Whitewater analysis take into account university cuts’ impact on the economy and growth of our city since 2013?  If not, why not?

169.  If the City of Whitewater projections do take into account university cuts’ impact on the economy and growth of our city since 2013, and still the city estimates significant growth, then does City Manager Clapper conclude that the cuts will have no impact on growth?

170.  Aren’t a recent study and findings from Sarah Kemp of the Applied Population Laboratory at the University of Wisconsin-Madison on enrollment and demographics in the Whitewater Unified School  District evidence that, in the city and surrounding area, growth that produces enrollment gains will be tepid?  Why would one conclude in favor of the City of Whitewater’s rosy population estimates (simply adopting an increase for the next two decades) over actual evidence of decline (in this case, of school enrollment, and therefore families bringing children into area schools)?

171.  Why does Donohue not use population protections from the Southeastern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission (SEWRPC)?  They make no mention of the SEWPRC or its work in population projection and analysis.  (The Southeastern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission (SEWRPC) “is the official metropolitan planning organization (MPO) and regional planning commission (RPC) for the seven county southeastern Wisconsin area.” Walworth County is part of the organization, an organization founded in 1960. Their data are for Walworth County. )

172.  If Donohue had used the respected Southeastern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission estimates, wouldn’t they have found 15,838 as the 2035 population estimate (SEWRPC Regional Land Use Plan (Intermediate Growth Scenario) or 15,273 (Trend Based)? (See, Comprehensive Plan for Walworth County: 2035.)

173.  Of the five available population projections, hasn’t Donohue adopted one that’s ten-percent higher than the U.S. Census (simply projected by Donohue linearly) and sixteen-percent higher than our area’s own regional planning authority’s estimates for our principal county?

174.  Was Donohue even aware of the Southeastern Wisconsin Regional Planning Commission work?  If so, shouldn’t they explain the decision to omit it?  If not, why would Whitewater’s city administration , itself, ignore that work, and leave Donohue’s ignorance of it uncorrected?

Donohue Technical Memo 2, Flows, Loadings, and Existing Conditions, http://www.whitewater-wi.gov/images/stories/public_works/wastewater/Donohue_Technical_Memo_2_-_Flows_Loadings_and_Existing_Conditions.pdf.

Next Time: “Estimates of Future Flows and Loadings,” showing again how this project is, fundamentally and not incidentally, about the importation of other cities’ unwanted waste into Whitewater.

WHEN GREEN TURNS BROWN: Mondays @ 10 AM, here on FREE WHITEWATER.

Daily Bread for 8.3.15

Good morning, Whitewater.

Monday in Whitewater will be sunny and clear, with a high of eighty. Sunrise is 5:49 and sunset 8:12, for 14h 23m 53s of daytime. The moon is a waning gibbous with 87.3% of its visible disk illuminated.

On this day in 1958, the USS Nautilus completes a trip beneath the Arctic icecap:

USS Nautilus (SSN-571) was the world’s first operational nuclear-powered submarine. The vessel was the first submarine to complete a submerged transit to the North Pole on 3 August 1958. Sharing names with Captain Nemo‘s fictional submarine in Jules Verne‘s Twenty Thousand Leagues Under the Sea, and named after anotherUSS Nautilus (SS-168) that served with distinction in World War II, Nautilus was authorized in 1951 and launched in 1954. Because her nuclear propulsion allowed her to remain submerged far longer than diesel-electric submarines, she broke many records in her first years of operation, and traveled to locations previously beyond the limits of submarines. In operation, she revealed a number of limitations in her design and construction. This information was used to improve subsequent submarines.

Nautilus was decommissioned in 1980 and designated a National Historic Landmark in 1982. The submarine has been preserved as a museum of submarine history inGroton, Connecticut, where the vessel receives some 250,000 visitors a year.

A Google a Day asks a question about history:

What Frankish ruler is associated with the Carolingian Renaissance?

Sunday Animation: The Casebook of Nips & Porkington (2015)

The Casebook of Nips & Porkington (2015) from Melody Wang on Vimeo.

A Sheridan 4th year animated short film done primarily in Toonboom Harmony and Photoshop.

www.nipsandporkington.tumblr.com
www.mellowatt.com
www.mellowatt.tumblr.com
https://www.facebook.com/pages/Mellowatt/1446255342343757

Film by Melody Wang
Score by Xintong Wang

Voice Talents
Elaine Wise as Constable Nips
Elliot Cowan as Porkington, the rat, and Mr. Goose
Kirsten Lloyd as Mrs. Goose

Mentors
Nancy Beiman
Bruno Degazio

Minions
Danial Darabi
Rui Hao
Jack Hincenbergs
Marissa Iavazzi
Ruby Xia
Xin Wu

Daily Bread for 8.2.15

Good morning, Whitewater.

Sunday in town will be partly cloudy, with a high of ninety, and strong scattered thunderstorms in the late afternoon.

