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Ian Bremmer on why it’s ‘Far too soon to write off America’

Indeed, it is far too soon. America’s best days are yet ahead. Chinese officials who dream of their own dominance will be as disappointed as Japanese bureaucrats who dreamt the same scenario a generation ago.

The world belongs neither to the selfish ambitions of those Japanese corporatist s nor to those of contemporary Chinese statists.

Bremmer sees ways in which we’re doing well, even now:

Yet investment in the future continues apace. No nation is home to more elite universities and graduate schools, more major multinational corporations, and more breakthroughs in state-of-the-art technology. Silicon Valley’s latest tech start-ups have built enough momentum to fuel talk of a new “bubble”. Development of unconventional gas technologies has been the single most economically significant innovation of the past several years; US-based companies have led the way. All these traditional measures of strength suggest the country is doing fine.

Match that – as we will – with a restored confidence in democratic government and truly free markets – and we’ll be just fine.

See, Far too soon to write off America.

Who is a Ron Paul supporter?

There’s a story at the Washington Post website describing GOP candidate Ron Paul’s supporters. They’re younger, more secular, and more dedicated than other Republicans. That they’re disproportionately younger suggests to me that they’re not from movement families (that is, they’re not from old and longstanding libertarian households). Paul, to his credit, has attracted an energetic, young following.

At the same time, this also means that these followers are ill-suited to take a long view of politics, Republican or libertarian.

Some libertarians, notably Brian Doherty, have tried to reassure skeptical members of movement families that Paul’s newsletters, etc., shouldn’t be held against him. (Doherty is writing a book about Paul, having previously written an exhaustive history of libertarianism.) Doherty means to soothe:

I can assure any old libertarian worried about old libertarian movement business that it is the good things about Ron Paul that have won him the support and love he has won, and that this old business is irrelevant to them, and thus irrelevant to the actual important political and cultural story about Ron Paul now.

See, from Doherty, Why I Don’t Think the Ron Paul Newsletters Are Very Important .

Doherty writes to those of us within the family, so to speak. We would reply that we like Paul well enough personally, but we also see that some of Paul’s views aren’t traditionally libertarian at all. Mixed in are far-right notions outside of traditional libertarianism (or opportunity conservatism, for that matter) with which we disagree.

I agree that Paul has much to offer, and that his platform offers considerably more than his GOP opponents’ manifestos; yet, he would be a far stronger and better candidate today without those newsletters from years ago. Believing otherwise is politically naive and ideologically compromising.

For more about Paul’s supporters, see Who is a Ron Paul supporter? – The Washington Post.

John Stossel wonders: Will 2012 be a Libertarian Year?

I don’t know, really, but I’m inclined to answer paradoxically that it’s never a libertarian year, and yet it’s always one.

If one means by libertarian year the election of lots of libertarians, then the answer’s surely no. There are lots of Republicans and Democrats, not lots of Libertarians.

Yet, if one means that libertarian ideas will play a key role in 2012, then I’d say yes, they will. We represent enduring and significant ideas about individual rights, liberty, economics, and peaceful commerce with other countries.

We’ve been declared dead a hundred times, but our good and sincere ideas are ones to which Americans have always returned. There’s a resiliency in libertarian policies that keeps those ideas evergreen, long after other, competing views wither.

Others may scramble over this day, or that election, but we have no reason to be similarly nervous and frantic. We have a longer view of things. A political confidence in ‘limited government, individual liberty, free markets, and peace’ is a well-placed confidence.

We’ll make a difference in ’12, and be around long thereafter.

See, Will 2012 Be a Libertarian Year?

Daily Bread for 12.28.11

Good morning.

Late December in Whitewater: Mostly cloudy in the thirties. In San Francisco: Mostly cloudy, but sixty-one. There’s a funny quote attributed to Mark Twain about San Francisco’s weather (“The coldest winter I ever saw was the summer I spent in San Francisco”), but sixty-one at any time is mild when considered from Wisconsin.

On this date in 1981, Elizabeth Jordan Carr, the first American ‘test-tube’ baby, was born in Norfolk, Va.

Today’s puzzle from Google comes via the suggestion of Zacary Saliba, aged nine, and it’s one of the best Google’s yet offered: “What is the largest air-breathing fish found in the body of water that ends at 0°10’0” S 49°0’0” W?”

