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Merry Christmas

And in the same region there were shepherds out in the field, keeping watch over their flock by night.  And an angel of the Lord appeared to them, and the glory of the Lord shone around them, and they were filled with great fear.  And the angel said to them, “Fear not, for behold, I bring you good news of great joy that will be for all the people.  For unto you is born this day in the city of David a Savior, who is Christ the Lord.  And this will be a sign for you: you will find a baby wrapped in swaddling cloths and lying in a manger.”  

Lk 2:8-12.

AppleInsider: Apple’s Santa TV spot deemed best ad of holiday season

What do you think? (I’d say, very good, indeed.)

According to viewer reactions measured by TV ad analysis firm Ace Metrix and released on Friday, Apple’s commercial collected enough points to be named the most effective ad during the crucial holiday season, beating out advertising veterans like Coca-Cola, Pillsbury and Nintendo, reports GigaOM.

See, AppleInsider | Apple’s Santa TV spot deemed best ad of holiday season.

Friday Poll & Comment Forum: Favorite Holiday Film?

Here’s a poll and comment forum topic for the weekend of Christmas: What’s your favorite holiday film?

I’ve a poll with a few choices, and a comment form below. Some of the poll choices come from a list of top Christmas films at Collider.com.


I’ll put in my pitch for Elf: it’s a light and funny film, and offers proof that, like Buddy the Elf, one really can make a song out of anything. More about the film is online at Wikipedia.

Daily Bread for 12.23.11

Good morning.

It’s a cloudy day with a high of thirty-two ahead for Whitewater.  In St. Louis, today will be a day of decreasing clouds and a high of forty.

On this day in 1986, a triumph of aviation:

the experimental airplane Voyager, piloted by Dick Rutan and Jeana Yeager, completed the first non-stop, around-the-world flight without refueling as it landed safely at Edwards Air Force Base in California.

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Google’s daily puzzle is a straight-forward one, and one that also points out how many and diverse are the uses of plants: “Strong, durable, and deciduous, with samara fruits that spin as they fall. What is the name of this tree that has many uses — it can be made into bats, violins and beautiful veneers?”

Offices, Debates, Local Politics

I get a good amount of mail, with all sorts of topics.

Now and again, people will write to me, and ask if I’d ever run for office. Some ask with simple curiosity, others as a rebuke (as though if one would not run for office, then there’s some lack of public-spiritedness to blame).

I’ve never yearned to run for office, but that doesn’t mean I think that political office is a bad idea for others. It’s just that not everyone has to have the same idea: some are politicians, some reporters, some bureaucrats, others are bloggers, volunteers, or activists, and still others committed to a purely private life. I don’t believe that everyone has to be everything, or even try everything.

My view of running for office is like that of William F. Buckley, when he ran for mayor of New York City as a third-party candidate in the ’60s. When asked what he would do if he actually won, Buckley replied that he’d demand a recount.

There’s a second question that comes my way, often with the first question: would I ever debate someone, in town or elsewhere?

Well, why not? I’ve offered these pages for different debates over the years, and those are still-standing offers. At the same time, I’d debate someone in person, recorded or otherwise, if the topic presented itself. That’s the truth of a debate, though: it’s a topic, not a person, that makes all the difference.

As for those whom one might engage in a typical debate, the best opponent is always the strongest possible one. One looks to make a case, to advocate for something, and the best case and strongest advocacy emerge in a debate with a skillful, accomplished opponent.

Some of the most compelling debates are those with two people, at a table with a moderator, simply responding to each other in a give-and-take format. (The 2000 vice-presidential debate between Cheney and Lieberman was a good format of this kind.)

We probably have too few public debates, especially between candidates for office, than we should. If the League of Women Voters didn’t sponsor local debates, there’d be none. We have reason to be grateful for their efforts.

A debate — print, radio, television — needs an interesting topic, an open and challenging format, and the right timing. The new year will offer presidential primaries, Wisconsin recalls, and general elections at all levels next November. Those topics are necessarily the most important, and candidates involved in such contentious pursuits will — legitimately and reasonably — draw (by far) the most attention. One can do more than one thing during a year, but it would be silly to doubt that the most important debates will be between political candidates.