When a bison at a national park attacks a tourist, as happens now and again, whose fault is that?  In the FW poll for Friday, 77.27% of respondents said the park visitors should be responsible, 18.18% said the park should be responsible, and 4.55% said the bison should be responsible.  If it should be the bison’s responsibility, perhaps that leads to a recipe.

 

On this day in 1865, the crew of the Shenandoah finally accept news of the South’s surrender:

The captain and crew of the C.S.S. Shenandoah, still prowling the waters of the Pacific in search of Yankee whaling ships, is finally informed by a British vessel that the South has lost the war.

The Shenandoah was the last major Confederate cruiser to set sail. Launched as a British vessel in September 1863, it was purchased by the Confederates and commissioned in October 1864. The 230-foot-long craft was armed with eight large guns and a crew of 73 sailors. Commanded by Captain James I. Waddell, theShenandoah steered toward the Pacific and targeted Yankee whaling ships. Waddell enjoyed great success, taking six ships in the South Pacific before slipping into Melbourne, Australia, for repairs in January 1865.

Within a month, the Shenandoah was back on the loose, wreaking havoc in the waters around Alaska. The Rebel ship captured 32 additional Union vessels, most of which were burned. The damage was estimated at $1.6 million, a staggering figure in such a short period of time. Although the crew heard rumors that the Confederate armies had surrendered, Waddell continued to fight. He finally accepted an English captain’s report on August 2, 1865. The Shenandoah pulled off another remarkable feat by sailing from the northern Pacific all the way to Liverpool, England, without stopping at any ports. Arriving on November 6, Waddell surrendered his ship to British officials.

 

On this day in 1832, war in the Midwest ends:

1832 – Black Hawk War Ends

On this date the defeat of Black Hawk and his followers at the Battle of Bad Axe, ended the Black Hawk War. Black Hawk led the American troops northward while the rest of the Indians constructed rafts and canoes to facilitate an escape over the Mississippi river. The plan was successful initially but eventually General Atkinson realized the ruse. In the battle, women, children and the elderly hid behind rocks and logs and American soldiers often could not or did not differentiate between warriors and the women and children. Atkinson sent Wabasha and his Sioux warriors, enemies of the Sauk, after the approximately 150 members of the British Band that made it to the Western bank of the Mississippi. The Sauk, “escaped the best they could, and dispersed“, but only 22 women and childern were spared. Black Hawk escaped, but the Battle of Bad Axe marked the end of the war. [Source: Along the Black Hawk Trail by William F. Stark, p.142-153]

 

 

Daily Bread for 8.1.15

Good morning, Whitewater.

A new month begins with partly cloudy skies and a high of eighty-four. Sunrise is 5:46 and sunset 8:15, for 14h 28m 23s of daytime. The moon is a waning gibbous with 98.1% of its visible disk illuminated.

On this month in 1774, British scientist Joseph Priestly discovers a new gas, one that proves to be oxygen:

In August 1774 he isolated an “air” that appeared to be completely new, but he did not have an opportunity to pursue the matter because he was about to tour Europe with Shelburne. While in Paris, however, Priestley managed to replicate the experiment for others, including French chemist Antoine Lavoisier. After returning to Britain in January 1775, he continued his experiments and discovered “vitriolic acid air” (sulphur dioxide, SO2).
In March he wrote to several people regarding the new “air” that he had discovered in August. One of these letters was read aloud to the Royal Society, and a paper outlining the discovery, titled “An Account of further Discoveries in Air”, was published in the Society’s journal Philosophical Transactions.[101] Priestley called the new substance “dephlogisticated air”, which he made in the famous experiment by focusing the sun’s rays on a sample of mercuric oxide. He first tested it on mice, who surprised him by surviving quite a while entrapped with the air, and then on himself, writing that it was “five or six times better than common air for the purpose of respiration, inflammation, and, I believe, every other use of common atmospherical air”.[102] He had discovered oxygen gas (O2).

On this day in 1832, a ship prevents Black Hawk’s escape across the Mississippi:

1832 – Black Hawk’s Escape Across Mississippi Blocked
On this date the armed steamboat the Warrior reached the British Band on the Mississippi where they hoped to cross the river and escape the American troops. After being guided by a Sioux Indian, the ship which held an artillery piece, dropped anchor, making the Sauk escape virtually impossible. Black Hawk attempted to surrender to the Warrior, waving a white cloth, but the crew either did not understand or did not accept the message. The ship and its men opened fire, killing a number of unprepared Indians. [Source: Along the Black Hawk Trail by William F. Stark, p. 140-141]

Friday Poll: When Bison Attack


Some national parks in America have bison, some of those bison are ornery, some of those ornery bison will charge visitors to the parks, visitors who are charged are naturally slower than bison, and so some of those slower-than-bison visitors get gored.  The National Park Service warns visitors about bison attacks. (A recent injury involved a forty-three-year-old Mississippi woman who turned her back on a bison, apparently to take a selfie with the animal. She was treated and released with, fortunately, minor injuries.)

When bison attack, who should be held responsible?

