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Brazilian Pres. Bolsonaro defied health guidelines before testing positive for the coronavirus

For months, even as the coronavirus pandemic grew into a debilitating national crisis, Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro did everything he could to downplay it. He called on people to return to normal. He waded into crowds of supporters. He repeatedly described it as nothing more than a little flu. Now Brazil is experiencing the world’s second-worst coronavirus outbreak — with 1.8 million infected and 70,000 dead — and one of the latest people to test positive for covid-19 is Bolsonaro himself.

The Washington Post analyzed hundreds of videos and photos of Bolsonaro to retrace his steps in the two weeks before he first reported symptoms on July 5. The visual evidence shows that Bolsonaro not only met with far more people than his official schedule suggests, but that he routinely flouted public health guidelines. He at times wore a mask and maintained a distance of six feet from others. But just as frequently, he met with people without a mask, shook hands and even hugged supporters.

2:18 – June 23: A judge orders Bolsonaro to wear a mask when in public spaces in Brasilia and the surrounding federal district.

4:10 – June 27: Bolsonaro visited the town of Araguari in the state of Minas Gerais. Several photos and videos from the visit show him without a mask interacting with crowds.

5:53 – July 3: One hundred and eight Planalto Palace employees tested positive for the coronavirus, according to Brazil’s General Secretariat.

6:33 – July 4: Bolsonaro attended a July 4 party at the residence of the U.S. ambassador to Brazil. Photos show the two men unmasked, standing shoulder to shoulder.

7:05 – July 7: Bolsonaro held a small news conference to tell the gathered reporters, clustered nearby, that he’d tested positive for the coronavirus. And then he took off his mask.

Bolsonaro is now isolated, but how he got to this point is revealed in the weeks before.

Daily Bread for 7.12.20

Good morning.

Sunday in Whitewater will be sunny with a high of eighty.  Sunrise is 5:28 AM and sunset 8:32 PM, for 15h 03m 55s of daytime.  The moon is a waning gibbous with 54.2% of its visible disk illuminated.

 

 On this day in 1543, King Henry VIII marries his sixth and last wife, Catherine Parr, at Hampton Court Palace

Recommended for reading in full —

 David J. Lynch reports After the fastest recession in U.S. history, the economic recovery may be fizzling:

United Airlines announced plans to lay off more than one-third of its 95,000 workers. Brooks Brothers, which first opened for business in 1818, filed for bankruptcy. And Bed Bath and Beyond said it will close 200 stores.

If there were still hopes of a “V-shaped” comeback from the novel coronavirus shutdown, this past week should have put an end to them. The pandemic shock, which economists once assumed would be only a temporary business interruption, appears instead to be settling into a traditional, self-perpetuating recession.

When states and cities began closing most businesses in March, the idea was to smother the virus and buy time for the medical system to adapt. Jared Kushner, the president’s son-in-law and a senior White House adviser, spoke of hopes “that by July the country’s really rocking again.”

But without a uniform federal strategy, many governors rushed to reopen their economies before bringing the virus under control. Now states such as Florida, California, Texas and Arizona are setting daily records for coronavirus cases and more than 70 percent of the country has either paused or reversed reopening plans, according to Goldman Sachs.

After two surprisingly strong months, the economy could begin shedding jobs again this month and in August, Morgan Stanley warned Friday. Many small businesses that received forgivable government loans have exhausted their funds while some larger companies are starting to thin their payrolls in preparation for a longer-than-expected downturn.

Nsikan Apkan and Kennedy Elliott report How the new coronavirus surges compare to New York City’s peak:

COVID-19 has been described as a once-in-a-century pandemic, with New York City as the iconic early epicenter for the United States. Now, as coronavirus surges across the country, many places are moving toward a New York-style crisis—and not only in urban areas.

Hotspots are flaring everywhere, from Washington State to Kansas to Florida, with many of these regions matching the concentration of cases witnessed at the peak of New York City’s outbreak.

