FREE WHITEWATER

Author Archive for JOHN ADAMS

Draining the Swamp of Red Ink

Congressman Paul Ryan’s office released the text of a speech he delivered in Oregon. Ryan’s noted for a budget roadmap he’s drafted, but it says much about our politics that budgetary reform makes both many Democrats and many of Ryan’s fellow Republicans uncomfortable. The address appears below.

Rep. PAUL RYAN: Like my home state of Wisconsin, Oregon has long exuded a forward-looking spirit of optimism, rooted in our nation’s timeless founding principles. Much like the early settlers of Oregon and Wisconsin, when we survey our nation’s economic landscape we find ourselves at a crossroads, facing a choice of two distinct futures. Unlike our forefathers, though, we have a clear sense of what lies ahead.

Most urgently, unemployment remains unbearably high and economic growth far too low. Policymakers urgently need to advance an agenda for growth — removing the obstacles to job creation and the paralyzing uncertainty from Washington. Both parties contributed to the current hardships — and both parties helped plant the seeds of the crisis on the horizon: a fiscal time bomb from the explosive growth of government debt.

Stacking trillion-dollar deficits year after year, President Barack Obama’s 10-year budget plan will double the debt in five years and triple it in 10. The federal government’s unfunded liabilities — government’s unpaid promises — stand at $76.4 trillion and are set to spiral further out of control each year we kick the can down the road.

The government’s own experts are telling us that our health and retirement security programs — Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security — are on a path to bankruptcy unless we take action soon. In addition to overwhelming the entire federal budget, the collapse of these programs will result in painful cuts for seniors and society’s most vulnerable.

Presented with these facts, the choice before us becomes clear. We can stay on our current path, allow unprecedented levels of government spending and higher taxes to crush the economy and shred the social safety net. Or, we can do what past generations of Americans have always done: work together in tackling the nation’s most pressing challenges and leave the next generation with a stronger, safer and more prosperous America.

To overcome our current fiscal challenges, we need a plan — a specific course of action to ensure the government secures the promises made to current and future generations, allow communities and individuals to grow and flourish, and guarantee America’s best days are ahead, and not behind us.

In an effort to spur action on meeting this challenge, I put forward a reform plan back in 2008: “A Roadmap for America’s Future” (www.americanroadmap.org). When I introduced the plan over two years ago, and reintroduced an updated version earlier this year, it was my hope to break through the political paralysis, and advance an open and honest discussion about how our nation can address its fiscal challenges.

Certified by the Congressional Budget Office, my reform plan fulfills the mission of health and retirement security, saving Medicare and Social Security; lifts the crushing burden of debt, paying off the debt completely; and restarts the engine of economic growth and limitless prosperity.

First and foremost, the Roadmap for America’s Future makes no changes to Medicare and Social Security for those 55 and older. Those in and near retirement will receive the benefits that they have been promised — this is a critical component of entitlement reform and a guarantee that we won’t be able to make unless we take action now. For those younger workers, the Roadmap offers gradual, sensible reforms to ensure that future generations have access to these vital programs. My plan offers those 54 and younger the same health and retirement benefit options I enjoy as a member of Congress. The Congressional Budget Office and the programs’ own actuaries have certified that the Roadmap would make Medicare and Social Security permanently solvent, averting the painful cuts from the unsustainable status quo.

Economic growth is a prerequisite to getting a grip on our federal budget. This is why my plan advances bold reforms to our anti-competitive and needlessly complex tax code. The tax reforms are designed to simplify and broaden our nation’s tax base and put the United States in a position to lead, rather than follow, in the global economy. To get our economy growing again, the Roadmap would eliminate our corporate income tax — currently the second highest in the industrial world — and replace it with a business consumption tax, lowering the tax burden to create job opportunities and job growth.

These reforms, coupled with proposed changes to our health care system and our job training programs, show that it is not too late to deal with our economic challenges and do so in a way that preserves the promises government has made and keeps intact the ideas our nation was founded upon: liberty, opportunity and individual initiative.