Daily Bread for 7.31.15

Good morning, Whitewater.

July ends with sunny skies and a high of eighty-four. Sunrise is 5:45 and sunset 8:16, for 14h 30m 36s of daytime. We’ve a full moon tonight.

Of the moon, on this day in 1964 America’s Ranger 7 spacecraft spent back pictures of the lunar surface, more detailed than any seen before:

Pasadena, Calif., July 31 – Ranger 7 radioed to earth today the first close-up pictures of the moon – a historic collection of 4,000 pictures one thousand times as clear as anything ever seen through earth-bound telescopes.

Scientists here were hailing the achievement, which exceeded all expectations, as by far the greatest advance in lunar astronomy since Galileo.

They said the pictures not only represented a great leap in man’s knowledge of the moon, but also, on a more practical level, lent encouragement that the lunar surface was suitable for Project Apollo’s manned lunar landings.

The still pictures were snapped and transmitted in the last 17 minutes before the spacecraft [by design crashed] into an area northwest of the Sea of Clouds.

They meant in effect that the 240,000-mile distance to the moon had been shrunk by man’s ingenuity to a mere half-mile in terms of what he could see of its topography. They showed craters three feet in diameter and a foot to a foot and a half deep.

The best earthbound telescopes, handicapped by the shimmering mantle of the atmosphere, can shrink the lunar distance only to 500 miles and reveal features no smaller than about one-mile across.

On this day in 1967, Lake Geneva takes a stand for the preservation of Western civilization, assuring her place in history:

1967 – Lake Geneva Bans Go-Go Girls
On this date the Lake Geneva city government passed an ordinance banning go-go girls, dancers in bikinis, and swimsuit-clad waitresses from working in establishments that served alcohol. [Source: Janesville Gazette]

Here’s Friday’s puzzle from Puzzability:

This Week’s Game — July 27-31
Showstoppers
It’s curtains for us this week. For each day, we started with the title of a Broadway musical’s Act I closing number and replaced all the letters in each word—except the last letter—with asterisks. The name of the musical is presented the same way in parentheses.
Example:
******G ******Y (*****D)
Answer:
“Defying Gravity” (Wicked)
What to Submit:
Submit the song title and the musical’s title (as “Defying Gravity (Wicked)” in the example) for your answer.
Friday, July 31
***E ********D ******G (****H ******C)

Message Frenzy

If one runs a business, and has a sale scheduled, advertising the time and place of the sale is vital: people won’t attend events of which they’ve no knowledge.

Some news stories are like this: reporting on an approaching storm requires quick publication of the weather.

It’s not true, however, that every story requires quick publication: some are instant coffee, but others are slowly cold-brewed. 

Looking at Whitewater, or communities close to Whitewater, one sees how many stories are rushed, how many quick press releases are issued to ‘get one’s message out,’ or ‘jump on a story,’ etc. 

A few more hours’ care would have produced a better product: more strengths, fewer weaknesses.  (Some of the weaknesses are hostages to Fortune; they reveal views that will likely come back to haunt months later.)  

There’s more than one person advising Whitewater’s officials to respond quickly, change the subject, move on, etc. 

They all have this in common: they don’t understand that the city evolves meaningfully over seasons and years, not hours and days. 

The Public Records Law Still Stands

After a push to alter Wisconsin’s Public Records Law (Wis. Stat. §§ 19.31-19.39), we’re now secure with the original law intact.  

Below one will find a recording of Wisconsin A.G. Brad Schimel’s Open Government Summit, held earlier this week at the Concourse in Madison.  

J.B. Hollen, Schimel’s immediate predecessor, started strongly in favor of the Public Records Law but was less supportive in his second term.  A.G. Schimel’s approach is better for the public, although it’s disadvantageous for public officials seeking to conceal information from the very residents to whom they are legally obligated.

(It’s also helpful that support for the law is widespread, and not confined to the party in opposition.  Two of the key opponents of gutting the law have been the MacIver Institute, a conservative think tank, and Rick Esenberg’s Wisconsin Institute for Law and Liberty, a conservative-leaning public interest firm.)

But one has this problem, that has grown worse over these last few years: too many officials, in cities, towns, and universities, have decided that they can reply to a public records request however they’d like.  Replies like this are dares: will you go to court over this?  Alternatively, will you accept what we’ve supplied, however inadequate in reply it so obviously is? 

Some denials may be over fair questions of interpretation; that’s not what I’m describing.  Many denials are a test of one’s citizenship, of one’s rights in a free, well-ordered society: can someone successfully compel others to accept less than their rights require, consigning them to an inferior position in disregard of the law?

There’s no way to know how a requester will respond to an insufficient reply until the need arises, of course.  It’s helpful, though, to state plainly a path one will follow.  Having stated as much, officials will not be able to say they’ve been blindsided.

This summit was long, I know, and time is precious.  Still, there’s much in here, useful for thinking about government, on one’s own, rather than relying on officials’ superficial, self-serving declarations.