WORST TWO WEEKS

The U.S. just experienced its worst two-week stretch, with more newly confirmed cases than at any point since its coronavirus outbreak began in early 2020. From June 25 to July 8, 674,750 Americans were diagnosed with coronavirus, and the nation’s tally grew by one million cases over the span of the past month.

With the recent surge elsewhere in the U.S., many areas are experiencing a greater density of cases than New York City witnessed during its two-week peak. In the past few weeks, 59 counties with at least 50 cases have experienced a rise in cases per capita on par with or worse than New York City’s peak. When looking at total cases since the pandemic’s start, 536 counties have case densities worse than one in 100 people.

Eavesdropping on Orangutans:

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Ron Brownstein on Trump and His Anti-Mask Base

“Ron, there is a retail trade group that has asked President Trump to institute federal, nationwide mask guidelines at stores across the country as the country continues to re-open,” said anchor Alex Marquardt. “Experts are saying that masks could save thousands of lives in the coming months. Do you see a scenario in which — any chance in which he would issue that?”

“I think the short answer is no, and for a revealing reason,” said Brownstein. “He is in a trap of his own construction. On coronavirus, we talk all the time about how President Trump’s base is bonded to him, immovably. He’s also bonded to the base in the other direction, that he is very reluctant to get out crosswise with a base that includes the kind of people that showed up at the Michigan capitol to protest lockdown without wearing masks and waving Confederate flags and carrying automatic weapons.”

Brownstein nicely describes Trump’s base (‘without wearing masks and waving Confederate flags and carrying automatic weapons’).

Via Trump fears his base will turn on him if he flips and calls for nationwide mask guidelines.

Daily Bread for 7.11.20

Good morning.

Saturday in Whitewater will see late afternoon thundershowers with a high of eighty-four. Sunrise is 5:27 AM and sunset 8:33 PM, for 15h 05m 17s of daytime.  The moon is a waning gibbous with 63.9% of its visible disk illuminated.

 

 On this day in 1839, Ebenezar G. Whiting of Racine becomes the first Wisconsin resident issued a patent (for an improved plow).

Recommended for reading in full —

 Alex Samuels reports [Texas] Gov. Greg Abbott warns if spread of COVID-19 doesn’t slow, “the next step would have to be a lockdown”:

With Texas continuing to break records for new coronavirus deaths and hospitalizations this week, Gov. Greg Abbott reiterated Friday afternoon that things will continue to get worse. And if people keep flouting his new statewide mask mandate, he said, the next step could be another economic lockdown.

“Things will get worse, and let me explain why,” he told KLBK TV in Lubbock. “The deaths that we’re seeing announced today and yesterday — which are now over 100 — those are people who likely contracted COVID-19 in late May.

“The worst is yet to come as we work our way through that massive increase in people testing positive.”

….

As of Thursday afternoon, 2,918 Texas had died of COVID-19. The state also reported nearly another 10,000 new cases of the disease.

Nearly 9,700 people were in Texas hospitals on Thursday, too, the highest number since the pandemic began.

With cases of the virus and related hospitalizations rising at alarming rates, Abbott expanded his ban on elective medical procedures Thursday to cover more than 100 counties across much of the state. On Friday afternoon, he also extended his disaster declaration for all Texas counties in response to COVID-19.

Laura Hazard Owen reports One group that’s really benefitted from Covid-19: Anti-vaxxers:

“How Big Tech powers and profits from vaccine misinformation.” That’s the title of a report released this week by the U.K.-based nonprofit Center for Countering Digital Hate. Among the findings:

Covid-19 has been a growth opportunity for anti-vaccination sites. “Our investigation of 409 English language anti-vaxx social media accounts shows that they now have 58 million followers. For 147 of the largest accounts, with 49 million followers, we have calculated that they have gained at least 7.8 million followers since 2019, an increase of 19%.”