Our fiscal and economic challenges offer a unique opportunity to restore our nation’s prosperity. On the Oregon Trail or in the harsh Wisconsin winters, settlers did not have the option of kicking the can down the road. Each generation of Americans rose to the occasion — and now it is our generation that must do the same.

— Rep. Paul Ryan, ranking Republican on the House Budget Committee, represents Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District.

Link:
Draining the Swamp of Red Ink.

Daily Bread for Whitewater, Wisconsin: 10-20-10

Good morning,

Whitewater’s forecast calls for a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of sixty-six degrees.

There will be a meeting of the Effigy Mounds Task Force at 4 p.m. today, and a meeting of the Landmarks Commission at 5 p.m.

There’s a story at Wired entitled, Twitter Can Predict the Stock Market. Perhaps the title should have been Twitter Can Predict the Stock Market?



The emotional roller coaster captured on Twitter can predict the ups and downs of the stock market, a new study finds. Measuring how calm the Twitterverse is on a given day can foretell the direction of changes to the Dow Jones Industrial Average three days later with an accuracy of 86.7 percent.

“We were pretty astonished that this actually worked,” said computational social scientist Johan Bollen of Indiana University-Bloomington. The new results appear in a paper on the arXiv.org preprint server….

“It’s a pretty interesting result,” commented computer scientist Sitaram Asur of HP Labs. But even though the correlation is there, Asur is reluctant to believe that the moods captured on Twitter can cause the stock market to change. Not everyone on Twitter plays the stock market, he notes, or even lives in the United States. And he would like to see the algorithm used on tweets from a wider span of time.

“If it is true, if we can actually find this correlation to be consistent, that will be a very important result,” he said. “But right now, I would be cautious about saying how important this is.”

A test of confidence would be someone’s willingness to trade based on these findings, such as they are.

Whitewater’s Fiscal Trend Analysis

About two months ago, the City of Whitewater prepared an analysis our small city’s fiscal condition, entitled, City of Whitewater Financial Trend Analysis (1988-2009) and City Budget Projections (2011-2016). I have embedded a copy of the document at the bottom of this post.

It’s a description of only part of the city’s life, a part much smaller than that of the daily condition of her fourteen-thousand, four-hundred fifty-four residents. Whitewater descends, from greater to smaller, in a simple order: the community, the municipal government’s overall fiscal condition, the municipal government’s annual budgetary position (merely a slice of a longer-term fiscal condition).

Most things that matter in the city, to most people, don’t concern municipal government, politics, bureaucrats, or politicians. That’s true even of economic matters; most economic activities are still free of the influence of Whitewater’s municipal government, and that’s how it should be.

The community’s actual condition constrains the municipal government’s fiscal prospects; the field on which people ‘live, work, and play’ is far larger than the smaller stage on which budgetary decisions take place.

It’s impossible to begin a post about the city’s fiscal prospects, or a single budget, without thinking about the real town in which Whitewater’s government exercises authority. It’s a town with high poverty, and especially large numbers of children living in poverty.

The latest Census figures are not available for the city, but they’ll certainly show an increase in poverty. Part — but I think only part — of this poverty increase will be a result of the recent recession. (There’s an indirect way to show how poverty increased in Whitewater from 2000 to 2010, even in supposedly better years during the decade. I think it’s unlikely Whitewater’s had only a recent spike in poverty from the recession. That’s a subject for another time.)

When government leaders see difficulties ahead, despite years of crowing about how the city is a paradise, with a brilliant municipal administration, it’s a refutation to those haughty claims. With easier times now a memory, and without the same and addictive supply of support from Madison forthcoming, Whitewater’s municipal administration can no longer contend credibly that it has been a great success.

The endless string of announcements, declarations, and assertions of triumphs was a distraction from the truth of a troubled economy. It was troubled even in seemingly flush years, when city projects were in full swing. Those projects weren’t uplifting to the condition of thousands in town; they obscured the daily struggles many in Whitewater faced.

