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Author Archive for JOHN ADAMS

Daily Bread for 1.17.19

Good morning.

Thursday in Whitewater will be cloudy with a high of thirty-five.  Sunrise is 7:21 AM and sunset 4:49 PM, for 9h 28m 07s of daytime.  The moon is a waxing gibbous with 81.9% of its visible disk illuminated.

Whitewater’s Community Development Authority is scheduled to meet at 5:30 PM. (For a category at FREE WHITEWATER with posts describing the years-long failure of the Whitewater CDA’s approach, see CDA.)

On this day in 1864, the 1st Wisconsin Cavalry fights in the Battle of Dandridge, Tennessee.

Recommended for reading in full:

 Patrick Marley reports Wisconsin GOP lawmakers seek to hire attorneys at taxpayer expense to defend lame-duck laws:

Republican legislators have taken the first step to hiring private attorneys at taxpayer expense to fight a lawsuit challenging lame-duck laws that limit the power of Democratic officials and curtail early voting.

Top lawmakers were asked Wednesday to sign off on hiring lawyers without knowing what it would cost. If approved, two GOP leaders — Assembly Speaker Robin Vos of Rochester and Senate President Roger Roth of Appleton — would be given the power to determine whom to hire and how much to pay them.

The effort comes at a time when Vos has refused to release a legal contract in another case that is expected to cost taxpayers at least $850,000.

 Allyson Chiu reports Rudy Giuliani: ‘I never said there was no collusion’ between Trump campaign and Russia:

Rudolph W. Giuliani claimed Wednesday night that he “never said there was no collusion” between President Trump’s campaign and Russia leading up to the 2016 presidential election.

In a remarkable, at times contentious, interview with CNN’s Chris Cuomo, the president’s lawyer was accused of contradicting his own past statements about collusion as well as what Trump and his supporters have repeatedly asserted. On Twitter, Trump has used the phrase “no collusion” dozens of times, and a number of those instances were direct denials that his campaign was involved with the Russian government.

Giuliani’s shocking declarations — several of which Cuomo called out as being false — quickly sent the Internet into a tailspin as many wondered what could have prompted the former New York mayor to suddenly change course.

….

As recently as July, Giuliani was asked by Fox News contributor Guy Benson, “Regardless of whether collusion would be a crime, is it still the position of you and your client that there was no collusion with the Russians whatsoever on behalf of the Trump campaign?”

“Correct,” Giuliani responded at the time.

But on Wednesday, Giuliani appeared to amend his previous comments on the subject.

Spencer S. Hsu reports New court filing indicates prosecutors have extensive details on Manafort actions not yet made public:

Prosecutors working for special counsel Robert S. Mueller III have intensively scrutinized Paul Manafort’s activities after President Trump’s election — including after Manafort was criminally charged — and indicated they have extensive details not yet made public about Manafort’s interactions with former Russian aide Konstantin Kilimnik and others, a Tuesday court filing showed.

That Time a Heineken Distributor Convinced the Masses That Corona Contained Human Urine:

Walker v. Ocasio-Cortez On Twitter (Spoiler: She Shreds Him)

I’m a supporter of neither Scott Walker (an anti-market crony capitalist) nor Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (an anti-market socialist), but a Twitter exchange between them was notable for being so one-sided: Cortez engaged and out-played Walker. In this post, I’ll analyze the exchange. Wholly apart from their politics, it’s obvious that Ocasio-Cortez is a talented communicator, while Walker … isn’t.

Walker’s Original Tweet:

Explaining tax rates before Reagan to 5th graders: “Imagine if you did chores for your grandma and she gave you $10. When you got home, your parents took $7 from you.” The students said: “That’s not fair!” Even 5th graders get it.

 

Ocasio-Cortez’s reply to Walker:

Explaining marginal taxes to a far-right former Governor:

Imagine if you did chores for abuela & she gave you $10. When you got home, you got to keep it, because it’s only $10.

Then we taxed the billionaire in town because he’s making tons of money underpaying the townspeople.

