The final 2016 Marquette Law School poll results are out, and here key findings from the 10.26.16 to 10.31.16 poll (the full results are available online).
Clinton-Trump, Among LV:
Johnson-Stein, Among LV:
Feingold-Johnson, Among LV:
Anderson for Senate, Among LV:
Pres. Obama Approval:
Gov. Walker Approval:
A few quick points:
- The Marquette Poll has been reliable these last few elections.
- The key takeaways seem reasonable to me (regarding Wisconsin).
- Third party candidates typically fade, and this poll reflects that development.
- Finally, the presidential race is so divisive, and coverage of it so impossible to avoid, that one finds local matters (even important ones) relatively unnoticed by comparison.
- There are important local races, including a school referendum for Whitewater, but I’ve come to think that in this presidential year, downballot contests will be a matter of (1) level turnout driven by the national race, and (2) the particular composition of that turnout. That’s caused me to put off until after the election some discussions that I wanted (and originally planned) to post before November 8th.
- Intense national coverage seems, to me, to obsure everything else. Better an extended analysis in a quieter time. One can be patient; there’s all the time in the world.