Pages 3-50 of the document present the city’s fiscal analysis and outlook; pages 1-14 thereafter, in a separate section, present budget projections from 2011-16.

I’ll consider only the fiscal analysis, and address the budget later, as the city’s 2011 budget process unfolds.

For now, two parts of the fiscal analysis are notable: the City of Whitewater’s revenues per capita, and her net direct debt service.

Municipal government’s revenues per capita.

Page 5 tells the tale on revenues per capita, from 1988 to 2009. Beginning in 2001, revenues per capita begin a precipitous plunge, as the city gets less each year in revenue. The city’s analysis, following the graph, is telling:

The warning trend is that there is a decrease in net operating revenues per capita occurring in Whitewater. Over the studied 21 year period, adjusting for inflation, revenues per capita has varied from $275.2 (1989) to $355.66 (2001). For 2009, the Revenue Per Capita equals $278.97. Since 2001, revenues per capita has been steadily declining. This reclects [sic] lack of growth in the City’s major revenue source, – state shared revenues.

It’s true, of course, that the ground on which so much relies has been the shifting (simply eroding, really) sand of shared revenues. In this critical respect, we are considerably different from most of Wisconsin communities of similar size. I’ve written on this topic before.

Municipal government’s net direct debt service.

Page 35 shows how the city’s net direct debt service has been rising markedly from 2005 through 2009. Here’s the city’s analysis:

According to credit industry standards, debt service on net direct debt exceeding 20 percent of operating revenues is considered a potential problem. Ten percent is considered acceptable.

In analyzing this trend, the City in 2006 had a percentage of 24.35% which is considerably above the credit industry standard.

However, because the City has issued $ 3,618,622 in new debt for TID#4 in 2005, $500,000 in 2006, and $5,600,000 in 2008, this percentage will be increasing. The general fund has only a small portion of the total debt service outstanding for the City. 85% of the net direct debt service is due to borrowings for TID #4. The balance of 15% is supported by the shared revenue utility payment from the power plant.

Policy statements should be developed by the City that would indicate desirable levels of debt service as well as procedures for analyzing future debt service. Suggested policies are that 1) total debt service for general obligation debt will not exceed 10 percent of annual operating revenues and 2) before bonded long-term debt is issued, the impact of debt service on total annual fixed costs will be analyzed.

Tax incremental district 4 is a remarkable story, by itself. For now, it’s enough to see that our trend, however allocated, has been unfavorable.

There’s so very much said about how many changes there have been, how many projects, these last several years. Some are quite lovely. Yet, for it all, our fiscal condition is dependent — now more than ever, as shared revenues decline — on the economic health of our community.

That health will not be improved through big ticket items, as it has not been improved that way over this last decade.

We’ve lost, I think, more than we’ve gained.

Daily Bread for Whitewater, Wisconsin: 10-19-10

Good morning,

The forecast for Whitewater on Tuesday calls for a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of sixty degrees.

There will be a meeting of Whitewater’s Common Council tonight, at 6:30 p.m. The session will include presentation of the city’s proposed 2011 budget, to be presented in part tonight. The agenda is available online.

At Lincoln School tonight, at 6:30 p.m., there will be a band concert in the upper gym.

Over at Wired, there’s a post entitled, 10 Things You Probably Didn?t Know About Star Wars: The Empire Strikes Back, that offers some surprising (to me, at least) information. Among the revelations, there’s this unexpected one:

Yoda was originally named Buffy. No, really. In Lucas’ earliest outlines for the sequel, Luke meets a supernatural entity named Buffy, or Bunden Debannen. Here’s how Lucas described it:

Buffy very old – three or four thousand years. Kiber crystal in sword. Buffy shows Luke. Buffy the guardian. “Feel not think.”

And Lucas concludes by saying Luke will become the chosen one, “the human Buffy.” In later drafts, he thought of Yoda as a kind of small frog, and Yoda had a full name: Minch Yoda.