Walker’s Counter-Reply (hours later):

REALITY CHECK: When the federal government raised taxes on the “wealthy” in the 90s, revenues missed projections & people lost family-supporting jobs. Not very progressive…

A few remarks:

Marginal Rates. Ocasio-Cortez has a plan (to which I am opposed) to tax to a marginal rate of 70%. (A marginal rate of 70% does not mean one’s whole income is taxed at 70% – only the amount over a specified threshold would be taxed at 70%.)  Walker either doesn’t understand the concept or deliberately distorts her proposal (or any marginal rate proposal) in his tweet.

Before Reagan. Walker links a better approach to a time before Reagan, presumably for ideological purposes. I doubt Reagan, himself, would describe arguments against high marginal rates that way. The better approach would be to speak historically: “across centuries, the experience of productive societies is that…” Walker’s too narrow.

Abuela. Walker writes of grandma, but Ocasio-Cortez replies with abuela. Very clever. Ocasio-Cortez turns the story from middle America to a constituency that’s working class and significantly Latino (she represents a congressional district covering the Bronx). Walker speaks one language, but Ocasio-Cortez reminds that she speaks (at least) two.

Shifting the Terrain. Ocasio-Cortez replies cleverly to Walker not with a debunking of his error (or lie) about how marginal rates work, but by focusing on her political point that “[i]magine if you did chores for abuela & she gave you $10. When you got home, you got to keep it, because it’s only $10.” She emphasizes lower taxes for low-wage earners, using the small dollar figures in his tweet to emphasize workers’ struggles.

But she’s not done with him – she hits him with a soak-the-rich argument that most people will find (sadly) convincing: “Then we taxed the billionaire in town because he’s making tons of money underpaying the townspeople.” (See what she did there? She implies that some private parties owe some of their money to other townspeople.)

Walker’s Counter-Reply. Walker thinks the problem with high marginal rates is that government lost revenue? No, the responsive counter-reply is that high rates (marginal or flat) drain money from the private economy.  Even funnier, Walker later retweeted his own ghostwriter to come to his defense on marginal rates. That’s a failure, too, as Mark Theissen’s tweet doesn’t rehabilitate on the merits Walker’s misunderstanding (or lie) about how marginal rates work. 

What a Mess. Walker is a dull writer, seemingly lacks the ability to expect (so pre-empt) counter-arguments, in his counter-reply drops a key argument in favor of a canned one, and unavailingly relies on retweeting his own ghostwriter to try to save himself.

Assessment (as tweeted yesterday).

Holy Cow, @ScottWalker was in office for *decades* and yet @AOC still shreds him. Don’t agree with her politics, but agree with him even less. Scott, buddy, time to (1) quit Twitter, (2) find a desperate college that will take you, and (3) learn something.

Daily Bread for 1.16.19

Good morning.

Wednesday in Whitewater will be partly sunny with a high of twenty-nine.  Sunrise is 7:21 AM and sunset 4:47 PM, for 9h 26m 20s of daytime.  The moon is a waxing gibbous with 73.6% of its visible disk illuminated.

The Whitewater School Board’s Policy Review Committee is scheduled to meet at 8 AM.

On this day in 1888, Wisconsin resident William Vilas becomes United States Secretary of the Interior.

Recommended for reading in full:

Jim Tankersley reports Shutdown’s Economic Damage Starts to Pile Up, Threatening an End to Growth:

The partial government shutdown is inflicting far greater damage on the United States economy than previously estimated, the White House acknowledged on Tuesday, as President Trump’s economists doubled projections of how much economic growth is being lost each week the standoff with Democrats continues.

The revised estimates from the Council of Economic Advisers show that the shutdown, now in its fourth week, is beginning to have real economic consequences. The analysis, and other projections from outside the White House, suggests that the shutdown has already weighed significantly on growth and could ultimately push the United States economy into a contraction.

….

Mr. Hassett [chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers] said on Tuesday that the administration now calculates that the shutdown reduces quarterly economic growth by 0.13 percentage points for every week that it lasts — the cumulative effect of lost work from contractors and furloughed federal employees who are not getting paid and who are investing and spending less as a result. That means that the economy has already lost nearly half a percentage point of growth from the four-week shutdown. (Last year, economic growth for the first quarter totaled 2.2 percent.)

(Making America Stagnant Again.)