The movement is strongest on Facebook… “In our sample, anti-vaxx Facebook groups and pages command over 31 million followers, well over half of the combined following of all the accounts we studied. Anti-vaxx accounts have nearly 17 million subscribers on YouTube and 7 million on Instagram, but appear to be weakest on Twitter where they have 2 million followers.” The authors theorize that this could be because people are reluctant to publicly admit anti-vaccination views: “89 percent of the Facebook pages in our sample have more followers than likes, with the key difference that likes are visible to other users. In contrast, just 44 percent of the top 50 Facebook pages have more followers than likes.”

Opossums Enjoying Their Banana:

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Friday Catblogging: Cats Along the Silk Road

Science Magazine has an article asking readers Care For Cats? So Did People Along The Silk Road More Than 1,000 Years Ago:

Common domestic cats, as we know them today, might have accompanied Kazakh pastoralists as pets more than 1,000 years ago. This has been indicated by new analyses done on an almost complete cat skeleton found during an excavation along the former Silk Road in southern Kazakhstan. An international research team led by Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg (MLU), Korkyt-Ata Kyzylorda State University in Kazakhstan, the University of Tübingen and the Higher School of Economics in Russia has reconstructed the cat’s life, revealing astonishing insights into the relationship between humans and pets at the time. The study will appear in the journal “Scientific Reports.”

….

Haruda worked together with an international team of archaeologists and ancient DNA specialists. An examination of the tomcat’s skeleton revealed astonishing details about its life. First, the team took 3D images and X-rays of its bones. “This cat suffered a number of fractures, but survived,” says Haruda. Isotope analyses of bone samples also provided the team with information about the cat’s diet. Compared to the dogs found during the excavation and to other cats from that time period, this tomcat’s diet was very high in protein. “It must have been fed by humans since the animal had lost almost all its teeth towards the end of its life.”

 

Daily Bread for 7.10.20

Good morning.

Friday in Whitewater will be partly cloudy with a high of eighty-three. Sunrise is 5:27 AM and sunset 8:33 PM, for 15h 06m 36s of daytime.  The moon is a waning gibbous with 72.9% of its visible disk illuminated.

 

 On this day in 1897, the temperature in Ashland reaches 115 degrees. (‘This temperature was recorded outside Harrison’s Drug Store, around 2:00 p.m.’)

Recommended for reading in full —

 Michael Gerson writes Trump is our ‘boy in the bubble’ — a right-wing information bubble:

So what are the sources of truth and authority in the land of Trump? There is the cool rationality of right-wing Twitter. There is the wisdom of golfing buddies. There is a constant consumption and regurgitation of cable television. There is Tucker Carlson for advice on epidemiology, Jeanine Pirro on constitutional theory, Lou Dobbs on immigration policy, Sean Hannity to polish his shoes.

We have entered a genuine crisis of truth. The president of the United States is allowing only inputs that reinforce his instincts. He is operating based on a set of views and assumptions that have no relation to the lives of Americans. The African American experience of injustice doesn’t matter to him. The deaths of the elderly from a preventable disease don’t register. The struggles of Americans in a disease-cursed economy are not even admitted. Instead, we get a huge helping of denial with a side of racism.

Does Trump really think this is the path to reelection? Does he believe that most Americans will give him a pat on the back for a job well done? Yes, he appears to believe this. It is part of his delusion to believe it is always November 2016. Hillary Clinton is still his opponent. The polls are still weighted against him. The experts and doubters will again be humiliated. If only he stays the course of polarization and intolerance. If only he refuses to doubt his bigotry and his destiny.

Emily Kassie and Barbara Marcolini report How ICE Exported the Coronavirus:

Admild, an undocumented immigrant from Haiti, was feeling sick as he approached the deportation plane that was going to take him back to the country he had fled in fear. Two weeks before that day in May, while being held at an Immigration and Customs Enforcement detention facility in Louisiana, he had tested positive for the coronavirus — and he was still showing symptoms.