In the earliest script draft, Minch has the immortal line: “Skywalker. Skywalker. And why do you come to walk my sky, with the sword of a Jedi knight? I remember another Skywalker.”



Whitewater, Wisconsin’s Innovation Center: The Limits of Photography

I wrote on Friday, in a post entitled, About that Public Hearing… (Part 2), that one could

show how a recent announcement about Whitewater’s Innovation Center isn’t merely ineffective, but counter-productive, to the interests of that project’s proponents. I’m a critic of the project, and there are times when I think: I wish proponents would publish more announcements, as their notices about the project are so inartful, odd, and self-defeating…

My post was scheduled for Saturday, but it’s a few days late. I’ve been searching for the best way to describe how public relations, marketing, and boosterism fail. There’s an example that comes to mend, but first, the latest description of the Innovation Center’s progress.

A few men, officials and board members supporting a multi-million dollar office building at public expense, stand wearing construction vests and helmets, on top of their coats and ties, as they smile for the camera while real construction workers labor in the background. The men in the photo look mostly alike, and nothing like a fair representation of all Whitewater’s residents.

The captions accompanying the photo, and a few others, mention an “upper facade of large entry and meeting area.” They mention this as though it were a good thing, apparently unaware how it all sounds to ordinary people.

It’s an expensive public project, relying on a publicly-funded anchor tenant, drawing the public employees of the anchor tenant from another struggling town, offering no concrete value to justify the multi-million dollar cost, failing to meet simple, clear federal standards in competition for a federal grant, and that serves as a distraction from serving the real needs of Whitewater’s many poor residents and struggling, small businesses.

The only way a project could be more ill-suited to Whitewater would be if the Tech Park Board announced a unicorn-breeding program for all the office space they’ve yet to fill with productive, private businesses.



I’m sure that everyone connected with the project has a thousand reasons that these photos and captions — like so many fawning press stories before them — make sense: A picture is worth a thousand words, stay on message, accentuate the positive, emphasize community leaders, etc., etc. There may be thousands of variations, the subjects of tens of thousands of books, essays, seminars, and consultants’ reports, from nationally-known experts on public relations, marketing, advertising, and communications.

And yet, descriptions like this are self-defeating, and mere merely show how ill-conceived the project is.

Why don’t so many experts behind the project understand as much?

Because all this boosterism ignores what Whitewater’s really like, what’s important to help Whitewater’s residents’ actual needs, and flies in the face of simple, enduring principles of governance.

It’s easy to lose one’s way when one loses sight of what a town’s like, and what it needs.

Decades ago, men (and women) more experienced and renowned that the men supporting the Innovation Center project made a mistake far greater.

Here’s that mistake:



To answer questions about then-Governor Dukakis’s commitment to a strong defense, his advisers had him visit a defense contractor and ride in a tank. He looked odd riding there, and the Republicans seized on the photo opportunity to create a commercial that showed Dukakis riding in a tank.

The Democrats’ effort was counter-productive. Instead of focusing on what Dukakis offered, in a simple way, his campaign tried a too-clever-by-half photo opportunity to answer concerns about defense policy. Perhaps a picture is worth a thousand words, but it’s only useful if it’s the right picture, about sensible concerns.

The Dukakis campaign should have stuck to what Dukakis did well, and how what he did well would be useful, and appealing, to America. It’s not lack of talent, but lack of perspective, that led his campaign down the wrong path.

Fancy projects are Whitewater’s wrong path. They don’t fit our needs; they can’t be made sensible, appealing, or impressive.

The Federal Civil Suit Against Former Calumet County District Attorney Ken Kratz (Update 8)

The crime victim who received a series of vulgar, propositioning text messages from Calumet County’s then-District Attorney Ken Kratz while he prosecuted her attacker has filed a federal civil suit against him.

I have embedded below a copy of the federal complaint, filed Friday, October 15th. (Meanwhile, Kratz is under state criminal investigation for his conduct, and is the subject of a re-opened professional misconduct inquiry. See, ‘Sexting’ DA held up to Wis. DOJ scrutiny.)