Along the lines of ideas and topics, I’m thinking about opening up comments on more posts, with the same moderation as now (mostly against profanity or trolls). It’s not concern about contrary points of view, but about the timeliness of my own comment moderation, that leaves me uncertain.

There’s an energy from pondering different possibilities that wait in the year ahead. Just one small reason, on top of many profound ones, to love this time of year.

Communists fabricated documents against Walesa

Of course they did. In the run of their atrocities, this was a day’s light work:

Polish investigators say communist authorities fabricated documents that suggested Lech Walesa was a communist collaborator, to try to stop the Solidarity founder being awarded Nobel Peace Prize.

It says everything one would ever need to know that even the regime understood that nothing could ruin a reputation so quickly as being suspected of collaboration with the regime.

Via WQOW.

Three cheers for civilization and free markets this festive season

Happy Christmas:

As you open your gifts this festive season, or tuck into your dinner, take a moment to think about the extent to which free markets have made this possible. Probably, people from all over the globe have been involved in helping you enjoy your day; people you don’t know and don’t need to know, all because of the marvellous workings of free markets.

There is a good chance that some of your gifts travelled by air and sea to reach you; that they were conceived, manufactured and packed by an array of hard-working people in a variety of countries. Other people in several other countries are likely to have worked on providing the raw materials used in making the items you unwrapped. Having all these people from distant countries co-operating to produce goods for your pleasure is one of the great benefits of freer markets and civilisation….

Via Three cheers for civilisation and free markets this festive season – Soapbox | Moneyweb.

Ron Paul Storms Out of CNN Interview Over Newsletter Questions

Libertarian-leaning Ron Paul made a bush-league mistake when he walked out of an interview with CNN. Years ago, Paul published a newsletter under his name in which some racist stories and articles appeared. Paul contends he didn’t really supervise the publication at all, and that he merely lent his name to the newsletter. Perhaps.

If so, why walk away from an interviewer? It’s a bad move: one should never walk out. If anything, one should insist on staying longer, and talking about more things, to compensate for talking about what one contends is a bogus issue.

This was a rookie mistake, from a man whose age and experience leave him anything but a rookie.

(In the end, though, regardless of the day-to-day GOP dramas, I’d be stunned if Gov. Romney were not the GOP nominee.)

Here’s Paul’s unforced error:

Via Hit & Run : Reason Magazine.

Daily Bread for 12.22.11

Good morning.

For Whitewater, there’s a chance of a dusting of snow this morning, with a daytime high just above freezing.  In Santa Fe, they’re also expecting snow (1-2 inches), and temperatures just below freezing.

On this day in 1864, Pres. Lincoln received a present a few days ahead of the twenty-fifth:

On Dec. 22, 1864, during the Civil War, Union Gen. William T. Sherman sent a message to President Lincoln from Georgia, saying, “I beg to present you as a Christmas gift the city of Savannah.”

A market may be free, somewhat free, restricted, or (as a limitation on freedom) manipulated: Rachel Ehrenberg writes about suspicions of market manipulation in Smells Like a Bear Raid.

Two extraordinarily large trading days for Citigroup shares in the fall of 2007 hint that someone may have been manipulating the stock, say analysts who mine financial data using powerful computers and mathematical algorithms.

Researchers from the New England Complex Systems Institute in Cambridge, Mass., were examining stock trading data for the period January 2007 to January 2009 when they noticed two unusually large spikes in volume and other measures related to Citigroup shares. On November 1, 2007, the team noted, the number of borrowed Citigroup shares jumped by 100 million, reaching a value of almost $6 billion. Six days later, a similar number of borrowed shares were returned on a single day, the team reports online December 14 at arXiv.org. The estimated gain for the investors who made the transactions was at least $640 million.

Such extreme events would be expected only once in a few hundred years, says Yaneer Bar-Yam, coauthor of the work. The likelihood of seeing those events six days apart is once in 4 billion years, the researchers’ calculations show.