 Bill Kaplan describes How Shutdown Is Hurting State:

Wisconsin dairy and other farmers are no longer receiving special payments because of the loss of foreign markets. “States like Wisconsin, which lost at least 638 dairy farms last year, are particularly vulnerable” (New York Times). Wisconsin Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin had added programs to the farm bill to help alleviate the burden of low prices and resultant stress. The shutdown has put everything on hold. Baldwin said: “More uncertainty and more stress. We can’t afford to wait months. We need to get this moving now.”

The shutdown also threatens FDA inspection of Wisconsin food processing companies (vegetables). Similarly, EPA inspections of state Superfund sites, chemical and industrial factories and water treatment facilities, are on hold. And, Wisconsin Native Americans are in trouble. The Oneida Nation said: “the shutdown is putting the health and welfare of our community and our members at risk and impeding our economic development potential”.

 Deer in Door County rescued after falling through ice:

Yet Go He Will…

Ted Koppel cautions Don’t expect Trump to go quietly:

There is a disarming innocence to the assumption that whether by impeachment, indictment or a cleansing electoral redo in 2020, President Trump will be exorcised from the White House and that thereby he and his base will largely revert to irrelevance.

Truthfully, there are few among the many millions in opposition and resistance who likely expect Trump to go quietly; there’s nothing quiet about him. Having spent these recent years in opposition, these millions have taken the measure of Trump.  There are no uncertainties about what he is: authoritarian, bigot, confidence man, and foreign dictator’s fifth columnist.

A man like that will thrash and howl at the approach of political ruin.

Millions of his fellow Americans will deliver that political ruin to him and his nativist movement.

Loud in ruin will resound less forcefully than loud in power.  (Indeed, loud in ruin then will sound like quiet now.)

This brings to mind my favorite political commercial of 2016,  entitled simply Quiet, and embedded above.

Congressman Steve King, But Not Only Steve King…

Bigoted congressman Steve King has lost his committee assignments, should be censured, and truly should leave politics forever.

And yet, and yet, while King should go,  King shouldn’t head for the exit alone:

The condemnations of Mr. King stood in stark contrast to the lawmakers’ willingness to tolerate President Trump’s frequent offensive and insensitive remarks about migrantsblack peopleNative Americans and other minorities.

Just last week, the president used the Oval Office to unleash a blistering assault on undocumented immigrants, portraying them as criminals in a fashion that harked back to an earlier era of American politics but rarely heard from a president in modern times. And on Sunday night, Mr. Trump invoked the Wounded Knee massacre of hundreds of Native Americans as an attempt to joke about Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts.

Via Steve King Removed From Committee Assignments Over White Supremacy Remark.

Daily Bread for 1.15.19

Good morning.

Tuesday in Whitewater will be cloudy with a high of thirty-four.  Sunrise is 7:22 AM and sunset 4:46 PM, for 9h 24m 36s of daytime.  The moon is a waxing gibbous with 62.3% of its visible disk illuminated.

Whitewater’s Common Council meets at 6:30 PM.

On this day in 1967, the Packers win the first Super Bowl (35-10 over the Chiefs).

Recommended for reading in full:

Julian E. Barnes and Helene Cooper report Trump Discussed Pulling U.S. From NATO, Aides Say Amid New Concerns Over Russia:

There are few things that President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia desires more than the weakening of NATO, the military alliance among the United States, Europe and Canada that has deterred Soviet and Russian aggression for 70 years.

Last year, President Trump suggested a move tantamount to destroying NATO: the withdrawal of the United States.

Senior administration officials told The New York Times that several times over the course of 2018, Mr. Trump privately said he wanted to withdraw from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Current and former officials who support the alliance said they feared Mr. Trump could return to his threat as allied military spending continued to lag behind the goals the president had set.

(No greater gift to Vladimir Vladimirovich than the end of American participation in the NATO alliance.)

 Fred Kaplan considers Trump and Putin’s Cone of Seclusion (“It’s not just unusual that there are no notes from Trump’s meetings with Putin. It’s unprecedented”):

Whether his translator’s notes hold anything incriminating about Trump’s fealty to Putin, it is appalling that he would go into a one-on-one meeting with the Russian president without a note taker—especially given his shallow grasp of the issues and the very real possibility that he could have given away U.S. interests or disclosed vital secrets without understanding what he was doing. He also conducted his one-on-one with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, at their summit in Singapore, without a note taker present.

