FREE WHITEWATER

Daily Bread for 3.22.20

Good morning.

Sunday in Whitewater will be cloudy, with a high of forty-one.  Sunrise is 6:51 AM and sunset 7:10 PM, for 12h 18m 57s of daytime.  The moon is a waning crescent with 3.1% of its visible disk illuminated.

On this day in 1854, Eugene Shepard, the creator of the hodag, is born.

Recommended for reading in full —

Adam Serwer writes Donald Trump’s Cult of Personality Did This:

I don’t mean that I disagree with him on policy, although I do. I don’t mean that I abhor the president’s expressed bigotry toward religious and ethnic minorities, although that is also true. I am not referring to Donald Trump’s efforts to corrupt the Justice Department, shield his criminal associates from legal peril, or funnel taxpayer money to his tacky hotels and golf courses, although all of these things are reason enough to oppose the president.

What I am referring to is the fact that, soon after the coronavirus outbreak emerged in China, the rest of the world began to regard it as a threat to public health, while Trump has seen it as a public-relations problem. Trump’s primary method of dealing with public-relations problems is to exert the full force of the authoritarian cult of personality that surrounds him to deny that a problem even exists. This approach has paid political dividends for the Republican Party, in the form of judicial appointments, tax cuts for the wealthy, and a rapid erosion of the rule of law. But applied to the deadly pandemic now sweeping the planet, all it has done is exacerbate the inevitable public-health crisis, while leaving both the federal government and the entire swath of the country that hangs on his every word unprepared for the catastrophe now unfolding in the United States. The cardinal belief of Trumpism is that loyalty to Trump is loyalty to the country, and that equation leaves no room for the public interest.

Margaret Sullivan writes The media must stop live-broadcasting Trump’s dangerous coronavirus briefings:

Self-aggrandizement. When asked how he would grade his response to the crisis, the president said, “I’d rate it a 10.” Absurd on its face, of course, but effective enough as blatant propaganda

Media-bashing. When NBC News’s Peter Alexander lobbed him a softball question in Friday’s briefing — “What do you say to Americans who are scared?” — Trump went on a bizarre attack. “I say, you’re a terrible reporter,” the president said, launching into one of his trademark “fake news” rants bashing Alexander’s employer.

….

Exaggeration and outright lies. Trump has claimed that there are plenty of tests available (there aren’t); that Google is “very quickly” rolling out a nationwide website to help manage coronavirus treatment (the tech giant was blindsided by the premature claim); that the drug chloroquine, approved to treat malaria, is a promising cure for the virus and “we’re going to be able to make that drug available almost immediately.” (It hasn’t been approved for this use, and there is no evidence to demonstrate its effectiveness in fighting the virus.)

France’s Family of Bell Makers:

One Doctor’s Straight Talk About the Coronavirus

Emily Landon, the chief infectious disease epidemiologist at University of Chicago Medicine, took the lectern after Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker (D), who on Friday afternoon announced that the state would undergo a shelter-in-place order for 2½ weeks starting Saturday evening.

“The healthy and optimistic among us will doom the vulnerable,” Landon said. She acknowledged that restrictions like a shelter-in-place may end up feeling “extreme” and “anticlimactic” — and that’s the point.

“It’s really hard to feel like you’re saving the world when you’re watching Netflix from your couch. But if we do this right, nothing happens,” Landon said. “A successful shelter-in-place means you’re going to feel like it was all for nothing, and you’d be right: Because nothing means that nothing happened to your family. And that’s what we’re going for here.”

Via Washington Post.

Daily Bread for 3.21.20

Good morning.

Saturday in Whitewater will be sunny with a high of thirty-seven.  Sunrise is 6:53 AM and sunset 7:09 PM, for 12h 16m 01s of daytime.  The moon is a waning crescent with 7.5% of its visible disk illuminated.

On this day in 1865, the 21st, 22nd, and 25th Wisconsin Infantry regiments are victorious at the Battle of Goldsborough, North Carolina as three Union armies totaling 100,000 men capture the city and its railroad facilities.

Recommended for reading in full —

Manny Fernandez reports Coronavirus and Poverty: A Mother Skips Meals So Her Children Can:

Alton was closed — all the public schools in Brenham, a rural Texas town of 17,000 about 90 miles east of Austin, have shut for the coronavirus — but one vital piece of the school day lived on: free lunch. Ms. Mossbarger rolled down the window of her used, 15-year-old S.U.V. as school employees handed her six Styrofoam containers.

Even as the carnival aroma of mini corn dogs filled the vehicle on the drive back home, and even as the children sat on the porch and ate from their flipped-open containers with the family dogs running around, Ms. Mossbarger ate nothing.