For prior posts in this series, see Official’s Misconduct: Calumet County District Attorney Ken Kratz’s Treatment of a Crime Victim, Official’s Misconduct: Calumet County District Attorney Ken Kratz’s Treatment of a Crime Victim (Update), Update 2, Update 3, Update 4, Update 5, Update 6, and Update 7.

Daily Bread for Whitewater, Wisconsin: 10-18-10

Good morning,

Whitewater’s forecast calls for a mostly cloudy day, with a high temperature of fifty-eight degrees.

It’s another week of school, and one sees that in the WSJ there’s a story about a (Big Apple) school concern — New School Fear: Bedbugs Coming Home in Backpacks. Reporter Jill Caryl Weiner writes that

The new academic year opened just as bedbugs became seemingly ubiquitous in the city, spreading to retailers, movie theaters, government buildings, hospitals — even the offices of Google and, most recently, this newspaper. School administrators, sensing a wave of parental concern, have adopted a new openness to discussing the risks of student-to-student bedbug transmission.


These new times seem more like old times than anyone would prefer.

A Read-the-Bill Rule for Congress

Hannah Volokh, while at visiting at Emory University’s law school, published an intriguing proposal in the Missouri Law Review: A Read-the-Bill Rule for Congress:

In this Article, I argue that legislators have a duty to read the text of proposed legislation before voting to enact it. A Read the Bill political movement has formed in response to recent high-profile instances of rushed legislation.

Putting aside partisan concerns, a rushed legislative process creates real problems because it forces legislators to vote on bills without having the time to properly evaluate the new legal rules that are being imposed on citizens. If a rule or norm of reading the bill can slow the legislative process enough to provide for thorough consideration of proposed legislation, it would bring a substantial benefit in the form of better laws.

The rule would also draw the attention of legislators to their primary, fundamental role of making good law.

The article is available at Volokh, Hanah M., A Read-the-Bill Rule for Congress (August 4, 2010). Missouri Law Review, Vol. 76. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1597281.

Recent Tweets, 10-10 to 10-16

Hundreds attend anti-hate-crime rally at UW-Whitewater — GazetteXtra http://bit.ly/bwU21V
16 Oct

SSRN-A Read-the-Bill Rule for Congress by Hanah Volokh http://bit.ly/cZXNJk
16 Oct

FY2010 deficit: $1.3 trillion, Treasury says – Oct. 15, 2010 http://bit.ly/cDjKHw
15 Oct

Legalized Marijuana in California: Polls Now Show a Close Call http://bit.ly/cRxtre
15 Oct

Overdue – RT @WiStateJournal: State opens criminal probe of ex-DA Kratz http://ow.ly/19t0h7
15 Oct

RT @wsjfree: Bedbugs Spread to Metropolitan Opera House http://on.wsj.com/cVPlKx
14 Oct

RT @IJ: Don’t like the campaign ads you see on T.V.? Change the channel: http://iam.ij.org/d0XrYt
14 Oct

RT @radleybalko: L.A. Weekly blogger deftly shows off his ethnic bigotry, economic ignorance in one short post.
http://tinyurl.com/2vtoakt
12 Oct

A brown & gold kind of green solution: Madison [WI] promotes composting to reduce street leaf piles
http://bit.ly/apWrnD
12 Oct

New at Reason: Michael C. Moynihan on the Libertarian Nobelist – Hit & Run : Reason Magazine
http://bit.ly/cZldYb
10 Oct

Mental Health Complex staff ring up major overtime – JSOnline http://bit.ly/a6uOWS
10 Oct

Milwaukee County finances on brink, report says – JSOnline http://bit.ly/9YbmGh
10 Oct

U.S. Won’t Recover Lost Jobs Until March 2020 At Current Pace http://bit.ly/9ebTte
10 Oct

Saturday’s 85-degree high beats a record that lasted 131 years http://bit.ly/aZJW5p
10 Oct