….

Quite aside from matters that may be of concern to special counsel Robert Mueller, who knows what concessions Trump may have made in these sessions? In the follow-on meetings that have since taken place between U.S. and North Korean negotiators, American diplomats have sometimes raised points that they consider vital—only to have their North Korean counterpart wave it away, saying, “Go talk with your president.” Did Trump concede these issues in his one-on-one without telling his subordinates? We may never know; some U.S. officials suspect he did.

Meg Jones reports USO Wisconsin collecting gift cards for Coast Guardsmen working without pay because of shutdown:

Like other federal workers working without pay, Coast Guard members and their families are facing hardship paying bills, buying groceries and filling gas tanks.

To help, USO Wisconsin has started a gift card collection for local Coast Guardsmen and their families.

How to help pollinators in cities:

Trump-Russia Roundup

While the proper focus against Trumpism involves a zealous lawful effort against Trump and his leading operatives, there is also a problem of Trumpism down to the local level.

In both cases, officials advancing Trumpism ignore the overwhelming evidence of his betrayal of our own people to the benefit of a hostile foreign power. As with Trumpism’s other political sins, officials defending Trumpism are owed no deference – they deserve nothing beyond the minimum requirements of the law. 

Below are excerpts of recent reports:

Strobe Talbot writes It’s Already Collusion:

Under Putin as a revanchist, Russia has reinstated four key ingredients of Soviet politics and geopolitics: the Iron Fist, the Big Lie, the expansion beyond Russian borders and the subversion of Western societies. He is giving another chance to a system that ended up on the ash heap of history in the last century because of its internal failures.

….

Trumpism is a godsend to Putin and a nightmare for governments in his sights—including Trump’s. The U.S. commander-in-chief is out of sync with his own administration, not to mention the government as a whole. Note his stubborn yearning to lift sanctions on Putin’s pet oligarchs.

Isaac Chotiner reports How the Times Reported the F.B.I. Counterintelligence Investigation Into President Trump: An Interview with the Journalist Adam Goldman:

the F.B.I. had specifically started looking at Trump and whether he wittingly or unwittingly had been working with a hostile foreign power. I had to look at the mechanisms that went into place to trigger this aspect of the investigation. This comes after the Lester Holt interview. [On May 11th, 2017, two days after Trump fired Comey, the President gave an interview to NBC in which he said that, when he fired Comey, he was thinking, “You know, this Russia thing with Trump and Russia is a made-up story.”] And you talk to people who are familiar with this: once he got on Lester Holt and he said this, the F.B.I. is, like, “He is telling us why he did this? The President of the United States got up on television and said, ‘I did this because of Russia.’ ” They are, like, “What the fuck?,” right?

Tom Nichols contends All signs point the same way: Vladimir Putin has compromising information on Donald Trump:

While Trump is not an “agent” of the Russian Federation (too many people use this kind of language without knowing what it means to counterintelligence officials), it seems at this point beyond argument that the president personally fears Russian President Vladimir Putin for reasons that can only suggest the existence of compromising information.

Max Boot lists 18 reasons Trump could be a Russian asset [asset, not agent, by the way]:

we can look at the key, publicly available evidence that both supports and undercuts this explosive allegation.

Here is some of the evidence suggesting “Individual 1” could be a Russian “asset”:

(Full list follows in the article.)

The Room Where It Happens

This weekend, Greg Miller reported on the lengths to which Donald Trump has gone to hide the contents of his discussions with Putin from his — Trump’s own — administration.  See Trump has concealed details of his face-to-face encounters with Putin from senior officials in administration.

Normally – in a properly functioning federal administration – a meeting between the American president and the leader of a hostile foreign power would include many supporting American officials.

Photographs confirm this plain fact:

Obama Administration & Putin:

Reagan Administration & Gorbachev:

Nixon Administration & Mao:

By contrast, Trump and Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov & then-Ambassador Kislyak in the Oval Office:

Hedge Funds Have No Table Manners Whatever

Brian Stelter writes Gannett journalists anxious amid report that Digital First Media is circling the company:

Cara Lombardo’s unsettling Sunday night scoop for the WSJ: “A hedge-fund-backed media group known for buying up struggling local papers and cutting costs is planning to make an offer for USA Today publisher Gannett, according to people familiar with the matter.”