He disclosed his condition to an ICE official at the airport, who sent him to a nurse.

“She just gave me Tylenol,” said Admild, who feared reprisals if his last name was published. Not long after, he was back on the plane before landing in Port-au-Prince, one of more than 40,000 immigrants deported from the United States since March, according to ICE records.

Even as lockdowns and other measures have been taken around the world to prevent the spread of the coronavirus, ICE has continued to detain people, move them from state to state and deport them.

An investigation by The New York Times in collaboration with The Marshall Project reveals how unsafe conditions and scattershot testing helped turn ICE into a domestic and global spreader of the virus — and how pressure from the Trump administration led countries to take in sick deportees.

Mars: Why now? A three minute guide:

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A Key Difference Between Bristol, New Hampshire and Whitewater, Wisconsin

A sad story from April about Bristol, N.H. (population 3,300) reveals key differences between that town and Whitewater. While this new recession affects both communities, the economic hardship will be different.  See David Gelles, ‘This Is Going to Kill Small-Town America.’

Bristol depends on one major, private manufacturer:

By the end of March, with just a few local cases confirmed, gift shops, yoga studios and restaurants had all shut their doors. Hundreds lost jobs, contributing to a record surge in national unemployment claims.

But at least the Freudenberg factory was running at full strength. The factory, which employs 350 people and makes bonded piston seals and other components for carmakers around the world, has an outsize impact on Bristol’s economy.

Besides paying employees their salaries and the town taxes, the factory — part of a German industrial conglomerate — is the largest customer of Bristol’s sewage and water systems, a linchpin of the annual budget.

….

On April 3, the bad news started to spread around town. Freudenberg announced it was firing more than 100 people, shutting down its manufacturing of bonded piston seals and looking for additional buyouts. With car sales around the world essentially halted, automakers were suspending operations, and suppliers like Freudenberg were suddenly without revenue to pay workers in places like Bristol.

Whitewater’s difference is clear: she mostly depends on a (relatively large for the city’s size) public university campus, along with few light manufacturing concerns in her industrial park. It’s the public university – one that depends on public funds – that sustains Whitewater at her present size.

(Whitewater’s tax-designated business lobby, called the Greater Whitewater Committee, asserts a private, pro-business stance but looks more like a mouthpiece for a few who’ve thrived in a dependent economy in which public monies sustain a public university.)

That is, in fact, how Whitewater, WI is unlike Bristol, N.H.: she’s a small town dependent on a UW System school. That school – like so many other UW System schools – faces longterm fiscal challenges, demographic challenges that aggravate her fiscal challenges, and now a second set of economic problems from the current recession.

UW-Whitewater, however, is not truly at risk of closure. The school may shrink in student population, and doing so would weaken some parts of the local economy more than others, but as long as the school goes on the city will muddle along. Muddling along is hardly an auspicious prospect, but Whitewater’s never developed a diversified economy despite a thousand press releases insisting that she’s on the move.

One hopes the best for Bristol, New Hampshire, but a community in her position might, sadly, find itself a ghost town. Whitewater’s repeated failures of the last generation will likely not (one may be thankful) send her to the grave. It’s more likely that she’ll muddle along somewhat less capably over the next several years, a bit weaker each year. That, too, is tragic, but it’s a different kind of tragedy, less immediately dire but no less finally disconcerting.

Whitewater’s myriad needs require a shift in thinking & action, in which one turns away from public officials’ big statements and little gains, toward private, unselfish charitable actions. See An Oasis Strategy.

Daily Bread for 7.9.20

Good morning.

Thursday in Whitewater will see afternoon thundershowers with a high of eighty-nine. Sunrise is 5:26 AM and sunset 8:34 PM, for 15h 07m 53s of daytime.  The moon is a waning gibbous with 81.3% of its visible disk illuminated.

 

 On this day in 1868, the 14th Amendment to the United States Constitution is ratified, guaranteeing African Americans full citizenship and all persons in the United States due process of law.

