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Monthly Archives: December 2012

So, Three Municipal Managers Walk Into a Room…

Let’s say the recently-hired municipal manager of a small city, with a population of just under fifteen-thousand, walks into a party. It’s a busy affair, with others standing and talking throughout the room.

Someone walks up to him, and says, “Hey, City Manager, did you know that your two immediate predecessors are here, too?”

This development could become more than circumstance; it could become an opportunity.

What to do?

There’s a simple, three-step process for a situation like this:

1. The current city manager should look around the room, and locate his two predecessors.

2. He should think about all the things they did while in office.

3. He should then make sure he doesn’t do any of those things.

Success.

Let’s be candid: the last two city managers had failed administrations. The former of the two was (ever so gently & politely) moved out, and the most recent one left after making a hash of project after project and after repeated attempts to find another city manager’s job were unsuccessful.

If they’d managed differently, after all, they wouldn’t have become the current city manager’s predecessors.

I know, and you know, that there’s a powerful desire of a few to pretend that everyone in authority has always managed as though a philosopher-king. It’s worse than an embarrassing habit of obsequiousness – it’s the cause of mediocre policy, of economic & political failure, and of cultural stagnation.

It’s also, without a doubt, demographically doomed. The upcoming generation, slowly replacing those now retiring, wisely and simply rejects these small-town appeals to mere authority.

Someone looking on decades yet ahead will find insufficient value in reliance on titles. In a city where many thousands of smart people are reading, writing, and talking to other each day, there’s the worthy accomplishment of an official’s perceptive work and there’s the flimsy crutch of status and position.

It’s easily possible for an official to have a long and successful career, with more than one approach on policy being viable.

It’s improbable, though, that anyone will get far by pretending that the botched past has been other than, simply put, the botched past.

Review: Predictions for 2012

Here is my amateur version of the late William Safire’s long-standing tradition of offering annual predictions.

Let’s see how I did on predictions for 2012. The list for last year appears below, with my guesses in blue, and the correct answer in red. The guesses weren’t about what I (necessarily) wanted to happen, but what I thought would happen.

The list for 2012:

1. In 2012, UW-Whitewater will win the following number of national sports championships:
A. None
B. One
C. Two
D. More than two

Adams’s guess: C. Two. Same number of wins as in 2011.

Correct answer: D. There were four national championship teams: men’s basketball, women’s gymnastics, and men’s & women’s wheelchair basketball.

2. The Whitewater citywide vote for president will be
A. A clear win for the GOP nominee
B. A close win for the GOP nominee
C. A clear win for Pres. Obama
D. A close win for Pres. Obama

Adams’s guess: C. A clear win for Pres. Obama.

Correct answer: C. As in past years, the Democratic presidential nominee will swept the city.

3. In the Wisconsin presidential vote, the results will show
A. A clear win for the GOP nominee
B. A close win for the GOP nominee
C. A clear win for Pres. Obama
D. A close win for Pres. Obama

Adams’s guess: B. A close win for the GOP nominee.

Correct answer: C. Wisconsin wasn’t close. The only battleground state Gov. Romney won was North Carolina.

4. The national vote for president will be
A. A clear win for the GOP nominee
B. A close win for the GOP nominee
C. A clear win for Pres. Obama
D. A close win for Pres. Obama

Adams’s guess: B. A close win for the GOP nominee.

Correct answer: C. I assumed Romney would be the GOP nominee, but he didn’t perform well. There was no late-into-the-night uncertainty of the outcome as the results unfolded.

5. In Wisconsin’s 43rd Assembly district, the winner will be
A. Incumbent Evan Wynn easily
B. Incumbent Evan Wynn in a close race
C. The Democrat easily
D. The Democrat in a close race

Adams’s guess: D. The Democrat in a close race.

Correct answer: C. Rep. Jorgensen won easily; I underestimated the composition of the new district. It’s a ‘leans Democratic’ seat now. Wynn’s voting record was out-of-step for the district, his re-election campaign attacks were simply embarrassing, and Jorgensen is likeable and hardworking. A Republican could still take the district someday, but not on a version of Wynn’s platform.

6. In a recall election,
A. Gov. Walker will be recalled by a large margin
B. Gov. Walker will be recalled by a small margin
C. Gov. Walker will not be recalled
D. There will be no gubernatorial recall

Adams’s guess: B. Gov. Walker will be recalled by a small margin

Correct answer: C. Gov. Walker won easily, by a better margin over Barrett in ’12 than in ’10.