She skipped breakfast and lunch, taking her first bite of food — food-pantry fried chicken — at about 5:30 p.m. All she consumed from the time she awoke that morning until she ate dinner were sips from a cherry Dr Pepper.

Money was tight. Ms. Mossbarger, 33, a disabled Army veteran, does not work. Her husband’s job as a carpenter has slowed in recent days and gotten more unpredictable as people cancel or delay residential construction jobs. She had plenty of worries — paying the $1,000 rent was at the top of the list — but lunch for her children was not one of them.

“If we didn’t have this, I probably would have a mental breakdown with stress,” she said of the free meals at Alton. “I’m not going to let my kids go hungry. If I have to just eat once a day, that’s what I have to do.”

Shane Harris, Greg Miller, Josh Dawsey, and Ellen Nakashima report U.S. intelligence reports from January and February warned about a likely pandemic:

U.S. intelligence agencies were issuing ominous, classified warnings in January and February about the global danger posed by the coronavirus while President Trump and lawmakers played down the threat and failed to take action that might have slowed the spread of the pathogen, according to U.S. officials familiar with spy agency reporting.

The intelligence reports didn’t predict when the virus might land on U.S. shores or recommend particular steps that public health officials should take, issues outside the purview of the intelligence agencies. But they did track the spread of the virus in China, and later in other countries, and warned that Chinese officials appeared to be minimizing the severity of the outbreak.

Taken together, the reports and warnings painted an early picture of a virus that showed the characteristics of a globe-encircling pandemic that could require governments to take swift actions to contain it. But despite that constant flow of reporting, Trump continued publicly and privately to play down the threat the virus posed to Americans.

Wolves Explore Outside a Family’s Cabin Window:

Why Did President Trump Lie About the COVID-19 Crisis?

Republicans for the Rule of Law asks a simple question: Why Did President Trump Lie About the COVID-19 Crisis?.

The first responsibility of government is, as the Constitution says, “to provide for the common defense.” President Trump has now rightly compared the coronavirus pandemic to a war. But he was still minimizing the threat as recently as three days ago.

In a crisis, there are three rules that must be followed when communicating with the public: Be first. Be right. Be credible. President Trump has often been first but he has seldom been right and he has never been credible. In early February, 72% of Republicans agreed that coronavirus was a serious threat. Today, that number is 40%. President Trump bears responsibility misleading his supporters.

Accurate and timely information is America’s most potent defense against the pandemic we now face. The 60% of Republicans who have been misled by the president’s self-serving coronavirus lies are our families, our friends, and our neighbors. We urge them, and all Americans, to get their coronavirus information from the CDC and other reliable sources. This isn’t about politics. It’s about saving hundreds of thousands of American lives.

Daily Bread for 3.20.20

Good morning.

Friday in Whitewater will be mostly cloudy with a high of thirty-six.  Sunrise is 6:55 AM and sunset 7:08 PM, for 12h 13m 06s of daytime.  The moon is a waning crescent with 13.3% of its visible disk illuminated.

On this day in 1958, an angry mob burns serial killer Ed Gein’s home in Plainfield, WI “in response to rumors that it would be purchased at an auction and reopened for tourism.”

Recommended for reading in full —

Tim Mak reports Intelligence Chairman Raised Virus Alarms Weeks Ago, Secret Recording Shows:

The chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee warned a small group of well-connected constituents three weeks ago to prepare for dire economic and societal effects of the coronavirus, according to a secret recording obtained by NPR.

The remarks from U.S. Sen. Richard Burr were more stark than any he had delivered in more public forums.

On Feb. 27, when the United States had 15 confirmed cases of COVID-19, President Trump was tamping down fears and suggesting that the virus could be seasonal.

“It’s going to disappear. One day, it’s like a miracle. It will disappear,” the president said then, before adding, “it could get worse before it gets better. It could maybe go away. We’ll see what happens.”

On that same day, Burr attended a luncheon held at a social club called the Capitol Hill Club. And he delivered a much more alarming message.

“There’s one thing that I can tell you about this: It is much more aggressive in its transmission than anything that we have seen in recent history,” he said, according to a secret recording of the remarks obtained by NPR. “It is probably more akin to the 1918 pandemic.”

Robert Faturechi and Derek Willis report Senator Dumped Up to $1.7 Million of Stock After Reassuring Public About Coronavirus Preparedness (‘Intelligence Chair Richard Burr’s selloff came around the time he was receiving daily briefings on the health threat’):

Soon after he offered public assurances that the government was ready to battle the coronavirus, the powerful chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, Richard Burr, sold off a significant percentage of his stocks, unloading between $628,000 and $1.72 million of his holdings on Feb. 13 in 33 separate transactions.