The Wisconsin Historical Society offers evidence that, sure enough, Joseph McCarthy was a liar and skunk his whole life:

On this date [12.28] future senator Joseph McCarthy announced his candidacy for the Wisconsin 10th Circuit Court judgeship, a position that had been held for 24 years by Edgar V. Werner. The 30-year-old McCarthy used Werner’s age against him, claiming that Werner was 73 while secretly knowing he was 66. In the election, held in April of the following year, McCarthy earned 15,160 votes to Werner’s 11,154. Although McCarthy’s campaign tactics and spending practices were investigated, he was cleared of wrong-doing. [Source: Legal Affairs]

Gingrich Declares Paul Worse than Obama

There’s a lot more to say about Ron Paul between now and the January 3rd Iowa caucuses, but it’s too funny that Newt Gingrich finds Paul objectionable  to ‘virtually every decent American.’ Gingrich – a man of plentiful hyperbole – held back with virtually every decent American?  Who’s beyond virtually every – Paul’s family?

Gingrich has been at the top of national polls only for about two weeks or so, and if you’re wondering why his reign will be brief, hysterical statements like this are why:

Newt Gingrich has finally found a politician he considers even worse than the president he calls socialist, anti-colonialist and radical. That would be his fellow Republican Ron Paul.

“I think Barack Obama is very destructive to the future of the United States. I think Ron Paul’s views are totally outside the mainstream of virtually every decent American,” Gingrich said Tuesday in a CNN interview with Wolf Blitzer.

Via National Journal.

Something Worse than Partisan

There’s an even-handed story at the Janesville Gazette about Wisconsin’s non-partisan local elections. Some of those interviewed are sure that partisanship is a bad thing, and that it gets in the way of serving citizens, etc. I understand this view, and however well-intentioned, it’s one with which I strongly disagree. (The story presents diverse points of view, and something of our history.)

There’s a distinction, of course, between political partisanship and ideological commitment. One may not be a partisan of the Republican or Democratic parities and yet be ideologically-oriented (right, center, left, libertarian).

Unfortunately, non-partisan elections have the consequence of discouraging ideological and philosophical professions in favor of empty, platitudinous declarations about doing the right thing, etc. It’s false, though, to say that the zealously non-partisan or non-ideological have no commitments — in all too many cases they replace ideology and principle with the self-interest of being re-elected again and again.

They have a party, a philosophy, and a faith in their own incumbency.

This is far worse than being a political partisan. We have seemingly cast out ideology, but we have established a veiled selfishness. That’s why so many conservatives come to office, only to become big-government Republicans. It’s why so many liberals set aside a defense of civil liberties for fear of aliening majority opinion. Principle gives way to re-election.

More than once I’ve heard the declaration that a candidate would like to run for office so that he or she could be an ‘adult in the room.’ What else would one be? I’d rather know what kind of adult, with what opinions and views. Politics should be more than a sometime exercise of self-affirmation through government office.

We’d do better with more, and clearly-defined, professions of ideology in our politics.

Update: Ron Paul Storms Out Walks Away During CNN Interview Over Newsletter Questions

I wrote last week about a video from CNN, in which Gloria Borger asks Ron Paul about his old newsletters.

A Paul supporter wrote in, with a link to raw video of the interview, contending that the full video shows Paul didn’t walk away from the interview. (I’ve embedded the raw clip at the end of this post.) The correspondent suggests that I admit that, in fact, Paul didn’t walk away.

I originally remarked of the CNN clip that

If so [that Paul’s newsletters are no issue], why walk away from an interviewer? It’s a bad move: one should never walk out. If anything, one should insist on staying longer, and talking about more things, to compensate for talking about what one contends is a bogus issue.

This was a rookie mistake, from a man whose age and experience leave him anything but a rookie.

While the post’s headline was too much (Paul didn’t ‘storm out’ as Mike Riggs and I wrote), he most certainly did walk away – in both videos he takes off his microphone and walks away. If the Paul supporter’s contention is that Paul didn’t storm out, then he’s right. If the contention is that Paul didn’t walk away, because he walked back, he’s wrong. One can walk away and then walk back, as Paul plainly does.