7. Whitewater’s North Street Bridge will be
A. finished in the first half of 2012
B. finished in the second half of 2012
C. never be finished
D. never be finished but become Whitewater’s leading tourist attraction (‘The Amazing and Exceptional Virtual Bridge’), complete with a large construction crane in the middle of the street

Adams’s guess: A. finished in the first half of 2012, but there’s an outside chance that it will D. never be finished but become Whitewater’s leading tourist attraction (‘The Amazing and Exceptional Virtual Bridge’), complete with a large construction crane in the middle of the street.

Correct answer: A.

8. In the Wisconsin State Senate recalls,
A. the Democrats will retake the Senate
B. the GOP will retain the Senate
C. the Democrats will retake the Senate but lose the majority again in November
D. there will be no Senate recalls

Adams’s guess: C. the Democrats will retake the Senate but lose the majority again in November. Redistricting matters.

Correct answer: C.

9. After spring elections, Whitewater’s Common Council will be
A. more conservative
B. more liberal
C. about the same
D. there’s no left or right in Whitewater’s local politics

Adams’s guess: C. about the same, and in any event, D. There’s really no left or right in Whitewater’s local politics

Correct answer: C. (But once can expect a left-right split to emerge slowly, where both left and right look different from yesterday’s politicians.)

10. In the US Senate race from Wisconsin, the winner will be
A. Tammy Baldwin
B. Tommy Thompson
C. Mark Neumann
D. Jeff Fitzgerald

Adams’s guess:

B. Tommy Thompson. Thompson defeats Neumann and Fitzgerald, and then wins against Baldwin.

Correct answer: A. As with the Wisconsin presidential results, the vote wasn’t close. Tommy ran a phone-it-in campaign; it wasn’t nearly adequate to the task.

This wasn’t a strong year for my predictive prowess, with only 4 of 10 right. That’s a cause of chagrin, as I’m the one who writes the questions….

I’ll try to do better next year. Since next year is only a day away, I’ve some crystal-ball gazing to do, pronto.

Daily Bread for 12.31.12

Good morning.

Whitewater’s last day of 2012 will be partly sunny with a high of twenty-seven, with temperatures falling in the afternoon.

On this day in 1946, long after actual fighting had ended, as a formality Pres. Truman proclaimed an end to the Second World War:

The state of hostilities, a term covering the period of actual fighting and one used in defining the duration of many war-time statues, alone was involved in the President’s proclamation, but this served to terminate immediately eighteen emergency laws and scheduled for expiration six months from now or later provisions of thirty-three other statutes.

End Set for Farm Price Support

One effect of the official ending of the period of hostilities will be to reduce the consumers’ tax bill by $1,500,000,000 when excise taxes on scores of luxury items will revert to peacetime levels on July 1, 1947, through lapsing of provisions of revenue laws, unless Congress continues them in the meantime.

It will also end automatically at the end of 1948 wartime price supports for agricultural products. This program, it had been estimated by officials, might be worth between $1,000,000,000 and $1,500,000,000 to the farmers by that time.

On this day in 1967,

1967 – Green Bay Packers Triumph in “Ice Bowl”
On this date the Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys played in what many consider to be the greatest game in NFL history – The Ice Bowl. With the thermometer dipping to a shocking 13 below zero and a wind chill of minus 46, Bart Starr scored the winning touchdown from the 1-yard line with 13 seconds remaining, sealing a record third straight championship for the Packers, their fifth in seven years. Green Bay defeated Dallas, 21-17, to win the NFL Championship. [Source: Packers.com]

Google-a-Day poses a geography question: “Chapter 10 of “Geography of India” by Prithvish Nag, Smita Sengupta discusses what geographical feature?”

Recent Tweets, 12.23 to 12.29

Sunday Morning Cartoon: Badgers

In honor of the Badgers trip to the Rose Bowl, I’ve found a cartoon about badgers (although not Bucky) that’s been viewed over 16,624,439 times.

(One can say it’s been watched by somewhere between the equivalent of one person for 14,238 days and 16,624,439 people for 1:14 minutes each.)

This is sure to be one of the most memorable cartoons you’ve ever watched. You’ll be dancing like this is no time…

Go Badgers!

Daily Bread for 12.30.12

Good morning.

We’ve a sunny and chilly day before us in Whitewater. The high will be twenty-two, and there will be 9h 5m of sunlight and 10h 9m.

Almost a century ago, on 12.30.1916, the controversial Rasputin was murdered in Russia:

Sometime over the course of the night and the early morning of December 29-30, 1916, Grigory Efimovich Rasputin, a self-proclaimed holy man, is murdered by Russian nobles eager to end his influence over the royal family.