As the head of the intelligence committee, Burr, a North Carolina Republican, has access to the government’s most highly classified information about threats to America’s security. His committee was receiving daily coronavirus briefings around this time, according to a Reuters story.

A week after Burr’s sales, the stock market began a sharp decline and has lost about 30% since.

The luncheon had been organized by the Tar Heel Circle, a nonpartisan group whose membership consists of businesses and organizations in North Carolina, the state Burr represents. Membership to join the Tar Heel Circle costs between $500 and $10,000 and promises that members “enjoy interaction with top leaders and staff from Congress, the administration, and the private sector,” according to the group’s website.

Lachlan Markay, William Bredderman, Sam Brodey report Sen. Kelly Loeffler Dumped Millions in Stock After Coronavirus Briefing:

Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-GA) reported the first sale of stock jointly owned by her and her husband on Jan. 24, the very day that her committee, the Senate Health Committee, hosted a private, all-senators briefing from administration officials, including the CDC director and Anthony Fauci, the head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, on the coronavirus.

Sausage Dog Barks Softly and Carries a Big Stick

The WISGOP Follows a Fool, and Fails Wisconsin

No state delegation in America has been less receptive to a federal coronavirus relief package than the WISGOP delegation to Washington. Allison Stevens reports Congress clears 2nd major coronavirus package; 3rd in the works:

A second major coronavirus package cleared the U.S. Senate Wednesday and is now headed to President Donald Trump for his signature.

The bill passed 90-8, with overwhelming bipartisan support. The multi-billion dollar measure aims to slow the spread of a new coronavirus and stimulate the economy as a major recession looms.

The package would provide free access to tests for the virus, including for those without health insurance. It would also give workers affected by the virus temporary paid sick leave, boost unemployment benefits, strengthen government food programs for children, older people and those with low incomes and help states meet expenses for Medicaid, the government insurance program for the poor.

“It is aimed at making it easier for people to socially distance themselves,” Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wisc.) said in an interview.

However, Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wisc.) was one of just eight senators to vote against the bill. And all of Wisconsin’s Republican House members also voted against the bill, reportedly at Johnson’s urging.

It’s nearly impossible for a reasonable person to understand how anyone would follow Ron Johnson’s lead: he shows outward signs of either intellectual, educational, or emotional deficiencies (or perhaps all of these). See Public Policy Responses to the Coronavirus: ‘You have to address the health side.’

Johnson has become the subject of national ridicule for observing that “[r]ight now all people are hearing about are the deaths. I’m sure the deaths are horrific, but the flip side of this is the vast majority of people who get coronavirus do survive.” Johnson later doubled down, declaring that “getting coronavirus is not a death sentence except for maybe no more than 3.4 percent of our population (and) I think probably far less.”

Even an obtuse person should understand that a fatality rate applied to 3.4% of the population, or in Johnson’s uncredentialed estimation perhaps “far less” than that would represent a profound human tragedy.

(Note well: I’m not offering a fatality projection, and needless to say never will – I’m considering Johnson’s use of a figure that shows he’s both indifferent to human life and ignorant of the rippling consequences of a pandemic.)

His previous conspiratorial musings about Ukraine, etc., however objectionable, are less objectionable than his present (and repeated) expressions of indifference to life.

Johnson is unworthy of serving our beautiful state, and in a more responsible time he would be – figuratively – pulled by the collar and dragged from public office.

Daily Bread for 3.19.20

Good morning.

Thursday in Whitewater will be rainy with a high of fifty-five.  Sunrise is 6:57 AM and sunset 7:07 PM, for 12h 10m 10s of daytime.  The moon is a waning crescent with 20.6% of its visible disk illuminated.

On this day in 1962, Bob Dylan releases his first album, the eponymously titled Bob Dylan.

Recommended for reading in full —

Raquel Rutledge and Mark Johnson report Wisconsin nurses say the shortage of masks, gowns and protective gear puts them at risk during coronavirus outbreak:

Nurses and other health care workers in Wisconsin are grappling with a shortage of masks, gowns and other gear to protect them from COVID-19 and are experiencing other breaches in safety protocol they fear put them at risk.

The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel has heard from nearly a dozen health care workers from hospitals in Milwaukee and Madison who report they have no protective masks or that they have been required to wear a single mask all day.

“This is cause for concern,” said Gina Dennik-Champion, executive director of the Wisconsin Nursing Association, an advocacy group for the state’s roughly 90,000 nurses.

Masks degrade the longer you wear them and can become contaminated when you reuse them.

Mitchell Schmidt reports Tony Evers restricts child care center capacity as state COVID-19 cases top 100:

Adding another layer of antiviral measures — and challenges for parents — Gov. Tony Evers on Wednesday placed restrictions on child-care center capacity as part of a statewide response to the spread of COVID-19, which now tops 100 cases statewide.