I was clear and right about staying longer, too: it would be better to cancel the next event than flub the CNN interview. Borger, by the way, isn’t rude, she’s just persistent. If anything, in CNN’s finished video and in the raw footage, she’s solicititous of Paul. (Far more so, really, than other interviewers would have been. Paul’s been around a long time; he surely knew that Borger’s questioning was persistent but relatively mild.)

Finally, thanks to the Paul supporter for pointing me to the raw video of the interview. The video was linked through Drudge, a site that the supporter assures me is from an ‘a lister.’ There’s a bit of irony in this, for while Drudge is an a lister, he’s one in the corner of Mitt Romney. (See, a June 2011 story that’s still true: Mitt Romney leads the Drudge primary.)

When Matt Drudge bolsters Paul in a multi-candidate field, it promotes the idea that the race is between the well-funded Romney and Ron Paul. Romney supporters are sure they’ll win that contest in the end. I’d guess they’re right, and that the GOP will go for Romney, but in any event Drudge is not boosting Paul for the sake of Paul.

So we’re clear, I don’t think Paul’s a racist because of the newsletters; I do think he’s handled the issue very poorly. Of the newsletters themselves, and also of Paul’s anti-market views on immigration, I’ve been critical before.

Daily Bread for 12.27.11

Good morning.

Whitewater will look forward today to a mostly cloudy day with a high temperature of thirty-six, and a slight chance of rain or snow.  In Portland, it’s a rainy day with a high of forty-six.

On this day in 1979, “Soviet forces seized control of Afghanistan. President Hafizullah Amin, who was overthrown and executed, was replaced by Babrak Karmal.”

The trailer for The Hobbit is out, and from this brief clip, the film looks intriguing —

— one of the many things to look for in the new year. more >>

Daily Bread for 12.26.11

Good morning.

It’s a day in the low forties in store for Whitewater, but a day of snow showers and a high of thirty-five for Bangor.

The Cassini spacecraft snapped a photo of Saturn’s moons Titan and Dione in front of Saturn’s rings, and it’s a lovely and (by definition) other-worldly photo:

Google’s question for today comes from Tom Arnold (the actor and comedian): “What American pastime incorporates the use of a prolate spheroid with pointed ends?” It’s not a hard question, but it’s a hard fact for a baseball fan. Baseball was once America’s pastime, but Arnold’s certainly not asking about baseball.

Sacha Scoblic‘s Unwasted: My Lush Sobriety

I’m sure to have questions about why I’m reading Sacha Scoblic‘s Unwasted: My Lush Sobriety.  The answer is that I saw an essay Scoblic wrote around the time of Amy Winehouse’s death, on sobriety and the false notion that art somehow justifies (or requires) addiction. (See, Amy Winehouse: The Insidious Response to Her Addiction and Death.) She wrote well and persuasively.  I made note of her book, and now I’m reading it.

I offer no claim to a special understanding of alcoholics, recovering alcoholics, or afflicted artists. Yet, having met people who are those things, one sees the great gap between policies that address substances, and other policies that treat addicts.

We talk less about alcoholics than we do about alcohol, yet it must be addiction that matters. I’m curious to see what Scoblic has to say, of her experiences, both drunk and sober.

That’s why I’m reading her book.

Merry Christmas

And in the same region there were shepherds out in the field, keeping watch over their flock by night.  And an angel of the Lord appeared to them, and the glory of the Lord shone around them, and they were filled with great fear.  And the angel said to them, “Fear not, for behold, I bring you good news of great joy that will be for all the people.  For unto you is born this day in the city of David a Savior, who is Christ the Lord.  And this will be a sign for you: you will find a baby wrapped in swaddling cloths and lying in a manger.”  

Lk 2:8-12.

AppleInsider: Apple’s Santa TV spot deemed best ad of holiday season

What do you think? (I’d say, very good, indeed.)

According to viewer reactions measured by TV ad analysis firm Ace Metrix and released on Friday, Apple’s commercial collected enough points to be named the most effective ad during the crucial holiday season, beating out advertising veterans like Coca-Cola, Pillsbury and Nintendo, reports GigaOM.

See, AppleInsider | Apple’s Santa TV spot deemed best ad of holiday season.