A uniter, not a divider.
Via CNN.
A uniter, not a divider.
Via CNN.
The soaring music the videographer chose, by the way, is John? Barry’s “The Day the Earth Fell Silent.”
A simple poll and comment forum, about the January 3rd Iowa caucuses: who wins? Winning, of course, might be mean an unexpectedly strong finish.
For reference, Intrade has over a dozen political markets for the Iowa caucuses.
Moderated only against profanity or trolls — have at it.
Good morning.
Winter makes her presence felt in Whitewater: it’s a wintery mix of rain, sleet, and snow ahead today, with a high temperature of thirty six. In Pierre, South Dakota: breezy and forty-six.
On this day in 1922, a Prohibition raid in Madison:
1922 – Authorities Confiscate Illegal Alcohol
On this date authorities in Madison confiscated 1,200 gallons of “mash” and fifteen gallons of moonshine from the home of a suspected bootlegger. As the illegal liquor trade flourished in Madison’s Greenbush neighborhood duringProhibition, two rival gangs, one on Regent Street and the other located on Milton Street, fought to gain control until the “Rum War” erupted among these factions in 1923. [Source: Bishops to Bootleggers: A Biographical Guide to Resurrection Cemetery, p.189]
Via Wisconsin Historical Society.
I posted earlier on a Pew poll surveying Americans’ views of the words capitalism and socialism, but there’s something in the poll about their views of libertarianism, too.
Although the overall public’s view is evenly split between favorable and unfavorable, younger, upcoming generations disproportionately favor libertarianism:
The American public remains divided over the word libertarian, with 38% offering a positive reaction, 37% a negative reaction, and 24% offering that they don’t have a reaction either way.
The steepest divide in reactions to the term libertarian are not political but generational. By a 50% to 28% margin, people under age 30 have more positive than negative feelings toward the term libertarian. Views are more split among those age 30-64, while those age 65 and older offer more negative (43%) than positive (25%) reactions.
(I’ll note that within the 30-64 age group, among those 30-49 it’s 41 to 35 favorable. It’s only those over 50 who hold relatively unfavorable views toward libertarianism. Respondents over sixty-five are also the most likely to say that they don’t know or have no preference.)
No surprise here, but rather evidence of libertarianism’s bright future: the trend in so many aspects of American political life is toward greater respect for individual liberty. There have been twists and turns along this path (and there will be yet more) but a continuing trend is both likely and favorable to libertarianism.
Via Pew Research Center for the People and the Press. See, also, the full survey.
The Pew Center reports that Americans’ views of these conflicting economic arrangements haven’t changed much since 2010. That’s from an overall survey, however; some Americans’ views and political participation have surely changed.
Which matters more: that the views of most are unchanged, or that some are of changed opinions (and perhaps increased motivation)? I’m not sure.
See, Little Change in Public’s Response to ‘Capitalism,’ ‘Socialism’ @ Pew Center.
When a society’s drug enforcement focuses on the supply of a drug, drug traffickers will (1) alter the concoctions they sell and (2) change the way they sell those concoctions. Sure enough, in response to a ban on synthetic marijuana, dealers are altering their formulas to circumvent existing local laws, and are now selling though the Web. See, ‘Spice’ makers alter recipes to sidestep state laws banning synthetic marijuana @ The Washington Post.
A policy that relies principally on restricting supply, rather than on lessening the addictive desires that drive demand, is sure to fail. Sadly, the new substances may be worse than the old ones :
Just months after Virginia and dozens of other states banned synthetic marijuana, the chemists who make it have found a way to outfox lawmakers.
Spice manufacturers, who spray herbs with compounds that mimic the active ingredient in marijuana, have altered their recipes just enough to skirt the bans and are again openly marketing spice in stores and on the Web. Some users report that the new generation of products could be more potent than the original formulas….
There’s not the slightest chance I would ever use these products, or think it was safe to do so. For that matter, it’s a bad idea to smoke tobacco, let alone someone’s dubious recipe for synthetic marijuana.
The problem is demand:
“We had guys with Pentagon security clearance badges coming in to buy it,” said Alan Amsterdam, co-owner of Capitol Hemp in Adams Morgan. Although he stopped selling spice, he is dubious about efforts to control it.