Recommended for reading in full —

 Ryan Mac reports Facebook Said It “Stands Firmly Against Hate.” It’s Currently Running An Ad From White Nationalists:

On Tuesday, ahead of a meeting with social justice organizations and the release of a civil rights audit that took two years to complete, Facebook Chief Operating Officer Sheryl Sandberg wrote on her personal page that the company “stands firmly against hate.”

But as Sandberg hit publish, the social network was running an ad from a white nationalist Facebook page.

Since July 4, the company has been running an ad from “White Wellbeing Australia,” a two-month old Facebook page with 386 followers that has posted about a supposed “#whitegenocide” and fearmongered about the erasure of white children.

“White people make up just 8% of the world’s population so if you flood all white majority countries with nonwhites you eliminate white children for ever,” White Wellbeing Australia’s Facebook ad read, accompanied by a cartoon drawing of a white woman. “There will still be a billion Africans in Africa a billion Indians in India and 2 billion Asians in Asia.”

(Private companies like Facebook should be able to run – and remove – ads as they wish. Censorship is a government action; private publishers imposing terms of service are not ‘censoring’ readers or advertisers – they’re enforcing a private agreement. Facebook seems to enforce its own private policies only sporadically, and therein lies that platform’s contentious conduct. Facebook’s controversies are its own fault — major advertisers withholding support from Facebook for its inconsistency is an understandable reaction to others’ racist ads or posts that would sit alongside ads for these major advertisers’ brands.)

Meagan Flynn reports Leader of fake church peddling bleach as covid-19 cure sought Trump’s support. Instead he got federal charges:

In April, when President Trump mused whether injecting patients with disinfectant could kill the coronavirus, perhaps no one was more thrilled about the suggestion than Mark Grenon.

Grenon runs a fake church with his sons in Florida that sells people a life-threatening toxic bleach product he calls the Miracle Mineral Solution, federal officials say, which he fraudulently claims cures everything from covid-19 to cancer.

“Trump has got the MMS and all the info!!! Things are happening folks!” Grenon, 62, wrote on Facebook on April 24, linking to Trump’s comments. “Lord help others to see the Truth!”

Grenon had made $500,000 in 2019 alone selling his solutions to thousands of vulnerable, sick people across the country, according to the Justice Department, even though the Food and Drug Administration had warned for years that people could die if they drank MMS products, which are essentially bleach.

What it Means to Be American From A Naturalized Immigrant Judge:

Milwaukee Magistrate Judge Nancy Joseph often presides over naturalization ceremonies as immigrants become our nation’s newest Americans. As a native Haitian, now naturalized citizen, it’s a journey she’s intimately familiar with. She explains why, to her, being an American means being hopeful about what the United States can be.

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The Choice on Schools Is About Hard Work

Hennessey sees what truly matters: to do what is necessary. That’s a matter of preparation now, and thereafter the fulfillment of that preparation.

It’s much easier for a district to speak than to act, to declare than to do. Institutions that have a history of the grandiose mistake aspiration for action. To be more precise, they come to believe falsely that aspirational statements are sufficient actions.

The challenge school districts will have – including Whitewater’s district – amounts to action now and consistent action during the school year in fulfillment of clear, concrete plans.

One month will follow another; each day of each month will require a public health effort so regular that it becomes habit.

 

 

 

 

Daily Bread for 7.8.20

Good morning.

Wednesday in Whitewater will be mostly sunny with a high of ninety-one. Sunrise is 5:25 AM and sunset 8:34 PM, for 15h 09m 05s of daytime.  The moon is a waning gibbous with 88.4% of its visible disk illuminated.

 

 On this day in 1947, broadcast reports that a UFO crash landed in Roswell, New Mexico become known as the Roswell UFO incident.