Evers also officially requested federal disaster loans, underscoring the devastating impact the order to close schools, restaurants, retail establishments and other businesses is expected to have on owners and employees in an effort to slow the spread of the respiratory disease.

“Social distancing and self-isolation are critical steps in reducing and preventing the spread of this virus in our communities, but it comes at an economic cost to our local businesses,” Evers said in a statement.

Under Evers’ latest order, which takes effect at 8 a.m. Thursday, child-care centers will not be allowed to operate with more than 10 staff members or more than 50 children present at a time. The order remains in effect for the duration of the public health emergency Evers declared last week.

Christopher Weaver, Betsy McKay, and Brianna Abbott report America Needed Coronavirus Tests. The Government Failed. (‘Decisions that limited testing for the pathogen blinded the U.S. to the outbreak’s scale. Here’s how it happened’):

When cases of the new coronavirus began emerging several weeks ago in California, Washington state and other pockets of the country, U.S. public-health officials worried this might be The Big One, emails and interviews show.

The testing program they rolled out to combat it, though, was a small one.

Limited testing has blinded Americans to the scale of the outbreak so far, impeding the nation’s ability to fight the virus through isolating the sick and their contacts, public-health officials say. As of early Wednesday, about 6,500 people in the U.S. had tested positive, data compiled by Johns Hopkins University show, but the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention had reported only about 32,000 tests conducted at its facilities and other public-health labs.

Massive Sea Lion Found Blocking the Road in Washington State:

Public Policy Responses to the Coronavirus: ‘You have to address the health side’

Economist Austan Goolsbee offers three scenes, in his words, for addressing the coronavirus pandemic. All three, in the order he presents them, are sound. Most economic schools of thought – and all sound ones across the continuum – would consider something like his suggestions in response to a pandemic.

One obvious note – or at least a note that should be obvious. Republicans like Sen. Ron Johnson who think think benefits will incentivize people not to work are either profoundly ignorant or profoundly stupid. (Most people are sharp; there are very few people who are anything like stupid. Perhaps one needs to make an exception for Johnson. He may truly have a head full of mush.)

The labor force – and free markets in labor – are now being prevented or discouraged from working due to illness or concern of becoming ill. We’ve a unique public health problem, across our entire continent, and under that condition a unique labor market concern arises: laborers who are too close together only risk greater weakness to themselves and across the labor pool. We don’t have a problem incentivizing to people not to work, so to speak – we have a problem of not incentivizing people to stay home when they should be away from others.

Anyone with even an elementary grasp of free markets in labor should be able to understand this regrettable result of a pandemic.

Goolsbee’s suggestions immediately follow — 

Scene 1:VIRUS ECONOMICS
Here the most important thing you can do for the economy is slow the virus or show it has a lower bound. Pay sick not to work, buy ventilators, test/isolate. Nothing works until you get a handle on this.

Scene 2: PREVENT FOREVER DAMAGE FROM NOW PROBLEMS
Even if it rebounds soon, many businesses & ppl will not be able to survive the shock. Extensions on loans, food stamps, bankruptcy/foreclosure moratoria, money to stave off permanent collapse is key here.

Scene 3: STIMULUS
Only AFTER 1 and 2 can you effectively get ppl spending again. Personally I favor cutting sales taxes here because it incentivizes actual spending rather than more savings if people remain fearful after virus wanes but any good bang-for-buck stuff here works.

But there’s danger in trying 3 before 1 or 2: if govt spends $500b and nothing happens but rich people get another tax cut, no one will agree to any further stimulus again.

And there’s good hay to be made in using #1 as stimulus—govt program to 3x ventilators, rent out entire hotels for 6 mos for care centers, whatever. Do the WWII mobilization type stuff applied to health. It ramps down fear can help move us quicker to scenes 2 and 3.

As in financial crisis, you can do anything until you stop the bank runs. Here the runs are ordinary people withdrawing from the economy. You have to address the health side before they will come back.

Assistance Takes Time

So one hears that an effort toward assistance for children’s breakfast & lunch meals received a lower initial response than some expected. Perhaps, but responses take time – especially in a community where large numbers of children live in poor families that almost certainly do not have conventional broadband access.

Initial responses are not indicative of need. It will take time for families to learn by word of mouth that meals are available. There is no reason whatever to mention how few arrived on the first day; more will arrive in future days as awareness grows. Along the way, adjustments can be made (and may have to be made) to quantities and for scheduling to accommodate greater numbers.

To provide meals is the right course; providers are acting well and compassionately in defense of others. Meeting needs takes time, but one has no doubt these needs can be met.