Rasputin, a Siberian-born muzhik, or peasant, who underwent a religious conversion as a teenager and proclaimed himself a healer with the ability to predict the future, won the favor of Czar Nicholas II and Czarina Alexandra through his ability to stop the bleeding of their hemophiliac son, Alexei, in 1908. From then on, though he was widely criticized for his lechery and drunkenness, Rasputin exerted a powerful influence on the ruling family of Russia, infuriating nobles, church orthodoxy, and peasants alike. He particularly influenced the czarina, and was rumored to be her lover. When Nicholas departed to lead Russian forces in World War I, Rasputin effectively ruled the country through Alexandra, contributing to the already-existing corruption and disorder of Romanov Russia.

Fearful of Rasputin’s growing power (among other things, it was believed by some that he was plotting to make a separate peace with the Germans), a group of nobles, led by Prince Felix Youssupov, the husband of the czar’s niece, and Grand Duke Dmitri Pavlovich, Nicholas’s first cousin, lured Rasputin to Youssupov Palace on the night of December 29, 1916.

First, Rasputin’s would-be killers gave the monk food and wine laced with cyanide. When he failed to react to the poison, they shot him at close range, leaving him for dead. A short time later, however, Rasputin revived and attempted to escape from the palace grounds, whereupon his assailants shot him again and beat him viciously. Finally, they bound Rasputin, still miraculously alive, and tossed him into a freezing river. His body was discovered several days later and the two main conspirators, Youssupov and Pavlovich were exiled.

In the Wisconsin of 1922, another episode in the losing battle of Prohibition:

1922 – Authorities Confiscate Illegal Alcohol
On this date authorities in Madison confiscated 1,200 gallons of “mash” and fifteen gallons of moonshine from the home of a suspected bootlegger. As the illegal liquor trade flourished in Madison’s Greenbush neighborhood during Prohibition, two rival gangs, one on Regent Street and the other located on Milton Street, fought to gain control until the “Rum War” erupted among these factions in 1923. [Source: Bishops to Bootleggers: A Biographical Guide to Resurrection Cemetery, p.189]

Google-a-Day gives us a sports & geography question: “The renowned football, basketball and baseball player and coach who stated, “It is how you show up at the showdown that counts,” was born in what southern state?

 

Daily Bread for 12.29.12

Good morning.

It’s snow for Saturday in Whitewater, mostly in the morning, with only a slight accumulation. Today will top out at twenty-nine degrees, with northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Here we go… Zeitgeist 2012: The Year in Review:


In our own history on this day in 1879,

1879 – General William “Billy” Mitchell Born
On this date aviation pioneer Billy Mitchell was born in Nice, France. Mitchell grew up in Milwaukee and attended Racine College. During World War I, Mitchell was the first American airman to fly over enemy lines.  He also led many air attacks in France and Germany.

Upon return to the U.S., he advocated the creation of a separate Air Force. Much to the dislike of A.T. Mahan, Theodore Roosevelt, and other contemporaries, Mitchell asserted that the airplane had rendered the battleship obsolete, and attention should be shifted to developing military air power. Mitchell’s out-spokenness resulted in his being court martialed for insubordination. He was sentenced to five years suspension of rank without pay.

General Douglas MacArthur — an old Milwaukee friend — was a judge in Mitchell’s case and voted against his court martial. Mitchell’s ideas for developing military air power were not implemented until long after his death. In 1946 Congress created a medal in his honor, the General “Billy” Mitchell Award. Milwaukee’s airport, General Mitchell International Airport, is named after him. [Source: American Airpower Biography]

Google-a-Day is looking for the name of a pet: “What was the name of the pet that often traveled with the artist of “Tuna Fishing”?”

Reason’s 2012 Nanny of the Year

Below is a clip with scenes from Demolition Man (the film to which Balaker meant to refer) that depict violations of the ‘Verbal Morality Statute’ of that film.

(The film is rated R, and the supposed violations cited in the clip may be NSFW.)

Also posted at Daily Adams.

Whitewater note: I’ll get a message or two locally that I can’t post a video clip of actors using foul language. Actually, I can post a clip like that, and I have.

A few remarks: (1) Demolition Man is from 1993. Whatever troubles may have befallen America in the last twenty years’ time do not stem from this film. (2) Most of Whitewater is neither fragile nor squeamish; I’ll not pretend otherwise. (3) It’s a fun, if not serious, action film. (4) In any event, Sandra Bullock is fetching in uniform.

Friday Poll: Rose Bowl Edition

Wisconsin v. California, Madison v. Palo Alto, Badgers v. Cardinal: it’s Wisconsin and Stanford on 1.1.13 at 4 PM.

So, what happens? The Cardinal are about a touchdown favorite. Badgers are coach out, old coach back, with a new coach in the wings.

By cold calculation alone, it would be Stanford’s game. I’ll go with (or hope for) other, intangible influences, and say Badgers 24, Stanford 21.

What do you think?