Recommended for reading in full —

The AP reports Trump donors among early recipients of coronavirus loans:

WASHINGTON (AP) — As much as $273 million in federal coronavirus aid was awarded to more than 100 companies that are owned or operated by major donors to President Donald Trump’s election efforts, according to an Associated Press analysis of federal data.

Many were among the first to be approved for a loan in early April, when the administration was struggling to launch the lending program. And only eight businesses had to wait until early May before securing the aid, according to the AP’s review of data released Monday.

Quinta Jurecic and Benjamin Wittes write Trump Is Campaigning on a Platform of Abject Failure:

Trump’s case has obvious problems, both moral and intellectual. But, more pragmatically, the argument is flawed from an electoral standpoint. For example, even voters who believe that Trump deserves credit for the pre-coronavirus economy may worry that his disastrous response to the virus has contributed to the economic devastation the country now faces. Trump’s approval rating on his handling of the pandemic is not good; a solid and growing majority disapproves of it, and a whopping 85 percent of the country is either somewhat or extremely worried about the economy. Those aren’t good numbers against which to ask for a vote as an incumbent.

Moreover, the human costs of the pandemic beg for an electoral reckoning, one that Biden is likely to demand of Trump and to which the current president is extremely vulnerable. His propensity to wish the matter away only exacerbates this problem. And the United States’s performance cannot convincingly be portrayed as admirable in the face of rising COVID-19 case numbers not seen anywhere else in the developed world.

The attempt to tag Biden with the excesses of every anarchist protester is also unpersuasive. Whatever Biden is, he’s no leftist firebrand, and his rhetoric has not given aid or comfort to demonstrators engaged in illegal activity—who are not obviously part of his political camp in any event. Painting him as responsible for controlling the supposed mob Trump warns about will be tricky, particularly because Trump himself is the incumbent, and many Democratic primary voters supported Biden as a moderate alternative to more radical choices—as Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, no moderate herself, pointed outrecently. Finally, despite hopeful noises from his campaign that Trump’s culture-war shtick will ingratiate him with frightened suburban white women, the polls don’t bear this out. Rather, the attempt to stand behind law enforcement against protesters is actually unpopular, given the current public horror at police behavior, and sympathy with the large majority of protesters who have remained peaceful.

So Trump is swimming upriver with this case.

Artificial Feathers Let This Robotic Bird Fly With Incredible Agility:

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The Balancing That Shouldn’t Have Happened

In communities across America, when a common & rational direction is most needed, cities & towns are about to confront the absence of a rational consensus. Residents who are in the grip of conspiracy theories (Qanon, anti-vaxxers, rumors of antifa, etc.) and those who have retained a sound understanding may live in the same place, but might as well have come from different continents.

The conspiracy-possessed have, in too many communities, been indulged for years: local leaders have condescended to them, tried to balance their views as though they were serious, or run from them – indeed, leaders have done everything except speak bluntly and truthfully to them.

Politicians and appointees who never met a press release they wouldn’t send have been silent in the face of nuttiness.

At the same time, in a place like Whitewater, hundreds of commuting professionals without residency go home each night to other places. More should have been done to welcome them genuinely: not on the terms of a few self-promoting local notables, but on considerate, equal terms.

They are not going home to better places; they are leaving each day a place that deserves better care. A nightly separation from the city is not a sign of sophistication; it’s merely the conceit of sophistication.

The worst recent case is, of course, Trump and Trumpism: a thousand local resolutions and declarations, but not a single, truthful statement that the president is a bigoted, ignorant autocrat. There’s more reasonable doubt about exact the color of the sky than there will ever be about what Trump is, or what he has done to this republic.

Now, with a pandemic, cities & school districts find themselves facing small, oft-placated factions that repeat what they hear from a vainglorious fool. Now, with a pandemic, some of these cities & school districts find themselves with professionals who aren’t embedded in their workplace communities.

These have been – rightly – free choices.

They have also been – truly – poor choices.

It’s much harder to be direct after years of indirection, yet more necessary now than ever.