“The government is one step behind science,” Amsterdam said. “It’s here to stay.”
It’s a proud headline, and a solid source of state and federal funding, to stand against a substance. But when those headlines are forgotten, and those taxpayer-funded grants are long-since spent, there’ll still be users, addicts, injuries, and ill-health.
Until society — private citizens and government, both — shifts its focus to addressing why people want these potions, there will be no meaningful and lasting success in combating their effects.
Here in our exceptional city of 14,622, we can’t be too careful about outside influences, nefarious plots, and the reputed scheming of Madisonians to force every man, woman, and child in the city to wear tie-dye clothing.
And yet, and yet, there’s something even worse than these unsettling threats: at any moment, hordes of Roma gypsies or Bedouin nomads might flood the city, and declare themselves candidates for political office.
Whatever would we do?
Fortunately, long ago, incumbent politicians foresaw this dark prospect, and insisted on candidate requirements (beyond mere residency) of written declarations, nomination papers, and very specific deadlines.
To allow voters to choose from among a less-restricted set of candidates was too risky to the health and safety of a micropolitan dreamtown.
There are losses to us, of course. I’d guess that a torrent of Roma or Bedouin politicians might bring the occasional new idea, fresh perspective, or even aesthetic advantages that we lack.

We must be strong, as we’re called to vigilance in these difficult times. Let others encourage, welcome, and accept; we will discourage, regulate, and forfend.
It should be so: the stability of business as usual, unchanging from decade to decade, shall not be risked.
Good morning.
It’s a day with a high of forty-one for Whitewater, with a chance of a wintry mix earlier in the morning. In caucus state Iowa, Cedar Rapids will see a mostly sunny day with a high of forty-six.
It’s a puzzle from Google today, about a liberty-loving American: “Henry David Thoreau wrote about the Walden Pond wilderness. How many miles was it from the house where he was born? (Measured from his birthplace to the current Walden Pond Visitors Center.)”
It’s a famous Wisconsinite’s birthday today. On this day in 1879, Gen. Billy Mitchell was born, as the Wisconsin Historical Society recalls:
1879 – General William “Billy” Mitchell Born
On this date aviation pioneer Billy Mitchell was born in Nice, France. Mitchell grew up in Milwaukee and attended Racine College. During World War I, Mitchell was the first American airman to fly over enemy lines. He also led many air attacks in France and Germany. Upon return to the U.S., headvocated the creation of a separate Air Force. Much to the dislike of A.T. Mahan, Theodore Roosevelt, and other contemporaries, Mitchell asserted that the airplane had rendered the battleship obsolete, and attention should be shifted to developing military air power.
Mitchell’s out-spokenness resulted in his being court martialed for insubordination. He was sentenced to five years suspension of rank without pay. General Douglas MacArthur — an old Milwaukee friend — was a judge in Mitchell’s case and voted against his court martial. Mitchell’s ideas for developing military air power were not implemented until long after his death. In 1946 Congress created a medal in his honor, the General “Billy” Mitchell Award. Milwaukee’s airport, General Mitchell International Airport, is named after him. [Source: American Airpower Biography]

Former GOP governor of New Mexico Gary Johnson declared officially today for the Libertarian Party presidential nomination. He never caught on as a GOP presidential candidate, but then he’s closer to LP positions than those of the Republican party.
He’s not a household name, but his two terms as the governor of New Mexico assures that he’s an experienced option. It’s a good sign that the LP (as with former Congressman Bob Barr in 2008) can attract established politicians.
Indeed, it is far too soon. America’s best days are yet ahead. Chinese officials who dream of their own dominance will be as disappointed as Japanese bureaucrats who dreamt the same scenario a generation ago.
The world belongs neither to the selfish ambitions of those Japanese corporatist s nor to those of contemporary Chinese statists.
Bremmer sees ways in which we’re doing well, even now:
Yet investment in the future continues apace. No nation is home to more elite universities and graduate schools, more major multinational corporations, and more breakthroughs in state-of-the-art technology. Silicon Valley’s latest tech start-ups have built enough momentum to fuel talk of a new “bubble”. Development of unconventional gas technologies has been the single most economically significant innovation of the past several years; US-based companies have led the way. All these traditional measures of strength suggest the country is doing fine.