Unlikely, yes; manipulation’s still in doubt:

Other researchers aren’t so certain that manipulation was at play. The analysis is an interesting case study, says financial economist Ekkehart Boehmer of the EDHEC Business School in Nice, France. But if the Citigroup trades were truly manipulative, the price should have gone back up after the deal was done.

It didn’t. Citigroup’s price kept falling. In fact, Boehmer says the traders would have made 10 times the money by waiting another two months to sell. “We can’t rule out manipulation, but we don’t have evidence of it either,” says Boehmer, who was director of research at the New York Stock Exchange from 2001 to 2003.

It’s curious, but a curiosity isn’t  proof.

On this day in 1882, the first known use of electric lights on a Christmas tree:

An inventive New Yorker finds a brilliant application for electric lights and becomes the first person to use them as Christmas tree decorations.

Edward H. Johnson, who toiled for Thomas Edison’s Illumination Company and later became a company vice president, used 80 small red, white and blue electric bulbs, strung together along a single power cord, to light the Christmas tree in his New York home. Some sources credit Edison himself with being the first to use electric lights as Christmas decorations, when he strung them around his laboratory in 1880.

Sticking them on the tree was Johnson’s idea, though. It was a mere three years after Edison had demonstrated that light bulbs were practical at all.

The idea of replacing the Christmas tree’s traditional wax candles — which had been around since the mid-17th century — with electric lights didn’t, umm, catch fire right away. Although the stringed lights enjoyed a vogue with the wealthy and were being mass-produced as early as 1890, they didn’t become popular in humbler homes until a couple of decades into the 20th century.

From there, we made the journey to here:

Sen. Majority Leader Fitzgerald’s 12.19.11 Open Office

One should expect a few things of a politician, and among them one would hope to find honesty, commitment to principle, hard work, and a comfort and ease around his or her constituents.

There’s a video of a recall organizer and potential candidate, Lori Compas, at a town hall meeting of the state senator she hopes to replace, Majority Leader Scott Fitzgerald.

First the video, then a few comments on the scene:

The video. It’s of below-average quality. Those attending could and should do a better job of recording these meetings. More than one videographer would be a good idea. (It sounds as though Compas has more than one supporter in the audience.)

Fitzgerald’s seating. This is apparently an ‘office hours’ session for Fitzgerald, and he weakly and defensively sits behind a desk. I’d almost think this was a joke, and someone seated him that way to put him at a disadvantage. There should be no table between Fitzgerald and his constituents. He should either be in a chair, or standing and walking among them.

He looks like he’s a principal at a school’s administrative hearing — not at a congenial, relaxed meeting of a legislator and his constituents. These gentlemen need to be comfortable in crowds. (In the same way, Paul Ryan shouldn’t go to a Labor Day parade and expect people to refrain from asking employment-related questions.)

Next to Fitzgerald at the table is an older woman who looks so stern and frumpy one would think that she was an intentional representation of a severe schoolmarm.

Fitzgerald’s attire. There’s nothing wrong with what he’s wearing, but he should speak without his coat – shirt and tie is sufficient. If he wants to wear the coat into the room, then he should take it off once the meeting begins.

Fitzgerald’s manner. He smiles nervously, and speaks without any particular command. There’s no reason for him to have and hold a water bottle. Fine to take a drink, now and then, but he holds it as though it were a teddy bear.

Compas’s Attire. I’m not sure if she thought about what to wear, or this is how she normally dresses – either way, she’s dressed well for the occasion. The black jacket and turtleneck, with hair pulled up, remind viewers that she’s apparently slender and fit. She looks athletic, in a state that offers diverse outdoor adventures (but where only a minority of middle-aged residents seem fit.) A fussier woman would have dressed up for this occasion; she’s dressed appropriately.

Compas is easily a more attractive woman than Fitzgerald a man. Her simple choice of attire only accentuates the difference between them.

Compas’s manner. She holds her own, against an incumbent legislator and a leader of the GOP. She’s persistent, but not overbearing.

I don’t think that Compas can unseat Fitzgerald, but it says much about how rough-around-the-edges the statehouse GOP leaders are that she handles Fitzgerald so well as she does.