The would-be buyer is Digital First Media, which in turn is controlled by Alden Global Capital. The operation already owns dozens of local papers. It is notorious for slash-and-burn tactics. Last year, employees at the Denver Post garnered national support when they rose up against the “vultures” at Alden.

Now Alden, through Digital First Media, is looking to acquire Gannett and its dozens of papers. Digital First will “offer to buy Gannett for $12 a share, they said, which would represent a 23% premium over Friday’s closing price of $9.75,” Lombardo reports. She says Gannett has rebuffed past approaches from the firm…

If Gannett has it bad – and they do – it’s worse for local newspapers: their stories are laughably fawning toward local officials, they have no digital strategy whatever, some are almost certainly deceiving advertisers about the actual reach of their respective publications (digital or print), and new reporters get no useful mentoring.

Note well – in print or digital, nothing matters more than the embrace of the highest standards of inquiry, and the rejection of the boosterism and weak reasoning that has paved the way to our present lamentable condition.

Daily Bread for 1.14.19

Good morning.

Monday in Whitewater will be partly sunny with a high of thirty-four.  Sunrise is 7:22 AM and sunset 4:45 PM, for 9h 22m 56s of daytime.  The moon is a waxing gibbous with 52.2% of its visible disk illuminated.

Whitewater’s Planning Commission meets at 6:30 PM.

On January 14, 1863, the 23rd Wisconsin Infantry leads an expedition to South Bend, Arkansas. On this day in 1865, the 12th, 16th, 17th, 25th, and 32nd Wisconsin Infantry regiments seize Pocotaligo, South Carolina.

Recommended for reading in full:

 Tory Newmyer writes Government shutdown threatens to take real bite out of economic growth:

The longest shutdown is on track to turn a month old this coming weekend, and the economic damage is starting to pile up. 

Given that there’s no end in sight, the damage may need to get significantly worse to break the stalemate.

Economists disagree on what the shutdown has done to broader economic growth so far. The rough standard is that every week or two the government is shuttered trims a tenth of a percent from GDP growth. 

But the knock-on effects — when government contractors or others who rely on federal workers as customers get stiffed, then fail to pay employees or creditors and, potentially, see their businesses fail — are hard to measure, Pantheon Macroeconomics chief economist Ian Shepherdson argued in a research note over the weekend. “Even a one-month shutdown would seriously hit growth, to say nothing of the misery caused,” he wrote. And if the situation drags on for the duration of the first quarter, “we would look for an outright decline in first quarter GDP.”

(Emphasis in original.)

Vanda Felbab-Brown surveys Trump’s bogus justifications for the border wall:

President Trump’s speech this week did not change the fact that a border wall won’t make the United States safer or more prosperous. Despite the president’s spin and pretend newly-found humanitarianism, a wall—whether a steel barrier or concrete—remains a waste of money. No matter how tall, deep, or thick a barrier, illicit flows will find a way around. Instead, the wall would undermine the rights of Native Americans and critically damage U.S. biodiversity.

A wall can’t stop smuggling. Drug smugglers have been using tunnels to get drugs into the United States since 1989. Between 1990 and 2016, 224 tunnels have been discovered underneath the U.S.–Mexico border. With no great difficulty, tunnels can be built under any wall. Drugs are also smuggled through drainage systems between border towns and by drones. People and contraband can be smuggled by boats, landing far north on U.S. coasts. Ports such as Miami and Boston are key drug-trafficking hubs.

Contraband and migrants can be hidden within the legal cargo entering through the 52 ports of entry between the United States and Mexico. Most high-value drugs are smuggled across the land border that way. Checking every car, truck, and train compartment that crosses the border is simply infeasible because of time and costs. It would paralyze legal trade and travel.

Dolphins join surfer for amazing ride off California coast:

Trump as Fifth Columnist

A fellow traveler is someone who sympathizes with a foreign adversary, but a fifth columnist is far worse: the fifth columnist takes active steps in support of his or her disloyal sympathies.  Trump has spoken favorably of Russian dictator Vladimir Putin on many occasions, yet he has done far worse: he has acted in ways that actively support Putin – murderer, militarist, and tyrant – against the interests of our own people.