Match that – as we will – with a restored confidence in democratic government and truly free markets – and we’ll be just fine.
There’s a story at the Washington Post website describing GOP candidate Ron Paul’s supporters. They’re younger, more secular, and more dedicated than other Republicans. That they’re disproportionately younger suggests to me that they’re not from movement families (that is, they’re not from old and longstanding libertarian households). Paul, to his credit, has attracted an energetic, young following.
At the same time, this also means that these followers are ill-suited to take a long view of politics, Republican or libertarian.
Some libertarians, notably Brian Doherty, have tried to reassure skeptical members of movement families that Paul’s newsletters, etc., shouldn’t be held against him. (Doherty is writing a book about Paul, having previously written an exhaustive history of libertarianism.) Doherty means to soothe:
I can assure any old libertarian worried about old libertarian movement business that it is the good things about Ron Paul that have won him the support and love he has won, and that this old business is irrelevant to them, and thus irrelevant to the actual important political and cultural story about Ron Paul now.
See, from Doherty, Why I Don’t Think the Ron Paul Newsletters Are Very Important .
Doherty writes to those of us within the family, so to speak. We would reply that we like Paul well enough personally, but we also see that some of Paul’s views aren’t traditionally libertarian at all. Mixed in are far-right notions outside of traditional libertarianism (or opportunity conservatism, for that matter) with which we disagree.
I agree that Paul has much to offer, and that his platform offers considerably more than his GOP opponents’ manifestos; yet, he would be a far stronger and better candidate today without those newsletters from years ago. Believing otherwise is politically naive and ideologically compromising.
For more about Paul’s supporters, see Who is a Ron Paul supporter? – The Washington Post.
I don’t know, really, but I’m inclined to answer paradoxically that it’s never a libertarian year, and yet it’s always one.
If one means by libertarian year the election of lots of libertarians, then the answer’s surely no. There are lots of Republicans and Democrats, not lots of Libertarians.
Yet, if one means that libertarian ideas will play a key role in 2012, then I’d say yes, they will. We represent enduring and significant ideas about individual rights, liberty, economics, and peaceful commerce with other countries.
We’ve been declared dead a hundred times, but our good and sincere ideas are ones to which Americans have always returned. There’s a resiliency in libertarian policies that keeps those ideas evergreen, long after other, competing views wither.
Others may scramble over this day, or that election, but we have no reason to be similarly nervous and frantic. We have a longer view of things. A political confidence in ‘limited government, individual liberty, free markets, and peace’ is a well-placed confidence.
We’ll make a difference in ’12, and be around long thereafter.
Good morning.
Late December in Whitewater: Mostly cloudy in the thirties. In San Francisco: Mostly cloudy, but sixty-one. There’s a funny quote attributed to Mark Twain about San Francisco’s weather (“The coldest winter I ever saw was the summer I spent in San Francisco”), but sixty-one at any time is mild when considered from Wisconsin.
On this date in 1981, Elizabeth Jordan Carr, the first American ‘test-tube’ baby, was born in Norfolk, Va.
Today’s puzzle from Google comes via the suggestion of Zacary Saliba, aged nine, and it’s one of the best Google’s yet offered: “What is the largest air-breathing fish found in the body of water that ends at 0°10’0” S 49°0’0” W?”
The Wisconsin Historical Society offers evidence that, sure enough, Joseph McCarthy was a liar and skunk his whole life:
On this date [12.28] future senator Joseph McCarthy announced his candidacy for the Wisconsin 10th Circuit Court judgeship, a position that had been held for 24 years by Edgar V. Werner. The 30-year-old McCarthy used Werner’s age against him, claiming that Werner was 73 while secretly knowing he was 66. In the election, held in April of the following year, McCarthy earned 15,160 votes to Werner’s 11,154. Although McCarthy’s campaign tactics and spending practices were investigated, he was cleared of wrong-doing. [Source: Legal Affairs]