Greg Miller reports Trump has concealed details of his face-to-face encounters with Putin from senior officials in administration:

President Trump has gone to extraordinary lengths to conceal details of his conversations with Russian President Vladi­mir Putin, including on at least one occasion taking possession of the notes of his own interpreter and instructing the linguist not to discuss what had transpired with other administration officials, current and former U.S. officials said.

Trump did so after a meeting with Putin in 2017 in Hamburg that was also attended by then-Secretary of State Rex Tillerson. U.S. officials learned of Trump’s actions when a White House adviser and a senior State Department official sought information from the interpreter beyond a readout shared by Tillerson.

The constraints that Trump imposed are part of a broader pattern by the president of shielding his communications with Putin from public scrutiny and preventing even high-ranking officials in his own administration from fully knowing what he has told one of the United States’ main adversaries.

As a result, U.S. officials said there is no detailed record, even in classified files, of Trump’s face-to-face interactions with the Russian leader at five locations over the past two years. Such a gap would be unusual in any presidency, let alone one that Russia sought to install through what U.S. intelligence agencies have described as an unprecedented campaign of election interference.

Here is Trump, seen clearly: the ignorant, bigoted, and corrupt tool of a foreign dictator. A monkey, dancing to an organ grinder’s tune, is pitiable: the tiny primate merely does what it does by its primitive nature. A man or woman living as Trump, while no less human under the law, descends from principle to the behavior of a lesser creature.

See also (as linked yesterday about an earlier story of FBI investigation into Trump’s conduct) Benjamin Wittes’s What if the Obstruction Was the Collusion? On the New York Times’s Latest Bombshell.

Daily Bread for 1.13.19

Good morning.

Sunday in Whitewater will be partly sunny with a high of thirty-three.  Sunrise is 7:23 AM and sunset 4:44 PM, for 9h 21m 19s of daytime.  The moon is a waxing crescent with 42.5% of its visible disk illuminated.

On this day in 1922, WHA radio station is founded. (The station dates back to 1917, making it “the oldest station in the nation.”)

Recommended for reading in full:

 Mitch Smith reports Students in Rural America Ask, ‘What Is a University Without a History Major?’:

STEVENS POINT, Wis. — Chancellor Bernie Patterson’s message to his campus was blunt: To remain solvent and relevant, his 125-year-old university needed to reinvent itself.

Some longstanding liberal arts degrees, including those in history, French and German, would be eliminated. Career-focused programs would become a key investment. Tenured faculty members could lose their jobs. The University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point, Dr. Patterson explained in a memo, could “no longer be all things to all people.”

….

But critics say that in trying to carve out a sustainable path for Stevens Point — and build a model for other struggling, regionally focused universities — administrators are risking the very essence of a four-year college experience.

Adam Harris worries The Liberal Arts May Not Survive the 21st Century:

Many people attribute the Wisconsin Idea, as it is known, to Charles Van Hise, the president of the University of Wisconsin from 1903 to 1918. “I shall never be content until the beneficent influence of the University reaches every family of the state,” Hise said in an address in 1905. “If our beloved institution reaches this ideal it will be the first perfect state university.” His idea was written into the mission of the state’s university system, and over time that system became a model for what public higher education could be.

But the backbone of the idea almost went away in 2015, when Governor Scott Walker released his administration’s budget proposal, which included a change to the university’s mission. The Wisconsin Idea would be tweaked. The “search for truth” would be cut in favor of a charge to “meet the state’s workforce needs.”

To those outside Wisconsin, the proposed change might have seemed small. After all, what’s so bad about an educational system that propels people into a high-tech economy? But to many Wisconsinites, the change struck at the heart of the state’s identity. They argued that the idea—with its core tenets of truth, public service, and “improving the human condition”—is what makes Wisconsin, Wisconsin.

Walker ultimately scrapped his attempt to alter the Wisconsin Idea, claiming that his administration hadn’t meant to change it, that it was just a “drafting error.” And so the Wisconsin Idea was preserved—at least in an official sense. But though the words survived intact, many Wisconsinites believe that in the years since, the change Walker had proposed has taken place nevertheless. And one of the state’s institutions, the University of Wisconsin at Stevens Point, is the epicenter of that change.

How One Man Circumnavigated the World … By Car: